The Rogue Ratings computer projections point to only Two Horses likely to be wearing the Black-Eyed Susans on Preakness Day
...Last year rogue ratings computer program gave you Preakness winner Cloud Computing
By Hal Wafer ? RogueHandicapper.com ? @RHandicapper
Las Vegas, NV – May 18, 2018 – Now we are on to the second leg of the Triple Crown, and not to brag about last years’ Preakness Stakes in which the rogue ratings computer projections did give us Cloud Computing (*R2*) Rogue Squared Horse who won and paid $28.80-$8.60-$6.00 across the board which was out of several potential horses to focus on from a field of 10 horses to use in our wagering! Additionally, the rogue ratings gave us Classic Empire (*R2*) another Rogue Squared Horse as one of the other projected plays to look at in the race and use in our wagering, and he finished second delivering us an exacta paying $98.40!
The 143rd Preakness Stakes takes place at Pimlico Race Course in Baltimore, Md and has a purse of $1.5 Million which will be run at the distance of 1 3/16 mile (shortest race of the Triple Crown) on the dirt. This historic race is called “The Run for the Black-Eyed Susans” because the winner is adorned with a blanket of yellow flowers which looks like the State of Maryland’s official flower. The Preakness Stakes will be race #13 on the Saturday, May 19, 2018 on the Pimlico card. You can watch it all on NBC with a listed post time of 6:20 p.m. (eastern time).
Rogue Handicapper? Background
I developed and use the rogue ratings computer program projections personally to bet on track and to compete on the highest-level in horse racing handicapping tournaments (NTRA/ NHC Tour) against the best handicappers in the World for over ten years, and my success speaks for its self.
Listen to what one mentored player Ellen Patrick who is the only women to ever win the NHC Last Chance Contest had to say. “I sought out the Hal Wafer, the Rogue Handicapper and his Tournament Mentoring Services to improve and up my contest game which it certainly did! Hal's mentoring program helped me out play a full field of 295 competitors and win over $22,000 in the NTRA/ NHC 18 Last Chance Contest."
Learn more at RogueHandicapper.com about my documented contest success and how my Rogue for Hire Exclusive Tournament Mentoring Service can help you prosper in the horse racing handicapping contest world.…So, what are you waiting for?
Preakness Weather Notes
As always be sure to check to see what the weather conditions look be on the day of The Preakness Stakes and if all else fails look up to the sky or look down at your feet to know for sure.
Rogue Ratings Computer Projections for the 143rd Preakness Stakes G-1
The Rogue Ratings Computer Projections/ Analysis for the 143rd Preakness Stakes
The two horses the Rogue Ratings computer projections point to winning this race are #5-Good Magic (3-1) *S* Speed Horse and the #1-Quip (12-1)*K* Key Horse.
Now, in this year’s Preakness Stakes the Rogue Ratings computer projections points out only two possible winners for you to focus on (which is giving you only 25% of the field) out of the 8 horses entered that will go into the gate this Saturday. Just on that note alone, the computer program simplifies your dilemma of who to focus on because its doing most of the heavy-lifting for you!
Rogue Ratings Computer Projected Pace of The Preakness Stakes
In this year’s edition of the 143rd Preakness Stakes the Rogue Ratings computer program projects the Race Shape (pace) of the race to be an honest pace or even hint to developing into a faster than normal pace if the top two horses engage each other early in the race. As the Rogue Ratings layout shows you quite easily that #7-Justify and #5-Good Magic (*S*) Speed Horse to be the two most likely competitors to create this scenario early in the Preakness. The Rogue Ratings computer program points to the #1-Quip (*K*) Key Horse to be the most likely horse to take advantage of this race shape that very well may take place.
Either an honest or fast pace Preakness looks to still put the #5-Good Magic (*S*) Speed Horse in a good position as he looks to get the lead with an Early Speed Number of 98 or battle for the early lead most likely against #7-Justify who also possess the exact same Early Speed Number of 98. Also, both have the two lowest Velocity Numbers of 80 and 84 respectively. Now, the only real negative is if both horse’s battle on the front-end creating a very fast pace then it will more than likely leave both of these horse’s reserve energy on empty when called upon later in the race by their jockey’s.
