Shotgun wedding: UBS buys Credit Suisse for $3.2 billion ??; Meta just lost the NFT game ? ??; Wix continues pushing for unified commerce ??
Linas Beliūnas
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Last week (13-17 March) was the most significant and impactful week in FinTech and Finance in more than a decade.?We will look at UBS buying Credit Suisse for $3.2 billion in the most historic banking?marriage?since 2008 (unpacking it, looking at winners & losers, and more!); Meta that just lost the NFT game (who’s the winner here?); Wix that continues pushing for unified commerce (this is another strong move from Wix!), and other interesting news and developments.
Without further ado, let us dive into what happened in the financial technology sector last week. Let’s connect the dots.
Shotgun wedding: UBS buys Credit Suisse for $3.2 billion ??
A lot can happen over a weekend ?? IT?finally happened.?UBS?agreed to take over its longtime rival?Credit Suisse?for more than $3 billion marking the biggest banking deal in years as regulators were eager to halt a dangerous decline in confidence in the global banking system.
瑞信 ended Friday with a market value of around $8 billion. This means that its biggest rival is valuing its equity at a whopping 62% discount ?? A lot can happen over a weekend…
A refresher ???For the perspective, back in 2007, Switzerland's second-biggest bank had a market cap of over $90 billion and was even bigger than 苹果 .
Initially, Credit Suisse was offered $1 billion and has obviously pushed back as it believed the offer was too low and it would hurt shareholders and employees who have deferred stock. Then the offer was increased to $2 billion while the final price tag was agreed to be at over $3 billion.?Still a solid discount!???
Now comes the crazy part.
Swiss authorities had to change the country’s laws to bypass the usual 6-week shareholder vote on the transaction as they rushed to finalize a deal before Monday.
It's a classical example of a shotgun wedding, and it just shows how bad the situation is.
More on this ???The deal between the two Swiss finance giants is the first megamerger of systemically important global banks since the 2008 financial crisis.
As part of the deal, the Swiss government will also provide more than $9 billion to backstop some losses that 瑞银集团 may incur by taking over Credit Suisse. The Swiss National Bank also provided more than $100 billion of liquidity to UBS to help facilitate the deal.
Swiss authorities were under massive pressure to make the deal happen before Asian markets opened for the week since a regulator-led winddown of Credit Suisse could have proven more prolonged and painful for the financial system. First the Europan one, then - the global one. And nobody wanted that.
By the way, here’s something interesting: UBS calls this deal an “acquisition” while Credit Suisse calls it a “merger” ??
?? THE TAKEAWAY
Now what? ???Let’s be clear - a forced marriage of the two titans of Swiss banking was something UBS had never wanted. Yet, it happened and potentially stopped the banking contagion that was initiated by the collapse of Silicon Valley Bank. So who are the winners and losers? The most obvious and biggest winner in all of this will definitely be UBS. Credit Suisse had a $0.5 trillion balance sheet and around 50,000 employees at the end of 2022. After swallowing Credit Suisse, UBS’s balance sheet will hence rival Goldman Sachs Group and Deutsche Bank in asset size. That’s solid!
And that’s it. Now come the losers, and there are quite a few of them. First comes the shareholders - the biggest one is Saudi National Bank (SNB) which already lost $1.5 billion in the last 15 weeks alone. Then, there are AT1 bondholders as all of them have been written to zero in the deal. We must note that the total write-down marked the biggest loss yet for Europe’s $275 billion AT1 market. Finally, regulators lost here too. Finma became the first financial regulator to watch a bank considered systemically important have to be rescued since the financial crisis. The most crucial question then becomes?will it be the last one?
Go deeper & discover more here: History in the making: UBS could acquire Credit Suisse???????[+2 more deeper dives]
Meta just lost the NFT game ? ??
The news ???Meta Platforms?is?winding down NFTs?on?Instagram?less than a year after its launch, CoinDesk reported. The?Facebook?parent company will focus on other ways to support creators and businesses, tweeted Meta head of commerce and financial services Stephane Kasriel.
More on this ???We must remember that Meta , which owns both social media giants FB & IG, had jumped head first into digital collectibles, rolling out this functionality to 100 countries.
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However, their efforts have not yet yielded any significant result, and a bear market that has dampened demand for NFTs didn’t help either.
