Shipping 2025: A New Era for Alliances and Global Competition

The trade routes between Asia-North America West Coast (Asia-NAWC) and Asia-North Europe (Asia-NEUR) are the key markets for the major alliances. Ocean Alliance, comprising CMA CGM, COSCO, Evergreen and OOCL, has established itself as a leader in terms of shipping capacity on both the Asia-NAWC and Asia-NEUR:

• Asia-NAWC: Ocean Alliance has maintained its dominant position, with THE Alliance recently gaining ground and moving closer to the leader. 2M, on the other hand, is in a lower capacity position.
• Asia-NEUR: As of 2018, Ocean Alliance has overtaken 2M and consolidated its lead, while THE Alliance has chosen a more focused strategy and maintained a smaller share of capacity in the region.

Capacity market shares continue to be a crucial indicator in measuring the presence of alliances on these routes.

The New Protagonists of 2025

The arrival of new alliance configurations promises to reshuffle the cards:

• Premier Alliance: Formed by HMM, ONE, and Yang Ming, this alliance promises to be a key player with innovative strategies to increase its market share on the Asia-NAWC and Asia-NEUR routes.
• Gemini Cooperation: This new entity aims to create synergies and compete effectively with established alliances.
• Ocean Alliance: With a stable and well-established structure, it will continue to be the industry benchmark, building on its strength on key routes.
• THE Alliance: It will try to further strengthen its position and adapt to changes in the global market.

An Evolving Sector

2025 will not only be the year of competition: it will also be an opportunity for the shipping industry to introduce innovations and improve operational efficiency. With changing demand and increasingly complex global challenges, new alliances will need to strike the right balance between competition and collaboration to thrive.

Key trade lanes will be the theatre of this transformation, and the strategies that emerge may redefine the future of Shipping for years to come.

The coming change represents a pivotal moment for the shipping industry. The formation of new alliances, consolidation of existing strategies and innovation will bring challenges and opportunities. The shipping world in 2025 will be more competitive, but also richer in possibilities for those who can best interpret the dynamics of the global market.

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