Scrap the White Paper: How to Evaluate Tokens and Blockchains
If you have spent any time in the cryptocurrency sector or looking into initial coin offerings (ICOs), you know that the process revolves around "the white paper.
This is a document that lays out facts about the blockchain, protocol, or decentralized application (dapp) that is being built, and describes how the tokens will work. Sometimes it is a deeply technical document. Other times it is mostly marketing.
I think it is mostly irrelevant.
Crypto investors love white papers, although I’m not sure they really read them. Mostly they skim them and ask "why can’t you do this with a database instead of a blockchain?"
It’s a valid question. Of course, it's also a valid question why you even need a database. You could use a spreadsheet instead, or even a comma delimited file. Or you could chisel your ledger on stone tablets too.
Asking the right questions
Most crypto investors don't ask good questions. In fact, most crypto forums are filled with posts of people asking the same thing over and over or issuing the same three or four criticisms of blockchains that they read somewhere else.
Blockchain technology is early, and as such, it should be evaluated more like the way startups are evaluated. And focusing on the underlying technology via the white paper is akin to looking primarily at a startup’s architecture diagrams to decide if you should invest. It makes no sense. It’s one small data point out of many.
The thing token buyers are missing when they look at a white paper is that the blockchain under consideration will almost certainly change. Why? Because technology changes. Use cases will expand. Other blockchains will compete for attention.
In other words, innovation happens and there is no reason to think it won’t happen to blockchains. What you really want to think about then, is how that happens for the dapp or blockchain or network you are evaluating.
VC mindset
I think it is much better to evaluate a blockchain the way you evaluate a startup — you assume the starting point is a starting point, not an end point. Crypto buyers, it seems to me, evaluate a white paper like a final product, and that is where they go wrong.
When I look at crypto deals, I think about a different set of things. I think about where they are starting and where they are likely to be in a decade, and the path to get there.
If you want to evaluate opportunities that way, here are four things to consider.
- Team — This is what I look at first. Building a network is hard. Can this team attract partners and participants? Most of the ones I see are doubtful. I look for a team that isn’t just a bunch of super techie blockchain dudes. I want to see business people who understand marketing and evangelizing.
- Vision — Where is this network going? What are the possibilities past the first use case? The more a network can do in the long term, the more valuable it will be.
- Scope — How broad or narrowly defined are the use cases for this blockchain? This is a hard one, and it is similar to how one might evaluate a new software application. Too broad and the messaging and positioning get diluted. The tool gets eaten alive by more focused competitors. Too narrow and targeted and the tool owns a small niche and never grows out of it.
- New vs. Existing Market — I know my opinion here is in the minority, but I just don’t believe blockchains are going to disrupt most existing markets. The entrenched ecosystem has no incentive to change. Instead, I think blockchains are going to enable new markets where trust was difficult before, and now it is possible. I’m sceptical of blockchains for things like existing real estate.
So, the next time you look at a token or a network, just skim the white paper. Make it a secondary factor in your decision, not the primary thing you buy on.
Spend your time instead looking at the team, understanding the big vision, researching the market opportunity, and thinking counterfactually about the possible futures of the network. You’ll make better decisions.
Original article https://www.coindesk.com/scrap-white-paper-evaluate-tokens-blockchains/
IT Strategist at RBR & Associates
7 年Phillip, Your four points on evaluation is right on. The last one "New vs Existing" is very important because it allows that Blockchain may not be the end game but perhaps a stepping stone. Blockchain in itself may create its own new , secure way of looking at and securing data in my opinion. Where it will lead to is still up in the air but it is very important to continue to explore this. Thank you for your insigts.
Building better blockchain protocols
7 年Writing our whitepaper I would say, if you can afford to scrap your whitepaper it's because you don't have any new tech you need to showcase. As an investor, you want to enjoy the upside of the risk you take. If you are not informed, don't take the risk. This market is HIGH HIGH risk. If you don't understand a whitepaper don't buy those tokens. Invest in what you know, I'm sure Warren Buffet said that somewhere. This isn't quick callous "diversifying my portfolio" bumpff. This isn't hedging. Read a whitepaper carefully, read it again, give it to your financial adviser, ask. Email the team. Then invest.