Should We Blame "Just in Time"? or "Short-Term Thinking"? for Supply Chain Problems?

Should We Blame "Just in Time" or "Short-Term Thinking" for Supply Chain Problems?

So many major publications (WSJ, NYT, Bloomberg) have printed a lot of misinformation about the supposed failures of "just in time," an approach that's a core pillar of "Lean Manufacturing" or the "Toyota Production System."

The journalists fail to point out that getting large batches shipped across the ocean is not actually "just in time." Merely getting rid of your inventory is not "just in time."

A new video, below, from a relatively unknown source, gets it right. It's worth the 20 minutes. Or jump ahead to about 11 minutes in.

Should we blame "just in time" for parts shortages, or blame factors like a shortage of shipping containers and port bottlenecks in southern California? True "just in time" systems (with relatively local suppliers) don't have the problems that we see with companies who offshored to a low-labor-cost country.

From the automated transcript:

"Just-in-time is such a simple principle, but the pursuit of the elimination of waste is now the central mission of any major manufacturer. However, most did it wrong.

Manufacturers globally saw the headline—elimination of inventory leads to massive efficiency gains—and jumped on that without actually determining what made it work for Toyota.

They ignored that Japan’s small physical size made for short domestic supply chains, less vulnerable to things going wrong.

They ignored the company’s production leveling—finding the average daily demand and producing that, regardless of short-term changes in demand.

They ignored the fact that eliminating excess inventory is different from eliminating all inventory.

They ignored the principle of growing strong teams of cross-functional workers, predicated on respecting people.

They ignored the culture of stopping and fixing problems, to get things right the first time.

They ignored huge swaths of the Toyota Way and created a system that’s less effective and less resilient, but can impress shareholders through short-term savings."

Is the root cause of these supply problems (and production problems) actually short-term thinking??"

You can also read about how Toyota "broke its rule" -- but I'd argue they did no such thing, because their approach has always been more pragmatic (do what works) instead of being dogmatic (get rid of all inventory).

How Toyota thrives when the chips are down

Toyota may have pioneered the just-in-time manufacturing strategy but when it comes to chips, its decision to stockpile what have become key components in cars goes back a decade to the Fukushima disaster.

and

"A Toyota spokesman said one of the goals of its lean inventories strategy was to become sensitive to inefficiencies and risks in supply chains, identify the most potentially damaging bottlenecks and figure out how to avoid them.
“The [Business Continuity Plan] for us was a classic lean solution,” he said."

Businesses love talking about "low inventory," but how often do they try to emulate Point #1 of "The Toyota Way" management system, which reads:

"Base management decisions on a long-term philosophy, even at the expense of short-term financial goals."

Maybe we'd be better off if companies emulated the Toyota philosophy instead of trying to (badly) copy tools and methods. Or would they badly copy the philosophy as well?

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Mark Graban is a consultantauthor, and speaker. Mark is the author of the Shingo Award-winning books Lean Hospitals and Healthcare Kaizen. Mark is also the editor of the anthology Practicing Lean. Has recently published his latest book, Measures of Success: React Less, Lead Better, Improve More.

He is also a Senior Advisor to the technology company KaiNexus, is the Director of Strategic Marketing for Value Capture, and serves as a board member of the Louise M. Batz Patient Safety Foundation. Mark blogs most days at www.LeanBlog.org and has produced over 750 podcast episodes.

Anne Bobb

Vice President, Quality at Froedtert Hospital

3 年

Thanks for your analysis. I couldn’t agree more. Companies cannot pick one tool and expect it to fix everything. You need to implement a system with all its moving parts. This includes culture which is a key strength of the JIT model. I am so glad you put in words what I was thinking when I read the NYT article.

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Rebecca Morgan

Board Director | Manufacturing Operations Strategist | Author

3 年
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Michael Macchi

Hit back against inflation! SCRP helps businesses improve the bottom line, increase cash flow & the value of the business, and plug profit leaks on key operational costs.

3 年
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Rebecca Morgan

Board Director | Manufacturing Operations Strategist | Author

3 年

30 years ago Toyota shared its goal of the 3-day car. Their goal of JIT has always been about immediately delivering value to the customer. It has not been an inventory strategy, but an unwavering intent to identify and reduce/eliminate obstacles to that JIT goal. They learn the right lesson, not the easy one. The 2001 earthquake / tsunami taught them not to increase inventories but to better understand the full supply chain. That valuable / executed lesson positioned them to recognize the upcoming chip shortage and take action to overcome that obstacle to their JIT delivery of value to their customers. When top leader lost site of the real goal to instead be the worldwide leader in sales they expanded more quickly than their business operating system could support. Quality slipped, and internal expectations were reduced as well. The company is still working hard to rebound from that huge mistake. Few of us can ever understand the deeply embedded thinking, but one can hope we’ll get our heads out of dark holes. The JIT that is being blamed and jettisoned is an example of ‘understand little to nothing but rush to copy/paste.’ It should be jettisoned.

Delco Electronics had the largest Class 100 clean room in the US. they made chips for cars. Somebody figured it was cheaper to make the chips elsewhere. Delco lost most of their people. Now we wait for chips that aren't coming. The whole idea of supply chain is inherently distance based. We don't need a chain, we just need the supply. It is like the phrase "thinking outside the box". What box?

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