Risk, Security, Safety and Resilience Newsletter (Month-in-Review) Nov 22
Ridley Tony
Experienced Leader in Risk, Security, Resilience, Safety, and Management Sciences | PhD Candidate, Researcher and Scholar
"Events that models predicted would happen only once in 10,000 years happened every day for 3 days”
Whitehouse, Kaja (2007) “One “Quant” Sees Shakeout for the Ages - “10,000 years” , Wall Street Journal, 11 August 2007
History may not repeat…but it certainly rhymes
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"For someone who is capable of, and not averse to, offending, the decision whether or not to commit a specific crime will be a function of both whether an opportunity presents itself and whether the likely rewards from exploiting that opportunity are sufficient to offset the perceived efforts and risks."
Sutton, A., Cherney, A. and White, R. (2014) Crime Prevention: Principles, Perspectives and Practices, 2nd edn, Cambridge University Press. p.56
The following is a summary of security, risk, safety and resilience articles, topics and issues ending the week of 3 Nov 22.
Key themes for this week include:
"...management standards relating to risk, safety and security, including any definition of concepts and terms, should be adopted not as prescriptive salvation models to be complied with dogmatically and pedantically with an unrealistic expectation of high or even absolute prediction and control as an outcome, but as useful goal-orientated guides and aides-memoires."
Boustras, G., & Waring, A. (2020). Towards a reconceptualization of safety and security, their interactions, and policy requirements in a 21st century context. Safety Science, 132, 104942.p.10
The following is a summary of security, risk, safety and resilience articles, topics and issues ending the week of 3 Nov 22.
Key themes for this week include:
"And the understanding of events (and risks) on the part of members of the press is so retrospective that they would put the security checks after the plane ride, or what the ancients call post bellum auxilium, sending troops after the battle."
Taleb, N. (2012) Antifragile, Penguin Books, p.128
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The following is a summary of security, risk, safety and resilience articles, topics and issues ending the week of 17 Nov 22.
Key themes for this week include:
"We do not conceive a sudden, radical, irrational change as built into the very fabric of existence...Yet it is!"
Chrichton, M. (1990) Jurrassic Park....the book!
The following is a summary of security, risk, safety and resilience articles, topics and issues ending the week of 24 Nov 22.
Key themes for this week include:
"El Ni?o drives global weather patterns that have a huge economic impact on everything from agriculture to insurance, so there is even more incentive to predict it than there is to predict house prices. And yet our most sophisticated weather models still do a poor job of predicting El Ni?o”
Orrell, D. (2017) Economyths: 11 Ways Economics Gets it Wrong, Icon Books, p.23
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Risk, Security, Safety, Resilience & Management Sciences