The Rogue Ratings computer program points to the #1-Quip (*K*) Key Horse as the most likely one to take advantage of this kind of race shape from off-the-pace by running in a stalking position or even that more of a closer type.
ROGUE HANDICAPPER TIP: A normal Race Shape/ pace will usually aid the best horses that in the race be it the front-runners (early leaders), stalkers (mid pack) or closers (more off the pace) because as the efficiency of the rogue ratings velocity numbers (lower the better) point out which horses are primed to more efficiently put their best foot forward.
If a faster type of Race Shape/ pace is to develop (possibly here in The Preakness) it will aid better horses that race mid-pack or further back early on in a race because they are conserving energy in a race where the early front runners are being asked to use most if not all of their reserve energy and the off-the-pace horses are saving their reserve energy when called upon later in the race.
In this race the rogue ratings projected plays clearly point out which horses are more efficient in using their reserve energy (via the projected velocity numbers) when called upon by the jockey. Simply put, horses that are termed classier horses (higher quality runners) are more efficient using their reserve energy, but also have more of it than average horses. For example; a classier horse is basically able to take the run out of another horse of lesser class by running very fast in a stage (small fraction) of the race. This short battle will burnout the less classier horse leaving it as an also ran in the race to its classier rival! I hope this makes the concept a little clearer for you.
Key Definitions for The Rogue Ratings Projected Plays in The Preakness Stakes
Velocity Number is calculated based on energy distribution (efficiency rating)/ form-cycle presented in a number.
Early Speed Number is a calculation projection of horse(s) likely to run early presented in a number.
Speed Horse (S) is the best early speed horse with a low velocity number.
Rogue Squared Horse (R2) is the second-best outlier horse with a low velocity number that matches a unique profile.
Rogue Horse (R) is the best outlier horse with the lowest velocity number.
Key Horse (K) is the best off the pace horse with a low velocity number.
What Are Your Expectations for Betting and Winning on The Preakness?
Are you looking to bet a little to win a lot? Do you want to bet a good amount of money to make a score? Or do you want to have bragging rights over your friends for the whole year that you picked the winner and they didn’t?
In my opinion, you should know what your expectations are for betting on the Preakness. This will help make clearer for you best way you should bet the race to get the most fun out of it and profit!
Rogue Handicapper? Exacta, Trifecta & Superfecta (Exotic) Betting Method
The misconception of the casual horse racing fan is that you need to be exact in making your trifecta bets to get to the cashier windows. This is just not so, and I will show you what I mean!
The best way to help increase your chances of winning on the Exacta (picking the first two finishers in exact order), Trifecta (picking the first three finishers in exact order) or Superfecta (picking the first four finishers in exact order) is to select one or two key horses (to use as your main selections/ keys) to finish in the top three positions of the trifecta and to put the other horses you pick as additional contenders (crisscrossed) around those key selections in each spot of the Exacta (1st, 2nd), Trifecta (1st, 2nd, 3rd) and the Superfecta (1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th). This is really a time-tested and correct way to bet on a trifecta bet.
1. It makes you have an opinion in a race which will directly reduce the cost of your wagering ticket(s).
2. You’re being able to spread your plays (combinations) among more horses that give you a better opportunity (percentage wise) to win in a trifecta.
3. It’s a betting method that allows you not to have to be perfect in your bets with the exact order of finish in the exacta, trifecta or superfecta but still allows you to be able to win your exacta, trifecta and or superfecta bets which gets you to the cashier windows!
Final Understanding on this Betting/ Wagering Method
So, this way you have your additional horses crisscrossed or partly wheeled around your key horse(s) and if one of your key horses run 1st, 2nd or 3rd and two of your other contenders run in any one of the top three spots (with no opinion on your part where, just as long as they get there) you will win your trifecta wager…this is a very clever wagering strategy and I hope you will agree?