But it’s not alone here.
Even well-known names in the space, such as Coinbase and OpenSea, have struggled to gain traction with their NFT marketplaces. OpenSea, once the world's largest marketplace, has faced challenges due to the ongoing revolt over commission fees and royalties.
What does it tell us? ???This one is obvious - Meta has admitted it lost the NFT game. But there’s more to that, so here’s the takeaway + the proper way of doing NFTs & one big winner out of this:
?? THE TAKEAWAY
Why? ???We must remember that Deutsche Bank had earlier predicted that Instagram could be a game-changer in the NFT market, with the potential to attract millions of users. I have to admit - I had the same view. Yet, it now seems that Meta, which has already invested billions in the metaverse, is hesitant to continue with its NFT offerings and will shift its energy and resources elsewhere (AI? ??). But what’s the root cause though? I think the answer lies in my take from August 2022:
Zooming out, Facebook has been struggling to expand its business beyond social networking, or just ads (as they drive the absolute majority of its revenues). They failed with crypto (Diem/Libra was shut down), Facebook Pay/Payments (including WhatsApp) is somewhat questionable while Facebook Marketplace doesn’t have a meaningful share of the e-commerce sales. Hence, this might be their best shot right now. And it would be foolish not to take it. But there’s one but. It has the brand, the user base, and the eyeballs. But what about trust? That’s something I raised back in March, and it’s still an open question from me here.
Looking ahead, this is a great reminder of what is actually the right approach to do and launch NFTs. Look no further than Reddit, which is crushing it. Also, with Meta now out, Amazon’s upcoming NFT marketplace is the most interesting thing right now. If they do it right, it could really be a game-changer.
Wix continues pushing for unified commerce ??
The partnership handshake ???Wix, a leading global SaaS platform, has recently partnered with?Forter, a fraud prevention and detection platform, to strengthen their merchant fraud protection.
More on this ???This partnership is expected to provide Wix merchants with enhanced security and protection against fraudulent transactions. Forter's AI-powered technology will analyze transactions in real time, leveraging machine learning to detect and prevent fraud attempts before they can cause harm.
In light of the increasing frequency and sophistication of fraud attempts in the fintech industry, this partnership is a positive step towards improving merchant protection and customer trust.
?? THE TAKEAWAY
Wix keeps delivering ???This partnership is a massive win for the e-commerce heavyweight.?Forter’s technology can help Wix minimize merchant CNP fraud losses, which are on track to reach $6.9B in the US this year. Improving merchant fraud solutions through Forter can thus help Wix increase its value proposition and tighten merchant loyalty. Furthermore, this move also aligns with the firm’s broader push to improve merchant payment capabilities - we can remember that recently it partnered with Stripe so merchants can use Apple’s Tap to Pay on iPhone tech. Zooming out, this all integrates just brilliantly into Wix’s push to become the ultimate unified commerce platform. Watch them out more closely from now on.
Extra Reads & Quick Bites for Curious Minds??
Money Moves??
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P.S.?You might enjoy my earlier pieces as well:
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About: I am?a business developer, sales professional, FinTech strategist, as well as Cryptocurrency and Blockchain enthusiast. I'm highly passionate about Financial Technology and Digital Innovation, and strongly believe that it will change the world for the better. Apart from my daily job at a global payments startup where I'm leading the company's expansion into Europe, I'm an active member of the FinTech community and a TechFin evangelist.
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1 年I love this - fully OG approved !
Legal Recruitment Specialist | Recruitment Consultant Advisor | Recruitment Sourcer @ DWF via AMS
1 年Great insights and updates as always Linas! Look forward to my weekly updated with a cup of tea ??
Revenue growth for Founders w/AI | Saxby.io - rank & gain organic traffic with SEO content automation | Investor, 1xExit | Ex-Veriff ?? |
1 年Banks are still getting the most attention in last weeks, Linas Beliūnas. What do you think is the biggest takeaway from UBS?buying?Credit Suisse?to learn from?
Enabling ?? Startups, ?? SMBs and ?? Corporates to achieve product portfolio profitability, strategic market expansion, sustainable customer growth and retention for digital/non-digital products
1 年Thank you for the round-up Linas Beliūnas