Risk, Security, Safety and Resilience Newsletter - Week of 29 Feb 24
Ridley Tony
Experienced Leader in Risk, Security, Resilience, Safety, and Management Sciences | PhD Candidate, Researcher and Scholar
The following is a summary of security, risk, safety and resilience articles, topics and issues ending the week of 29 Feb 24.
Key themes for this week include:
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Resilience Engineering
"Complex systems can never be fully specified - not only because they are complex, but because they are dynamic. They change even while you are trying to write the rules or equation set by which it purportedly operates" (p.396)
"...#resilience- the ability to accommodate change, conflict, disturbance, without breaking down, without catastrophic failure" (p.395)
"1. Complex systems do not fare well under a central authority.
2. Complex systems are an open system.
3. Complexity does not lead to anarchy and disorder.
4. Feedback loops are an emergent aspect of complex systems. "(p.397)
"Complex systems, operating under competitive pressure, always have to meet multiple opposing goals at the same time, and always with limited resources"
"...things go right because of the adaptive capacity of crews, because of the close and constant peer pressure to maintain and demonstrate the individual skills that contribute to that capacity, and because of the collective ability to recognise the need to adapt under varying circumstances"(p.394)
"Safety is not about the absence of negatives; it is about the presence of capacities" (p.392)
- Dekker, S. (2019). Foundations of safety science: A century of understanding accidents and disasters. CRC Press.
Read Full Presentation Here ---> https://buff.ly/4cvQywy
The Risk of Zero
"The point about zero is that we do not need to use it in the operations of daily life. No one goes out to buy zero fish. It is in a way the most civilized of all the cardinals, and its use is only forced on us by the needs of cultivated modes of thought.?" (p.14)
"The beginnings of mathematical thought were found in the desire to count sheep and in the need to keep track of property and of the passage of time. None of these tasks requires zero; civilizations functioned perfectly well for millennia before its discovery. Indeed, zero was so abhorrent to some cultures that they chose to live without it.?"
"Within zero there is the power to shatter the framework of logic.?"
(p.13)
"In the very beginning of mathematics, it seems that people could only distinguish between one and many.?" (p.14)
"No other number can do such damage.?"
"Zero is powerful because it is infinity’s twin.?" (p.11)
- Seife, G. (2000) Zero the Biography of a Dangerous Idea, Penguin Books
领英推荐
Read Full Presentation Here ---> https://buff.ly/3yu9deq
Hostile Environment Training (HEAT)
...there remain many (often obfuscated or not disclosed or fully understood) fatal flaws associated with the premise and construct of "hostile environment" training, education, preparations and overall survivability.
The following unpacks a few of the most prominent
Read the full presentation here -->> https://buff.ly/47XvbSE
In sum, hostile environment awareness training (HEAT)remains a catchy, 'war-like' state of readiness, typically built for sales, consumption and marketing, not real-world survival. Content and practices are likely a mix of folklore, superstition and in-group ideology.
As a result, commitment to programs, teachings and outcomes need to be analysed in depth, including the 'facilitators'. And, as the financial industry warns, "past results are no guarantee of future performance".
In short, look before you leap, qualify content, providers and outcomes, and play the long game, not whizzbang, sexy and 'secret' programs delivered by ninjas, spies, war heroes or other movie-styled archetypes. As uncomfortable or insulting as that may present to some(cognitive dissonance).
More importantly, threat, harm, loss, safety and security issues are much closer to home and increasingly more frequently affecting those nearby or at home.
It is time to revisit the basic requirements of survival, which may serve you well the world over, and much, much closer to home (PDF) FATAL ASSUMPTIONS Hostile Awareness Training (HEAT).
Available from: https://buff.ly/47XvbSE
Disaster Resilience
"Disaster recovery plans minimise disruption to key elements identified in the business impact analysis and the risk assessment and lay the foundation for developing plans and strategies, mitigate risks posed by hazard events and increase the likelihood of being able to respond effectively should disaster strike"
"...size and type of business were a significant predictor of business preparedness" ...given the generally low prevailing levels of voluntary preparedness, incentives and regulations are required to encourage business preparedness" (p.80)
Post 9/11 terror attacks, "...90 per cent of medium/large companies that can't resume near-normal operations within five days of an emergency face substantially increased risk of going out of business within five years" (p.79)
- Paton, D. & McClure, J. (2017). Business Continuity in Disaster Contexts, in Paton, D. & Johnston, D. (eds) Disaster Resilience: An integrated approach, 2nd ed, Charles C Thomas Publisher
Read Full Presentation Here ---> https://buff.ly/4dJU9Z8
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Security Support Specialist @ CCI Global | CFE Risk Management|Contingency Planning|Crisis management|People Development|Strategic Leadership|Project execution
2 个月Awesome kindly share [email protected]
Experienced Law Enforcement Officer with Twenty-Four (24) years of experience in providing a safe and secure environment. Retired early on December 31, 2020, with the rank of Police Captain.
2 个月is it possolible to get a copy? pls send at [email protected]. Thank you
Director, Aviation Security at International Air Transport Association (IATA)
2 个月Tony Ridley, MSc CSyP FSyI SRMCP I always enjoy your content. You may have covered this previously, but any chance of a post on risk management assurance? How does an organization go about seeking assurances for their Boards, shareholders, customers etc that are indeed successfully managing risk to a truly acceptable level? I often see risk and assurance as two different things and marking your own homework is simply not enough.
International Security Management Institute
2 个月Could you plse share your paper, very interesting [email protected]