Report IOSI-01 / Aug-2019 The Call to Asymmetric Warfare in the Americas.
Armando Johan Obdola
Chairman, IOSI GLOBAL | President & Partner, VERIDION Consulting | Author of Dangerous Times Book Series | Global Geopolitical & Security Expert | Keynote Speaker.
An exclusive video (Spanish) where Sheikh Ahmad Qomi, son-in-law of Moshen Rabbani (the brain of the AMIA terrorist attack in Argentina) appears alongside Argentines and Iranians at a training center in Masha, Beharan. Iran sending their support to Venezuela.
The recent statement (video recorded in the state of Táchira, Venezuela) by Iván Márquez, accompanied by Jesús Santrich and Hernando Darío Velásquez (AKA El Paisa), Colombian FARC commanders, reporting the return to the armed fighting against the Colombian State, clearly demonstrates a new strategy, previously planned by the Venezuela, Iran and Cuban regimes, among other actors, to generate an armed conflict that will begin in Colombia, Venezuela and Brazil, and will It will expand in Latin America, with direct implications in the United States and Canada.
This scenario of guerrilla warfare operations and terrorist actions have been carefully planned for years in Venezuela, with assistance from the Cuba and Iran regimes mainly, and with active participation of FARC, ELN, Hezbollah, and other terrorist, radical and anarchist groups operating in the hemisphere, and who initiated a careful regional process of international financial support, and recruitment-training and indoctrination of violent and anti-capitalist individuals and groups in addition to other groups of leftist extremists, creating a movement with global reach, but with a specific plan to initiate and radicalize armed groups and terrorist scenarios in Latin America and the Caribbean.
Why an Asymmetric War in the Region?
Historically, Cuba has been the “brain and operator” of insurgent movements and destabilizers across Latin America mainly, being its fullest moment with the arrival of Hugo Chavez to power in Venezuela, and becoming the Revolution Bolivarian its principal strategic and financial center of the movements insurgents of the hemisphere, under the tutelage of Cuba. Soon after, Chavez ordered his most trusted men in state functions, to start a global drug operation under the pretext of "counteracting enemy attacks from capitalists to his regime ”. In 2005, and once Chavez kick-out the DEA (Drug Enforcement Administration) of Venezuela, he orders to "bomb" the USA and its allies with cocaine, through the drug cartels: El Cartel de los Soles, directed by one of the regime's strongmen, Diosdado Cabello; and the Bolivarian Cartel, headed by Tareck El Aissami (who is currently requested by drug trafficking). Shortly after, El Aissami, who was then, the link between the Venezuelan government and Iran-Hezbollah, directly incorporates Hezbollah, via Iran, in the global drug trafficking operations from Venezuela. Hezbollah not only it would use this resources for its operations around the world, but that would use these funds for recruitment, financing, and expansion of its cells in Latin America as part of the regional strategy with the Chavismo.
Narco-Terrorism, First Phase of the Hemispheric Organization
One of the first steps Hugo Chavez firmly took when he reached the power was, under the strategic direction of the regime of Cuba, to establish formal relations with bitter enemies of the United States and its allies, holding a constant assessment of the geopolitical situation in the Middle East and its implications to/in the western world, with the aim of maintaining a strategic and tactical analysis to implement actions that allowed to create levels of instability and permeability in the countries of the LatAm region, with a strong view to export the Bolivarian Revolution, and behind it, all political actors, extremists and radicals who were part of this international movement who were settling in Venezuela. In this way create a new front against the United States and its allies.
Between 2006 to 2010, Chavez actively supported the process of creating "cultural" centers in Venezuela operated by Hezbollah and the Iran regime directly. These centers began its operations by indoctrinating members of “hard-liners ”of the Chavista revolution, who after a basic process of indoctrination, were (these operations are still maintained) sent to Cuba and Iran for training in guerrilla warfare techniques, explosives and other terrorist operations. Once trained, these people are sent to different countries across LatAm. In addition to Venezuelans, men and women from other countries would unrestrictedly join supported the Chavismo/Bolivarian movement.
Likewise Venezuela, under the tutelage of Cuba, supported with money and men, intelligence and strategic centers electronic and Human) located in Nicaragua and Bolivia from where communications and irregular and destabilizing actions are monitored. Likewise, the embassies of Venezuela and Cuba in all countries across the region function as centers where intelligence agents operate (SEBIN, Military Intelligence, G2). This practice expanded internationally where Venezuela maintains diplomatic representation.
Already in 2008, Hezbollah, in coordination with the FARC, ELN and other groups criminals, and the Venezuelan corrupted officials assumed control of the exploitation of gold, coltan, Uranium and diamonds in the Venezuelan Amazon.
