Roundup: The child care cliff, forever chemicals and onions vs. potatoes
Route Fifty
A news publication covering trends and best practices in state and local government across the U.S.
It’s Saturday, June 24, and we’d like to welcome you to the weekly State and Local Roundup.
There’s plenty from this past week to keep tabs on, with a judge striking down Arkansas’ ban on gender-affirming care, CalPERS announcing it’s the latest agency to be affected by the MOVEit software hacking, and a new (controversial) state vegetable being named in Oregon. But first, we’ll start with the looming “child care cliff.”
For states, it has been a whirlwind of federal pandemic-era programs and funds winding down.?
The additional Medicaid money given to states to pause disenrollments ends in December. The funds for emergency rental assistance are drying up. The program that provided free universal school meals ended this school year. And now child care stabilization funds are set to run out, which states and advocates say the loss of could have major impacts for the greater economy.?
In 2021, the American Rescue Plan Act made nearly $40 billion in emergency aid available for child care. The funds went to helping providers pay for rent, lowering tuition rates and increasing wages for workers. But that support is set to end on Sept. 30, and researchers say that when that happens, 3.2 million children could lose their daycare spots as roughly 70,000 programs are expected to close and 232,000 caregivers are expected to lose their jobs, according to a new report from the left-leaning think tank The Century Foundation.?
Researchers predict that the loss in tax and business revenue from the so-called child care cliff will likely cost states $10.6 billion annually in economic activity as millions of parents would have to reduce their hours or leave the workforce altogether to care for their children. Those parents are projected to lose a collective $9 billion annually in earnings.
A huge share of those households are living paycheck-to-paycheck, the report noted, meaning any disruption to employment caused by the loss of child care could push families into food insecurity or housing instability.
Some states will be affected more than others, according to the report. Researchers predict that the number of licensed programs could reduce by half in Arkansas, Montana, Utah, Virginia, Washington, D.C., and West Virginia. In more than a dozen other states, the number of licensed programs could drop by a third.
New York and Texas are projected to see some of the greatest losses: The report says they could lose thousands of child care programs, leaving hundreds of thousands of children without daycare.
“When these resources swiftly and suddenly disappear,” the report noted, “this funding cliff will once again place the sector in danger, as it will be forced to contract, shedding caregivers and care slots in a cascade that will not only upend millions of families’ child care arrangements but also hurt regional economies.”
Read more about the child care cliff here .
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