The Secret Formula to Operational & Business Success: Science Says, Stop Pushing the Easy Button!

The Secret Formula to Operational & Business Success: Science Says, Stop Pushing the Easy Button!

Introduction

In the high-stakes world of business, prioritization can make the difference between success and failure. Leaders often face a myriad of challenges, some monumental. We often say to ourselves and others, "pick the top three." But how do we know if we are choosing the right challenges? Fortunately, research is shedding new light on this, perhaps challenging our firmly held beliefs about which tasks matter most.

Understanding why the key to achieving substantial progress lies in focusing on the most uncomfortable and impactful tasks first requires delving into the science behind it. This includes insights from Andrea Olson, Adam Grant, and Angela Duckworth. Their work highlights that achieving greater success with more difficult challenges involves increasing the speed at which we can achieve positive outcomes. Each of these experts offers valuable perspectives on why focusing on and tackling big challenges is crucial for long-term success.

Situation: The Current State of Business Prioritization

The tendency to focus on easier challenges is deeply rooted in human nature and extends into workplace dynamics. Employees often seek immediate and tangible signs of progress to secure favorable evaluations, reinforced by a company’s incentive and promotion structures. While understandable, this behavior can lead to suboptimal outcomes when it diverts attention from the critical challenges that determine long-term success.

Under pressure to constantly prove their value, employees naturally gravitate towards challenges that provide quick wins and visible progress. This behavior is driven by a desire for immediate recognition and positive feedback. In a typical workplace, where performance is often measured by visible outputs, this tendency is reinforced both psychologically within the organizational structure and socially through peers. Leaders should take notice as sometimes this comes at the personal and organizational expense of those who are addressing the more critical, but less visible, challenges, thereby destroying long-term value for the company.

The Change in Situation

The complication arises when businesses face the sustained performance need to adapt to more complex challenges that are essential for long-term success but are often neglected in favor of easier, more visible tasks. This situation necessitates a shift in focus from immediate, tangible results to addressing the foundational issues that ensure sustainability and growth.

What Questions Does This Situation Raise?

  • How do we shift our focus from easy, visible tasks to more critical, complex challenges?
  • What strategies can be employed to ensure that foundational tasks receive the necessary attention and resources?
  • How can leaders create an environment that supports long-term success over short-term gains?

The Answer

The resolution involves adopting strategies and insights from research and thought leaders to prioritize significant challenges effectively. Perhaps a relevant example might help get us all grounded. If you are not facing this one, you soon will be!

Olson’s Analogy: Machine Learning vs. Causality as an Example (What’s easy is often the enemy of what I really need to get done)

Imagine you're challenged with applying AI to improve a critical business's results. The key to the success of this effort is understanding the underlying causal relationships that ensure long-term value for the business and its customers. For successful implementation, you identify several key objectives: explainability, consistent validity, adaptability without constant human intervention, and the reliability of the decisions the AI informs. By focusing on these foundational elements, you can ensure that the AI system not only delivers immediate benefits but also sustains long-term value and trust.

The Temptation of Quick Wins

However, to generate quick wins and/or to show progress, it becomes tempting to invest time assembling the data you can gather into statistical machine learning models and focus on more visible aspects, such as tweaking the models for better short-term performance metrics. This approach focuses on correlations present in selectively chosen data, letting the audience make connections to understanding based on their own knowledge and biases. These improvements can be easily showcased to stakeholders as immediate progress. Everyone feels good! Right?

The Pitfall of Neglecting Causal Understanding in a Complex Environment

But without a solid understanding of the underlying causal mechanisms and interdependencies that exist within the context of knowledge, know-how, and the data combined, the model will never truly be sustainable, reliable, or generalizable, regardless of how impressive the initial results might look.

Research Insights

Research from BMC Medical Informatics and Decision Making and Kominsky, J. F., et al. (2018), assessing the complexity of causal systems using Amazon's MTurk platform, supports the idea that a company using statistical methods for decision-making often faces slower, inconsistent decision processes due to human input and interpretation. Efficiency is lower (around 70%) because human intervention is required, leading to potential misinterpretation of data correlations and extensive resource allocation for verifying decisions. Quality is also lower (approximately 75%) as statistical methods may not accurately identify causal relationships, resulting in decisions influenced by confounding variables and biases. Consequently, value creation is lower, with missed opportunities for optimization and innovation, making the company less responsive and adaptable, and increasing operational costs due to inefficiencies and the need for manual oversight.