Second Phase: Populism and Radicalization in the Americas
On 2009 is when the processes take a more radically political expansion of the Chavista revolution in Latin America, with the objective of strengthening social movements, extreme leftists, and radicals to generate an active destabilizing, anti-capitalist and populist impact, taking into account the political, economic and official institutions fragility in those countries. These actions would be accompanied by a large influx of petrodollars that Venezuela produced from high oil prices at the time.
At the same time, irregular groups, criminals, narco-terrorists and criminals only from the region, but also from other countries around the world, especially from the Middle East and Africa, would be incorporated with operational presence in Venezuela, in this alliance that would expand with some ease throughout the region and currently operates a global scheme in money laundering operations, financing of terrorism, and other corruption operations.
Third phase. Shield of the Bolivarian Revolution
Once Hugo Chavez died, there was an urgent need to shield this process of regional penetration, assurance and preparation of actions. Cuba along with leaders of the Venezuelan regime, and with the assistance mainly from Iran, accelerate insurance and preparedness plans in Latin America and the Caribbean, having projections of increased sanctions against regime officials Venezuelan, and international sanctions for crimes against humanity, genocide, drug trafficking and support for terrorism by the community international. Then they immediately started working on the scenarios that may affect the regime of Venezuela, many from the United States. Across the region, countries like Colombia, Brazil, Argentina, Peru, Panama, Costa Rica among others started a vigorous public action of complaints and exposing the regime of Venezuela. This added to the beginning of the largest humanitarian crisis the region has experienced, with more than 5 million Venezuelan refugees fleeing Venezuela, and generating another type of crisis in those countries for the lack of infrastructure, programs and funding to attend to these refugees.
It is then, when the regime decides, and having hundred of million US$ in cash from the global drug trafficking operations, and stored across the main cities in Venezuela and other countries, to use much of this money to continue the financing of their plans in the region, and even financing political campaigns of those related or with sympathies to the Bolivarian Revolution.
Fourth phase. Preamble of War
Although the United States has offered Maduro to leave the country without any reprisals and persecutions against him and his men, they, the regime, have pointed out their public rejection of these proposals which seek a non-violent exit to the crisis in Venezuela. Likewise, most European countries have created some other initiatives for a peaceful solution to this explosive situation. Indeed, these initiatives form part of diplomatic protocols for situations like Venezuela's will not work simply because Maduro needs to generate an armed conflict that It will be extended through the region, and also his regime knows that they will not escape international justice for the crimes and illegalities in which they are involved and because the commitment to this plan initiated with Hugo Chavez cannot be stopped.
Recently, the president of Colombia, Ivan Duque declared, after Ivan Marquez informed his return to armed fighting, that the government of Colombia and the Colombian justice institutions will use all their capacity against this group of the FARC. Even, the president of Colombia expressed that Venezuela supported the FARC and in particular Ivan Marquez. ”In Venezuelan territory, Nicolás Maduro, the dictator of Venezuela is protecting them. He is giving them money and is sponsoring the recruitment of children to practice illegal mining in places of the territory Venezuelan, ”said the Colombian president. About a month ago Maduro declared that Ivan Marquez and Jesus Santrich were welcome in Venezuela.
However, Maduro does not have a majority of the components of the Armed Forces, which is not effective nor fully operational. On the contrary, it is a military institution submitted by top ranks officers and commanders mostly involved in drug trafficking and corruption operations, and under the iron control of Cuban military and intelligence advisors. Maduro strong forces lie on the groups called “Collectives” groups of criminals and terrorists trained and armed by the regime, in addition to paramilitary groups that do not represent a military force professional or prepared for combat.
Maduro and his allies main strategy are asymmetric and guerrilla warfare, supported by terrorist actions. the scenario proposed by Maduro is focussing on actions within Venezuela and in across the region. That is why, the regime of Venezuela needs to cause a serious incident with Colombia and/or Brazil, and from that point to get military to involve the United States, to start regular and irregular operations and of terrorism initially in Colombia, Brazil and from there extend it in the region.
Fifth Phase: War Scenarios
The Venezuelan regime, in coordination with its allies, and upon the recent return of the arms of this important group of the FARC, will activate a series off provocation strategies against/to Colombia and Brazil with the objective to start a conflict involving these nations and eventually the United States. Once the US gets military involved, the regime will activate terrorist cells across the region, generating a conflictive scenario never seen before in the region, and with this on, Maduro and his group, will radicalize and generate violent, armed and terrorist actions, simultaneously, generating complex military scenarios and projecting the potential involvement of Russia and maybe Iran.
End of this part.
M.Sc. Appl. Intell., B.A. Psych., Reg. N. (Ret.), Corp of Comm. (Ret.)
5 年Thanks for helping us to redirect our gaze and see what is developing.?