The Rise of The Orange Phoenix III: The AI Dawn + Cultural Reckoning+ KVP's 2025 Macro Bets ??????

In Part 1, KVP broke down the monster setup that makes 2025 the most fascinating macro backdrop ever. ?? In Part 2, we exposed how the DOGE plan is about to revolutionize government spending. ?? Now connecting all the dots...

When we look back at 2025, it's gonna be super obvious that what's happening isn't just another political cycle or market rotation (as evidenced in THE Inauguration Speech of the Year by none other than The Orange Phoenix himself). KVP thinks we're at the dawn of not just a new era, but a complete rewiring of how society + markets + technology intersect ??.

The Meta Force You're Not Ready For ??

It's very easy to think a lot of this is going to be inflationary. & there will definitely be inflationary cadences to it as well as deflationary cadences. But you have to understand one huge, massive meta play that's going to be happening in the world, & that's of course AI ??.

Technology is the biggest deflationary force known to mankind. It is entropy on steroids ??. & that's huge because we're going to be basically entering this new regime across the world of:

• AI in the real world (not just AI agents) ??
• Robots & robotics ??
• Automation at scale ??
• Huge changes in job security ??
• Massive shifts in how we think of society ??

But we've been slamming into hard constraints. The AI revolution isn't getting bottlenecked by ideas or ambition - it's hitting the physical limits of our infrastructure: Compute ?? + Storage ?? + Energy ?

The companies that crack these bottlenecks? They'll be the alpha leading us into a new frontier that Nilesh Jasani calls... the rise of the Fourth Macro Sector??.

The Cultural Reckoning Nobody's Pricing ??

& this tech revolution is colliding with something even bigger - a complete reset in how we think about building & innovation.

Look at China right now - perfect case study of what not to do.

Here's what's happening there...

It doesn't matter how many stimulus packages they throw at the economy. If you're:

• An entrepreneur trying to build ???
• A builder wanting to innovate ??
• An executive aiming to scale ??

You're basically hindered + crucified for being successful ?. & when you're forcing executives to bend the knee...

The whole system dies.

& KVP thinks it's same-same but different in the US.

Same playbook, different continent...

But now? Everything's about to change.

Building + innovating + pioneering is not just going to become cool again... it's going to become the default state ?.

KVP's 2025 Market Positioning ??

KVP thinks it's gonna be super obvious that many folks will be missing the biggest plot twists coming:

• The Dollar Play ?? Everyone's got this idea the USD is some immortal beast that only gets stronger. But KVP's been here before - market's way too bearish on the Orange Phoenix administration, completely missing how the Ukraine-Russia situation resolves. That's gonna hit the dollar. Hard.
• The China Joker ?? China's sitting in a much darker place than during the last Orange Phoenix run. That opens the door for a better US-China relationship. But if that dance fails? Watch for the yuan devaluation. That's their trump card & they know it.
• Orange Phoenix's Hidden Leverage ??It's simple: Want to trade with the US? Better buy some Treasury debt ??. Need that defense umbrella? There's a debt subscription for that ???. Looking for preferential investment treatment? Show me the jobs ??.
• New Bretton Woods Level Dollar System Restructuring?? Nope, not just some minor adjustment, but a complete structural reform. We're talking coordinated weakening with China as the swing factor. ?

So, when KVP looks at 2025 & beyond, the setup is BEAUTIFUL. ??

Equities are going higher regardless of the monster moves we've already seen ??. The deregulation wave is going to be massively bullish ??. But the real story? We're about to see 8-12 years of crypto evolution compressed into just 4 years ??.

KVP's putting his neck out with these Bitcoin targets because the setup is just too perfect:

• 150K before Q1 wraps ??
• 200K when summer hits ??
• 225K to 250K in the second half (the BIG one) ??

Your Playbook For The Next Few Months ??

It's very, very hard to measure the positive impact from a growth-minded, forward-thinking, building cultural zeitgeist. But KVP could tell you one thing - it's not a 10, 20% kind of return in regards to GDP or growth. It's actually multiple to the upside ??.

Think about it. This isn't just some policy shift... it rewires America's builder DNA ??.

When you unlock citizens' animal spirits ??, when you tell builders "go fcking build" ???, when you signal to entrepreneurs "risk-taking isn't a crime anymore" ??... that's when the magic happens.

You can write all the policies you want, but if your own people don't believe in the direction the country's going? Nothing moves.

While KVP's very, very constructive on the year as a whole, he's also quite cognizant.

This is the dawn of a new era where AI restructures everything ?? + building becomes cool again ??? + a true growth mindset returns ??. & with technology forcing transparency ?? & a potential multi-year MAGA dynasty in play ??, the implications run deeper than most realize.

& as in everything...

KVP's wishing everyone a fantastic 2025.

May Jupiter's winds find you ??.

-KVP

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