The Benefits of Leveraging Causal Methods

In contrast, a company leveraging causal methods benefits from automated reasoning and scientific approaches, resulting in faster, more consistent decision-making. The speed of decision-making is optimized, and efficiency is significantly higher (about 90%) due to automation and the elimination of human biases. This allows resources to be reallocated to strategic areas. Decision quality is also higher (approximately 95%) as causal methods accurately identify cause-and-effect relationships, leading to more reliable decisions based on comprehensive analysis. This enhances value creation, driven by efficient and high-quality decision processes, and opens up greater opportunities for optimization, innovation, and strategic growth. Overall, such a company can achieve a competitive advantage with better responsiveness, lower operational costs, and improved strategic decisions, resulting in enhanced performance, customer satisfaction, and profitability.

Insights from Adam Grant

Adam Grant, in his book "Hidden Potential," emphasizes the importance of embracing discomfort and prioritizing difficult challenges. Grant's insights align with Olson's analogy, providing a broader context for understanding why tackling significant challenges first is crucial.

Growth Through Challenge

Grant argues that real growth and development occur when individuals push themselves beyond their comfort zones. Tackling difficult challenges first can lead to significant personal and professional growth. This approach encourages individuals to develop new skills, build resilience, and achieve greater success.

Delayed Gratification

Grant emphasizes the value of delayed gratification—focusing on long-term benefits rather than short-term rewards. Prioritizing the most challenging tasks, even if they don't provide immediate results, can lead to more substantial achievements in the long run. This mindset shift is essential for sustainable success.

Building Resilience

Consistently choosing to do uncomfortable things first helps individuals build resilience and adaptability. These traits are crucial for navigating the complexities of the business world and achieving long-term success. By embracing discomfort, individuals can develop the skills and mindset needed to tackle even the most daunting challenges.

Insights from Angela Duckworth

Angela Duckworth's research on Grit provides a valuable framework for understanding how talent and effort combine to achieve success. Duckworth's formula for achievement emphasizes the critical role of effort in transforming talent into skill and, ultimately, into success.

The Math of Success

Duckworth's formula for achievement can be expressed as:

  1. Effort Multiplies Talent to Create Skill

Skill=Talent × Effort

  1. Effort Applied to Skill Leads to Achievement

Achievement = Skill × Effort

  1. Combining these two equations, we get:

Prioritizing Significant Challenges

Let's denote significant challenges as Big Challenges. To achieve success, we focus our efforts on these first.

Equation of Success with Focus on Big Challenges

Here’s a breakdown of how each element contributes to success:

  • Talent: The inherent ability or aptitude of an individual.
  • Effort: The consistent hard work and persistence applied by the individual.
  • Big Challenges: The significant and difficult tasks or projects that require prioritization.

These equations illustrate that true success is not just a matter of natural talent but rather the result of persistent effort and the strategic focus on overcoming the most important and challenging tasks.

Leadership and Execution

Effective leadership plays a pivotal role in guiding teams to prioritize significant challenges. Leaders often emphasize execution and progress tracking, which can pressure employees to prioritize easier tasks that show immediate results. However, this approach can be counterproductive if it diverts attention from the most critical challenges. This focus on visible progress can lead to a misalignment of priorities, where the most significant challenges are overlooked.

Misalignment of Priorities

Leaders may assume that the ideation phase is sufficient, and that execution should proceed smoothly. However, this assumption underestimates the complexity of the 'big things' that require substantial effort and time. Effective leaders must recognize the importance of prioritizing these challenges and support their teams in tackling them.

Recommendations for Leaders

Olson, Grant, and Duckworth provide valuable insights for leaders seeking to foster a culture of prioritizing significant challenges. By adopting these recommendations, leaders can guide their teams towards greater success. This approach not only enables organizations to tackle complicated problems in a much more expedient and efficient way, but it also allows them to solve these problems more quickly than their competitors. This increased speed of achieving positive outcomes to significant challenges is one of the key points, driving a competitive advantage and positioning the organization for long-term success.

Prioritizing Critical Tasks

Leaders should encourage and measure performance based on how well employees handle the major, complex challenges. This approach ensures that the most critical tasks receive the attention and effort they require.

Recognition of Effort

Leaders should acknowledge and reward efforts made in tackling the difficult parts of a project, even if they don't yield immediate visible progress. This recognition reinforces the importance of addressing the most significant challenges.

Patience and Support

Leaders must cultivate a culture that understands and supports the time and effort needed to address the foundational elements of major initiatives. This support is essential for fostering resilience and perseverance within teams.

Implications for Organizations

By focusing on the most significant challenges first, organizations can achieve long-term success and sustainable growth. This approach offers several key benefits.

Ensuring Long-Term Success

Addressing the core issues upfront can prevent potential failures down the line. By prioritizing the most significant challenges, organizations can build a strong foundation for long-term success.

Building a Resilient Team

Encouraging employees to tackle complex problems fosters a more capable and confident workforce. This resilience is crucial for navigating future challenges and achieving sustainable success.

