In Search of a GLOF Risk Management Strategy: Developing a Long-Term Program of Actions (POA)
Izhar Hunzai
Policy Advisor / Senior Consultant, Soni Jawari Center for Public Policy, Gilgit-Baltistan
As the impacts of climate change become more pronounced, GLOFs present an escalating risk to high-altitude regions, particularly in the HKH. These floods, driven by the rapid melting of glaciers, threaten both communities and infrastructure. To address these risks, there is an urgent need for a comprehensive and long-term strategy that consolidates current GLOF risk mitigation initiatives, and ensures the sustainability and resilience of future disaster management efforts. One such strategy is the development and implementation of a Long-Term Program of Actions (POA) framework. This strategy is explained in this short article.
The POA framework is a strategic approach designed to address the long-term risks and challenges posed by GLOFs. This framework is not just a plan but a dynamic roadmap that evolves with the changing needs of communities and the environment. It starts with initial proof-of-concept projects like GLOF I, which focused on testing and demonstrating basic disaster risk reduction measures in vulnerable regions. As these initiatives proved useful, GLOF II kicked in to scale key interventions, such as EWS and Protective Infrastructure. While the objectives of GLOF are being achieved, the framework already guides us to further consolidation and optimisation phases, where interventions are expanded, refined, and integrated into broader regional strategies.
The ultimate goal of the POA framework is to achieve what we can term as "GLOF Gold"—a globally recognized standard for disaster resilience that can serve as a model for other regions facing similar threats. This stage represents a mature, fully developed system of GLOF risk management that combines advanced technology, robust governance, and strong community involvement to create resilient, self-sustaining communities.
GLOFs are not a temporary challenge; they are an ongoing and escalating threat due to the accelerating pace of glacier melting. A short-term or reactive approach to GLOF risk management is inadequate and leads to fragmented efforts, resource wastage, and reduced effectiveness. A long-term POA framework ensures that all interventions are part of a cohesive strategy that builds upon past successes and lessons learned.
By adopting a long-term perspective, stakeholders can plan for sustainable and adaptable interventions. This approach allows for the gradual decentralization of mature components to local actors, particularly Community-Based Disaster Risk Management Committees (CBDRMCs). These local entities are best positioned to manage ongoing initiatives, provided they have the right support in terms of training, resources, and governance structures.
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The final stage of the POA framework, GLOF Gold, is more than just an aspirational goal—it is a necessary target for regions that are increasingly vulnerable to climate-induced disasters. Achieving this level of resilience requires continuous investment in capacity building, advanced technologies, and robust governance. It also necessitates strong partnerships between local, national, and international stakeholders to ensure that resources, knowledge, and support are readily available.
The adoption of a long term POA framework is essential for building resilient communities capable of withstanding the growing threat of GLOFs. By taking a strategic, phased approach that evolves over time, stakeholders can ensure that interventions are not only effective in the short term but also sustainable and adaptable in the face of future challenges. Let us work together to create a future where mountain communities are not just surviving but thriving in the face of climate change.
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