Saudi oil boost
TGIF readers.?I'm Phil Rosen, writing to you from Manhattan.?
For months, friends of mine outside the city have bemoaned sticker shock at gas stations ($5 pump prices make me appreciate the subway a whole lot more).?
Yet, for all their gas dollars lost to suburban American life, little of that has gone toward the country's economic growth.?
Today, I'm breaking down how stratospheric oil prices have planted Saudi Arabia squarely ahead of the US in a key economic metric for 2022.?
One last lap before the weekend, team!?
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1. Saudi Arabia is on track for its fastest rate of economic expansion in nearly a decade.?High oil prices will likely help the Kingdom to finish 2022 as?one of the world's fastest growing economies, according to the International Monetary Fund.
In a new report, the IMF forecasted Saudi Arabia's GDP to?increase by 7.6% this year, just two years after it shrank by 3.4% during the pandemic.?
"Saudi Arabia is likely to be one of the world's fastest-growing economies this year as sweeping pro-business reforms and a?sharp rise in oil prices and production power recovery?from a pandemic-induced recession," the IMF said Wednesday.?
Meanwhile, there's little domestically?to suggest the US can get anywhere near that level of?economic productivity?for the year.?
Recession talk abounds and the Fed continues to struggle against inflation. The IMF predicts?US inflation will average 6.6%?through 2022 and drag into next year.?
Wednesday's forecast?pegged US GDP at 2.3%?for the year — less than half of last year's growth and far below that of the oil-rich Saudis.
European countries are faring even worse.?The deepening energy crisis in Europe is set to?spark a series of steep economic contractions, according to an analyst from Energy Aspects.
On Thursday,?benchmark prices for European natural gas?continued to climb, and now sit roughly 10 times higher than usual for this time of year.
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A severe heat wave, Russia's cuts to gas flows, and a period of drought for Germany's Rhine river have all contributed to a?bleak?outlook for the continent's economies.
And, all the while, Saudi Arabia is about to pen a huge growth milestone into its history books.
What do you think? Are the US and Europe headed for deep recessions??Let us know in the comments.
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3. Housing market activity is signaling that the bear market won't end until next year.?That's what the chief economist of $737 billion asset manager Macquarie told Insider.?He broke down why a sharp decline in mortgage applications and home sales make a recession in 2023 dramatically more likely.?
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5. Shares of Mind Medicine catapulted 78% yesterday?after a report revealed an activist stake of the college student who made $110 million in the recent Bed Bath & Beyond rally.?Get the full details here.?
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2 年Saudi Arabia Oil Reserves, Production and Consumption Statistics. Saudi Arabia will not have any additional capacity to increase its oil production beyond 13 million barrels per day, Crown Prince Mohammed. Saudi Arabia consumes 3,302,000 barrels per day (B/d) of oil as of the year 2016. JEDDAH, Saudi Arabia, July 15 (Reuters) - The United States does not expect Saudi Arabia to immediately boost oil output and awaits the outcome of an OPEC+ meeting on Aug. 3, the U.S. national security adviser said on Friday, lowering expectations as U.S. President Joe Biden visits the kingdom. But the latest information coming out of Saudi Arabia is that it will not have additional capacity to increase production above the 13 million barrels per day (bpd) it has pledged to have by 2027, Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman said earlier this month.