Reward Yes - But Only Tomorrow
Pic taken by the author and produced by his wife

Reward Yes - But Only Tomorrow

My youngest son is 3.5 years old. He collects and hoards everything - sweets are his favorite. When he receives candy or chocolate, he always wants the maximum amount possible. You might think what child does not. However, the trick is, he does not eat them at all! The accumulation of treasures is far above consumption. His 18-month older sister sometimes drives this behavior up the wall. She is a different type and prefers to enjoy the sweets right away.

The marshmallow test

One candy right away or two later? In the 1960s, 4-year-old children had to make this choice. Those who could wait were more successful later in life. This is probably the shortest summary of Walter Mischel's marshmallow test at the Stanford Campus in the USA.

An interesting topic, because long-term investors do nothing different. They not only refuse to eat the chocolate now, they actually hope it will increase over time. A sensible approach.

Sacrifice and recognition

Deferred gratification is a term derived from psychology; and it was there that Walter Mischel laid a foundation for much further research. The deferral mechanism has worked particularly well for our customers. As a result, they would not be where they are today. If you always consume everything and do not underspend your income, you will not be able to save up capital to invest.

Many a young person sees a large fortune and thinks, I want that too. But when he or she learns that decades of hard work, discipline and - yes, let's call it what it is - sacrifice were involved, the enthusiasm is usually reduced. I want that too, only faster, is often the reaction received. If you then counter that with a saying like, grass does not grow any faster if you pull on it, you rarely make friends.

Compound interest miracle

Nevertheless, it is important to learn early on that certain relationships are indissoluble. Our brain easily understands linear developments. Saving 50 euros every month over 30 years makes 18,000 euros in the end. That is easy to calculate in our heads. Yet, it is not quite so easy to estimate that at 3 percent current interest, it is already 29,000 euros, and at 8 percent, it is over 70,000 euros.

Albert Einstein is reported to have said, “Compound interest is the eighth wonder of the world. He who understands it, earns it. He who doesn’t, pays it.” Good for us, because we can understand this miracle more easily than the theory of relativity. Even more effective than what we understand, however, is what we experience, which is why an early start is advantageous when it comes to investing and compounding.

Candy only for the patient

When investing in equities, another facet comes into play. After a thorough analysis of the business model, one decides to buy the share. This is followed by a long period of patience. Sometimes, unfortunately far too rarely, one is lucky and the original investment thesis quickly materializes. The hidden value is recognized by the market, the company is taken over or the hoped-for growth accelerates strongly.

A surprisingly quick win today is worth more than the potential jackpot in an uncertain future. However, you usually have to wait until the magic of entrepreneurship and compound interest shake hands.

The true values in life

Reward deferral is always a good thing, however, do not overdo it. Time with family and experiences with friends are equally well invested. The resulting emotional return has a high value. This is not something to be put off, but to be enjoyed to the fullest!

__________________________________

This is a marketing communication. Investments in financial instruments are exposed to market risks. Past performance or forecasts are not reliable indicators of future results. Tax treatment depends on each client's personal circumstances and may change in the future. Bank Gutmann AG hereby explicitly points out that this document is intended solely for personal use and for information only. Publishing, copying or transfer shall not be permitted without the consent of Bank Gutmann AG. The contents of this document have not been designed to meet the specific requirements of individual investors (desired return, tax situation, risk tolerance, etc.) but are of a general nature and reflect the current knowledge of the persons responsible for compiling the materials at the copy deadline. This document does not constitute an offer to buy or sell or a solicitation of an offer to buy or sell securities.

The required data for disclosure in accordance with Section 25 Media Act is available on the following website: https://www.gutmann.at/en/imprint

要查看或添加评论,请登录

Robert Karas, CFA的更多文章

  • Unerfüllte Erwartung

    Unerfüllte Erwartung

    Bei meiner Hochzeitsrede im Jahr 2014 sorgte ich für überraschte Gesichter. Auf die Frage: ?Was ist das Geheimnis einer…

    13 条评论
  • Unmet Expectations

    Unmet Expectations

    At my wedding speech in 2014, I caused a few surprised faces. When asked, “What’s the secret to a happy marriage?” I…

    9 条评论
  • Power, Position, and Collaboration

    Power, Position, and Collaboration

    I wasn’t born a Chief Investment Officer. Of course, you already knew that.

    11 条评论
  • Macht, Position und Miteinander

    Macht, Position und Miteinander

    Ich bin nicht als Chief Investment Officer auf die Welt gekommen. Klar, das war Ihnen sowieso bewusst.

    10 条评论
  • 200 Blickwinkel – danke, Herr Buffett!

    200 Blickwinkel – danke, Herr Buffett!

    Wer h?tte im Juni 2020 gedacht, dass dem ersten Gutmann Blickwinkel Newsletter weitere 100.000 W?rter folgen werden?…

    10 条评论
  • 200 Viewpoints – Thank You, Mr. Buffett!

    200 Viewpoints – Thank You, Mr. Buffett!

    Who would have thought in June 2020 that the first Gutmann Viewpoint newsletter would be followed by another 100,000…

    20 条评论
  • MAG 7 – Risiko oder Chance?

    MAG 7 – Risiko oder Chance?

    Vergangene Woche hielt ich den Vortrag ?Magnificent 7: Risiko oder Chance?“ und hatte anschlie?end spannende Gespr?che…

    10 条评论
  • MAG 7 – Risk or Opportunity?

    MAG 7 – Risk or Opportunity?

    Last week, I gave a talk titled “Magnificent 7: Risk or Opportunity?” and had some fascinating discussions afterward at…

    12 条评论
  • Context Matters

    Context Matters

    “You just have to hit harder!” Hearing this phrase out of the blue might be confusing. But if you’re in a boxing gym…

    8 条评论
  • Auf den Kontext kommt es an

    Auf den Kontext kommt es an

    ?Du musst nur h?rter zuschlagen!“ Wer diesen Satz h?rt, ist im ersten Moment irritiert. Wer allerdings dabei in einem…

    6 条评论

社区洞察

其他会员也浏览了