These are the additional contenders that have good Velocity Numbers that I would recommend using as extra contenders in your exotic wagers (exacta, trifecta and superfecta) #2-Lone Sailor (15-1), #7-Justify (1/2) and #8-Bravazo (20-1).
Recommended Exacta Wagering Tickets Outlined for The Preakness Stakes
Exacta ticket(s) with two key betting horses (#1) and (#5) with three other contenders:
$2.00 Exacta bet 1/ 2-5-7-8 and reversed 2-5-7-8 / 1 = $16.00 for betting it both ways
by adding the other key betting horses (#5) it will just double the price outline you see above.
Recommended Trifecta Wagering Tickets Outlined for The Preakness Stakes
Trifecta ticket(s) with two key betting horses (#1) and (#5) with three other contenders:
$1.00 Trifecta bet 1 / 2-5-7-8 / 2-5-7-8 =$12.00 cost
$1.00 Trifecta bet 2-5-7-8 / 1 / 2-5-7-8 =$12.00 cost
$1.00 Trifecta bet 2-5-7-8 / 2-5-7-8 / 1 =$12.00 cost / which is $36.00 for keying in all 3 spots
By adding the other key betting horse (#5) it will just double the price outline you see above.
Recommended Superfecta Betting Method
When betting the superfecta, you can just adjust the betting strategy that I’ve outlined for you below. For example, choosing to use only one key horse in all four spots or if you do use two key horses then I would recommend limiting the number of spots that you use them (putting them in the top two spots first or second) as this will help reduce the cost of your superfecta ticket.
Superfecta ticket(s) with two key betting horses (#1) and (#5) with three other contenders:
$1.00 Superfecta bet 1 / 2-5-7-8 / 2-5-7-8 / 2-5-7-8 = $24.00 cost
$1.00 Superfecta bet 2-5-7-8 / 1 / 2-5-7-8 / 2-5-7-8 = $24.00 cost
By adding the other key betting horse (#5) it will just double the price outline you see above.
I hope this betting outline and strategy helps you on Preakness Day and every day you bet at the track. As always may the Rogue Ratings horses be with you and I’ll see you at the windows!
What is the Rogue Ratings Computer Program?
Two horses battling head to head as they near the wire. What separates one horse from another as to who will win or run better in today race? Rogue Ratings computer program does the heavy lifting for new or experienced horseplayers by the algorithm projecting the race shape and measuring the motor of a race horse as how it looks to perform today. Which is beyond the capability of a new, novice or experienced horseplayer to accomplish accurately and consistently.
What the Rogue Ratings computer program does for you very accurately is two things. First, it measures the motor of the horses through velocity numbers (lower the number the better). Secondly, it outlines the race shape with early speed numbers projections (higher the number mean more early speed) of which horses look to run early, mid and late in the Derby or any race. The horses are listed in the order of how they are projected to run in the race on the rogue ratings program page. Both are sophisticated pieces of information not possessed by the public or public handicappers at large and even if they are aware of these concepts they certainly don’t know how to correctly calculate this information in a clear, and useful way!
Rogue Handicapper? Bio
Hal Wafer aka The Rogue Handicapper? created his website RogueHandicapper.com as a tool for new fans, novice and seasoned handicappers, tournament players and sophisticated gamblers on “How to Gain” an invaluable edge against their competition in the contest room (mentoring) or at the track and Cash More Tickets!
My background includes race & sports book operations, live pari-mutuel operations, hub operations, ADW operations, marketing, player development, simulcasting, first sponsored tournament player by an ADW (BetAmerica.com), NTRA/ NHC player committee member (since 2011) and mentor (since 2017).
Also, I wrote one of the first books on handicapping contests titled “A Survey of Track Handicapping Contests-Rules-Suggestions-Potential” which was published in 1999 by Harness Tracks of America (by Stanley Bergstein) and was used as a guide by The Daily Racing Form and the NTRA for helping to create their National Handicapping Championship Tour.