Return of Nawaz Sharif: A Political Puzzle Unfolding on October 21

In the ever-shifting landscape of Pakistani politics, one name that has consistently made headlines is Mian Nawaz Sharif. His impending return to Pakistan from London on October 21 after nearly four years in exile has sparked a whirlwind of speculation, anticipation, and skepticism. While the signs seem to point towards his arrival, the track record of past promises makes it wise to hold onto a healthy dose of skepticism until the very last moment.

Nawaz Sharif's departure from Pakistan in November 2019, citing medical grounds and with the court's permission, was supposed to be temporary. Yet, his prolonged absence and the constant justifications offered by the Pakistan Muslim League-Nawaz (PML-N) raised eyebrows. First, it was the previous establishment and the PTI government to blame for the delay in his return, then the Bandial court became the latest hurdle in the path. PML-N leaders had teased the public with multiple return dates, but the former Prime Minister remained abroad even when his brother held power.

Now, it appears that Nawaz Sharif is gearing up to lead his party's election campaign, and this has set tongues wagging about the role of the ever-elusive 'deal' in Pakistani politics. Of course, PML-N leaders vehemently deny any such arrangements, but in a country where political fortunes are often decided behind closed doors, many speculate that if Nawaz left with a 'deal,' he's bound to return with one as well.

One lingering question remains: which Nawaz Sharif will return to Pakistan? Is it the Nawaz Sharif of the fiery Pakistan Democratic Movement (PDM) rallies during the PTI tenure, or will he adopt a more subdued stance closer to his brother's political vision? The question of Nawaz Sharif's narrative is equally intriguing. In a recent party meeting held via video link, he seemed to revisit his old self, making candid observations about the state of Pakistan, power dynamics among institutions, and the state of democracy. He demanded accountability for those who derailed his government in 2017, raising eyebrows and speculation.

What complicates matters further is the sudden visit of Shehbaz Sharif to London right after Nawaz's statement, leading to whispers of a 'message' being delivered. Despite denials, PML-N leaders now claim that Nawaz will not target anyone at his homecoming rally in Lahore, leaving matters to Divine justice.

Among political analysts, there's a divergence of opinion. Nawaz appears to believe that his political narrative must begin from his ouster as Prime Minister and the subsequent impact on Pakistan. However, PML-N leadership seems to advocate for a more conciliatory approach, perhaps to avoid rocking the boat with the establishment.

Amidst the speculations about a potential return to power for the PML-N, the role of democracy in this unfolding drama remains unclear. As we listen to the narratives of our politicians, we must wonder if we will ever hear the redacted parts of their stories. Nawaz Sharif had seemingly shed his coquettishness not long ago, but is his 'narrative' being brought back in line for another stint in power? Only October 21 will provide some hints about the future of Pakistani politics, but one thing's for sure – uncertainty and speculation are the name of the game.