Seizing the Hydrogen Opportunity: A Future-Ready Organization to win in the Hydrogen Market
Erik Rakhou
Energy Policies expert | Associate Director BCG | Management consulting | Former member ACER Board of Appeal | Initiator and co-author "Touching Hydrogen Future" | #5 ??thought leader Hydrogen @Illuminem | Podcast cohost
Authors: Sven Kossack, Matthias Kruehler, Erik Rakhou.
As the horizon of 2030 approaches, clean hydrogen and Hydrogen derived fuels are poised to emerge as a significant market. These fuels will play a pivotal role in satisfying energy and feedstock demands across regional demand centers like Japan, Korea, Europe, US, India, China and beyond.
Achieving success – developing sufficient large-scale projects in this dynamic landscape hinges on a new organizational set-up, one that adeptly navigates four (4) crucial success factors:
1. Customer Engagement: Establishing robust and lasting customer relationships, thereby securing long-term demand.
2. Value Chain Mastery: Expertly navigating both global and regional value chains to ensure streamlined and efficient operations.
3. Strategic Project Development : Gaining access to strategic production positions that are economically advantageous (via low LCOE for renewables or good connections to pipelines and/or ports) across the globe.
4. Policy Adherence and Advocacy: Ensuring alignment with local and global policies and regulations while advocating for the integration of hydrogen in future energy landscapes.
A future proof hydrogen organization therefore needs to bridge the gap between local production and global markets, between local consumers and global regulations.
A critical decision looms: Can existing organizational structures be leveraged, or should a fresh unit be incubated to address these requirements?
Experiences offer insights into optimal operational models.
In our experience, mature hydrogen organizations in leading corporations house business units ranging from 10 to over 100 full-time employees. Early-stage development of hydrogen projects typically spans 2-3 years and necessitates up to 20 FTEs, with a team that is able to drive project to FID, and execute post-FID.
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Alternatively, the option to acquire and integrate hydrogen developers is a viable shortcut. In the nascent phases, such an entity would be entrusted with managing stakeholder relations, local market developments, and on-the-ground progress, all while maintaining agility and adaptability embedded in the global context of the buyer.
So, what does the initial operational blueprint entail for the first 2-3 years?
Unlocking the full spectrum of value chain opportunities necessitates the establishment of a dedicated business unit or entity with a strong local presence in both source and target markets. This entity must possess a comprehensive skill set with at least 5 following features:
What about leadership?
At the helm of this venture, leadership is pivotal. Needed are leaders that can deal with ambiguity of uncertain markets, equipped with techno-commercial prowess able to grasp hydrogen technologies value for organization and oversee large scale projects build-up, adept at innovative dealmaking, capable of navigating the intricate policy landscape, and able to source funding and investment capital.
What's next?
The emergence of the hydrogen economy calls for visionary leadership, strategic innovation, and a dynamic organizational structure that can steer through uncharted waters, securing a place at the forefront of the green energy revolution.
In particular, at this stage of Hydrogen market we need leaders and their teams to excel both in complex projectmanagement to/post-FID, and able to organise the needed ingredients of success such as timely securing access to supply chains.
What are your views? Share with us.
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2 个月Erik Rakhou, this article brilliantly captures the essential elements for thriving in the hydrogen market. ?? However, one aspect that could further accelerate the journey is the integration of predictive analytics into the value chain. Imagine a system that not only navigates global and regional supply chains but also predicts disruptions before they happen, from geopolitics to weather patterns affecting renewable sources! ?? Moreover, while focusing on robust customer engagement, have we perhaps overlooked the role of community engagement? Building local trust through community-driven projects could be the linchpin in regions hesitant to embrace new technologies. Lastly, let's not forget the power of cross-industry collaboration. The hydrogen economy could gain significantly by aligning with industries like data science and AI, not just for operational efficiency but to pioneer new market possibilities. In short, the hydrogen revolution needs a crystal ball, a community handshake, and a multi-industry brainstorming session. Who's in? ???? #HydrogenEconomy #FutureEnergy #Innovation
Head of Business Unit BeNeLux at Hinicio
1 年Nice summary Erik. I would like to add that in the early days, H2 eco systems will be highly driven by regulations and related subsidies. Organisations need to set up the appropriate governance to make decisions under uncertainty for example for bidding strategy for subsidy auctions.
Have a great event Erik! My colleague Josie Armstrong will be around, you might find some interesting thoughts to share.
Senior Director Project Delivery, Worley Green Hydrogen Center of Excellence
1 年Intetrsting ??