Achieving Sustainable Growth

Properly addressing the foundation ensures that the project is strong, leading to sustainable progress and success. By focusing on the most significant challenges, organizations can achieve growth that is both meaningful and enduring.

AI's Role in the Future of Business

As technology continues to evolve, the role of AI in the business world becomes increasingly significant. AI is poised to handle a variety of routine operational tasks, predictive maintenance, process optimization, and more. This shift underscores the importance of the skills discussed earlier, as human roles in guiding, directing, and teaching AI become paramount.

Navigating Speed and Uncertainty

In the era of AI, speed and uncertainty are the new norms. AI accelerates efficiency and innovation, driving faster decision-making and learning. However, the human element remains critical for validation, strategic planning, exception management, and ethical decision-making. This dynamic future requires humans to focus even more on significant challenges and foundational tasks to leverage AI effectively.

High-Speed Decision-Making with AI

AI enables high-speed decision-making, significantly improving value creation compared to traditional methods. Organizations that leverage AI for rapid decisions achieve substantial value improvements. This further emphasizes the need for humans to focus on foundational tasks that AI cannot yet perform, ensuring that AI's recommendations and actions are validated and strategically aligned.

Mastering Efficiency: Doing The Right Things Right, With Focus

In line with these insights, the concept of mastering efficiency by doing the right things right is crucial. If our goal is 100% productivity/ performance, 40% is enabled by mastering efficiency, disciplined operations, and management. The remaining 60% is achieved by minimizing distractions across six key dimensions:

  1. Technology Enabled Focus
  2. Ensuring Operational Continuity
  3. Eliminating Multitasking
  4. Managing Environmental Factors
  5. Maximizing Employee Well-being
  6. Addressing Generational Susceptibility

These dimensions are crucial for maintaining a focused and efficient work environment, further emphasizing the need to tackle significant challenges head-on.

Conclusion

Integrating insights from Andrea Olson, Adam Grant, and Angela Duckworth highlights the importance of tackling significant challenges first. While it’s tempting to prioritize tasks that offer quick, visible results, true productivity and success lie in addressing the most challenging parts of any project. Leaders should create environments that support and reward the effort required to tackle these critical tasks, ensuring long-term success and innovation.

By embracing the discomfort of tackling big challenges, applying persistent effort, and recognizing the value of grit, organizations can achieve remarkable success. This approach not only fosters individual growth and resilience but also builds a strong foundation for organizational excellence. In the high-stakes world of business, prioritizing the most significant challenges is the key to unlocking true potential and achieving lasting success.

In the dynamic future where AI handles many routine tasks, these skills will be of even greater importance. Humans must guide, direct, and teach AI, ensuring that foundational challenges are addressed to achieve sustainable growth and innovation.

Scott Reed

Modern Industrialist/Contemporary Dinosaur

3 个月

Michael Carroll Great post. Lots of great takeaways here but this is core to me: "But without a solid understanding of the underlying causal mechanisms and interdependencies that exist within the context of knowledge, know-how, and the data combined, the model will never truly be sustainable, reliable, or generalizable, regardless of how impressive the initial results might look." Capturing knowledge and the veracity of knowledge is paramount. And, what about those interdependencies? Not just those algorithmic inputs, those real ones related to physical process design, hard coded industrial programming and operational intent versus current state operational drift. Can these mechanisms be ferreted out in order to provide that "reliability of the decisions the AI informs"?

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Dan Aldridge, ERP Software Expert

The ERP Doctor | Director, Marketing at PCG | ERP Software, Digital Transformation and Manufacturing Expert | Infor CloudSuite | Infor LN Partner | Oracle NetSuite | SAP S/4HANA | Evolving ERP Podcast | Author | Golfer ?

3 个月

Great post, Michael Carroll! I'm a firm believer in science. Please keep the articles coming. ??

Thanks,Mike. Go back to the JFK philosophy do it because it’s hard?

Jim Beilstein

Vice President - Global Operations & Supply Chain at Owens Corning

4 个月

Michael Carroll, thank you for putting this down on “paper!” Your comments on causality in AI are spot on and your framework on distractions is particularly useful in the complexity of global operations. Keep on sharing!

Thanos Yiagopoulos

Chief Technology and Sustainability Officer

4 个月

Thank you for such an inspiring read, Mike. As expected of you, an exceptional piece of deep through leadership. Unfortunately, delaying gratification is a behaviour that modern corporate culture, across all industries, failed to nurture, leading to short termism and eventually value (and environmental) destruction. Reading through your post, I reminded myself that Courage and Perseverance are the two essential traits for all leaders (and perhaps all human beings), as we strive to innovate our way out of the major challenges of our times. I guess it is our responsibility as executives to make sure that those behaviours find their way back into C-suite sessions and board rooms.??

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