Revenue Estimation from Citadel's Data Exhaust

Revenue Estimation from Citadel's Data Exhaust

While a lot of folks are allowing their attention to be hacked by the latest tweet, squirrel or AI-vowel combo to float by - and the entire landscape begins to suffer from an increasing left-brain imbalance - let's not forget the value of authorship. You know, the thing that reminds you that your "AI" is still just a bunch of nested if-then statements - and can't possibly solve the puzzle you are about to solve for the distant foreseeable future. That kind of "AI" is a snob that can only function on data that is somehow cleaner than reality...

Turns out, there remains a ton of valuable data lying around - as I have been saying on our Feed lately - hiding in plain sight. And, it turns out, that that data has been disclosed in small, hard-to-reach, chunks precisely because it's quite valuable once distilled properly, like a fine Kentucky bourbon. And, once distilled properly, authorship can be applied to coax that data to sing songs like Mercury or paint pictures like Dali. And, every once in a while, even the raw, seemingly innocuous data will cough up a pearl that need not be distilled at all.

In the chart below, Alphacution has built part of a storyboard around one such pearl: 2010 revenue of $888 million for Citadel Securities used to calculate that year's SIPC assessment. Now, it's not clear yet if this pearl is disclosed by error or by some force of serendipity. And, finding it doesn't necessary mean that the fog is entirely cleared away; only that the fog is diminished enough for Alphacution's contextual modeling assets to use it as crowbar to pry open another can of intelligence...

Pictures and much more of the story here..

要查看或添加评论,请登录

Paul Rowady的更多文章

  • Summary of Robinhood's Legal Woes

    Summary of Robinhood's Legal Woes

    On Friday, February 26, 2021 - at 12:13pm ET - in what appears to be a well-managed front run of press collaboration by…

    2 条评论
  • BlackRock, Bridgewater, and Citadel: The Decline of Speculation at Scale

    BlackRock, Bridgewater, and Citadel: The Decline of Speculation at Scale

    More than its foundational role for capital formation and price discovery, the capital markets ecosystem is also a…

  • Goldman Sachs and the Long Arc of Hull Trading

    Goldman Sachs and the Long Arc of Hull Trading

    "And the men who hold high places - should be the ones who start - to mold a new reality - closer to the heart." -…

    1 条评论
  • Virtu Financial: When Life Imitates Art

    Virtu Financial: When Life Imitates Art

    Though it’s disclosures about key attributes of their business are quite good relative to others, Virtu – like any…

  • Estimated Order Routing Revenue for Robinhood up 227% in 2018

    Estimated Order Routing Revenue for Robinhood up 227% in 2018

    Free for you is expensive for someone else..

  • Deconstructing Citadel: Why It Matters

    Deconstructing Citadel: Why It Matters

    As Alphacution puts the final touches on its forthcoming case study on the global trading powerhouse, Citadel LLC, we…

    1 条评论
  • Top 100 Players in US Listed Market Structure

    Top 100 Players in US Listed Market Structure

    These players control most of the available opportunity in the structural alpha zone of Alphacution's asset management…

    13 条评论
  • Goldman Sachs' Book: Hiding in Plain Sight

    Goldman Sachs' Book: Hiding in Plain Sight

    The problems are solved, not by giving new information, but by arranging what we have known since long.” – Ludwig…

    1 条评论
  • Robinhood and Payments for Order Flow

    Robinhood and Payments for Order Flow

    It was a recent father-son (and dog) road trip. Several hours in the car, on our way to support daughter / sister…

  • IBM Hides Watson Under a Red Hat

    IBM Hides Watson Under a Red Hat

    A charitable assessment might have called it an experiment, really; an experiment to find out if the headwinds on the…

    4 条评论

社区洞察

其他会员也浏览了