Seeking the Unicorn

Seeking the Unicorn

Imagine innovation as a horse race. Which horse should you bet on? The favorite? A potential dark horse? Fortunately, in the corporate world, there exists no shortage of high-paid experts and managers to help you make a well calculated bet. In fact, corporate actors behave as though they know exactly which horse will win the race. They will of course have conducted their research. The proof of their due diligence resides in a 95-slide PowerPoint deck replete with Excel charts forecasting hockey-stick-like winnings for the chosen horse. The journey of these PowerPoint slides is itself a tortuous odyssey filled with months of setbacks, seemingly infinite edits, and, at long last, final approval. No senior executive will read 95 slides, though. You must reduce the entire world of complexity and uncertainty down to 3 slides max. Based on these 3 slides, the senior executive is supposed to somehow know whether your proposal is a good idea. Call it years of experience or, more likely, a gut feeling. Whatever it is, the executive will feign utterly cool confidence and release millions of funds for your horse. And off you are to the races with victory right within your grasp!

The process just described is supposed to produce the elusive unicorn which delivers the next generation of groundbreaking business for the company. Unfortunately, the unicorn slowly but surely turns into a walking-dead horse. The scenes of this tragic comedy unfold in the following manner:

  • Lost race #1: the data still show this is the right horse, and it’s always worked before.
  • Lost race #2: let’s do some benchmarking to see how other horses are managed.
  • Lost race #3: let’s bring in a more senior jockey.
  • Lost race #4: let’s hire a consulting firm.
  • Lost race #5: let’s increase funding.
  • Lost race #6: let’s bring in an external jockey.
  • Lost race #7: let’s decrease funding.
  • Lost race #8: let's find other bettors to fund your horse.
  • Lost race #9: let’s discuss other topics. 

Eventually, the horse disappears from all official communications. Every now and then, though, you might catch a glimpse of the specter in the yearly budgeting process, casually trotting around the company and finding new pastures upon which to eat up more company treasure. You might even know someone who once worked with this horse. It goes without saying that this person always knew it was a dead horse, but someone higher up the food chain took the decision. Now, The Walking Dead Horse is in Season 9 with nobody watching anymore, but the studio hasn’t canceled the show. Nobody even knows why.

For those unfamiliar with this metaphor, it originates from a Dakota Indian aphorism, “When you discover that you are riding a dead horse, the best strategy is to dismount.” Yet, time and again, corporate executives and managers simply do not have the good sense or courage to dismount. The failure to do so is everywhere but simultaneously nowhere to be found on the lips of the actors on the corporate stage, not in yearly reports, not on resumes, not in HR discussions, not in LinkedIn posts. This unwillingness to dismount is a wholly unnecessary tragedy for innovation, the company, its employees, its customers, and, worst of all, society. 

A better way exists. When you are venturing outside of your core business, make sure you have a clearly defined strategy, a structured set of go criteria by which to measure the maturity and attractiveness of your business model, a testing plan for the assumptions of your business model, dedicated resources, and commitment to reintegrate the project if it is successful. Most importantly, whenever it turns out the project is not resonating with the customer ecosystem, have the courage to terminate the project. Nothing is worse for your innovation culture than dead horses.



A unicorn cannot be found in a horse race. (= Disqualified) I agree with a lot of the article but see a fundamental issue with expectation management. If you want to have a unicorn: Buy one. Prices start at 1B$. Don't expect to build it with an invest of a handful of M$. That does not make sense in a world with zero interest rates. Corporate innovation got disrupted by cheap money of central banks (in 2nd and 3rd horizon). Get used to it. I embrace the approach of systematically funneling innovation projects. As you said "a better way exists". This is true for the early phases - this drastically increases the chances of success. But the early phases are not enough. An innovation needs to be successfully on the market. And if you want to control an innovation project for 5-8 years with 3month sprints until it becomes a unicorn - forget it. You wear off people, get into micromanagement and will not have the stamina to survive a valley of drought which every unicorn experienced. Btw. startups runway is typically 2 years. Product innovation is long term in its nature. It is a marathon, not a sprint (or a horse race).

Good read for many corporate innovators.?

Subhajit Biswas

Crafting Strategy | Developing New Business | Driving Transformation |

4 年

Michael Nichols as always its a good read. Just a thought, can we bring some KPIs here. Like a normal business has top and bottom line. May be ROI for the investment done in innovation topic in corporates or no of winning ideas / 100 validations?? Open for discussion.

Gregg Fraley

Innovation Facilitator, Improv Trainer, Author. Audio book Producer and Narrator.

4 年

Yes, yes, yes. I'd share this if I could. It does beg the question: What are the new and innovative ways to find a real Live Horse? Yes, process is part of that answer, but I would suggest that unless that process includes a deliberate collision of new tech with old tech you might be doomed to an Obvious Horse instead of a Breakthrough Horse. Cheers!

Michael Nichols

VP Corporate Strategy / Mergers & Acquisitions @ MANN+HUMMEL | Corporate Development

4 年

Uwe Kirschner, Sara Carvalho, Levent Hikmet Sürer, Luisa Wagner, Lukas von Hohnhorst, Olivia Chiu, Emmanuel Lewis, Jan Sedlacek, Marco Affonseca, Jonas Vollmer, Kendra Rauschenberger, Petra Rulsch, Toni Br?uer, Johannes Sommerh?user, Tobias Neffle, Andrew Binns, Noel Sobelman, Aaron Leopold, Valerie Chua, Weiyi Ng, Guntram Dr. Herda, Frederic Etiemble, Markus Perkmann, Cristobal Garcia Herrera, Christoph Zott

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