Renewable Energy Certificate Market Size Estimated to Reach 9,298,511 certificates by 2028, Growing at a CAGR of 20.2%
Renewable Energy Certificate Market

Renewable Energy Certificate Market Size Estimated to Reach 9,298,511 certificates by 2028, Growing at a CAGR of 20.2%

The global Renewable Energy Certificate Market is predicted to increase at a CAGR of 20.2% from 2021 to 2028, with 2,175,813 certificates issued in 2020 and 9,298,511 certificates issued by 2028.

The worldwide market for Renewable Energy Certificates (RECs) is anticipated to witness robust expansion in the coming years, driven by favorable government policies and the growing focus of corporations on sustainability objectives. This comprehensive analysis offers extensive insights into the REC market, including its size, trends, drivers, challenges, regional prospects, and key competitors.

RECs, also recognized as Tradable Renewable Certificates or Green Energy Certificates, play a pivotal role in advocating the adoption of clean and sustainable energy sources. They serve as evidence that a specific quantity of electricity has been generated from renewable sources such as wind, solar, biomass, or hydropower. Here's a breakdown of how RECs operate:

Generation: Renewable energy producers generate electricity from clean sources, and for each megawatt-hour (MWh) produced, they are issued one REC.

Verification: Independent agencies verify and certify that the energy generated indeed originates from renewable sources and complies with established environmental criteria.

Trading: RECs can be traded as commodities in renewable energy markets. Buyers, typically utilities or businesses, procure RECs to offset their carbon emissions or meet renewable energy targets.

Environmental Impact: When purchasers obtain RECs, they effectively support the generation of clean energy equivalent to the purchased certificates. This reduces the demand for fossil fuel-based electricity, contributing to a decrease in greenhouse gas emissions.

RECs serve as catalysts for the expansion of renewable energy projects, enabling organizations to attain sustainability objectives and aiding regions in achieving their renewable energy targets. They are pivotal in advancing global initiatives to combat climate change and transition to a more eco-friendly and sustainable energy future.

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Renewable Energy Certificate Market Highlights and Statistics:

  • The REC market is projected to achieve a remarkable CAGR of 20.2%, reaching 9,298,511 certificates by 2028 from 2,175,813 certificates in 2020.
  • In 2020, North America held the dominant market share due to its early adoption of REC trading programs.
  • Solar power claimed the largest share among renewable energy types in 2020.
  • Corporate commitments to using 100% renewable energy are on the rise.
  • Robust policy support, including renewable portfolio standards and carbon trading programs, bolsters the REC market.

Global Renewable Energy Certificate Market Industry Segment Analysis

Market By End-Use

  • Solar
  • Wind
  • Geothermal
  • Hydropower
  • Biomass
  • Others (Biofuels and Fuel cells)

Major REC Market Participants:

ENGIE , Enel Group , Iberdrola , ?rsted Telte A/S , ACCIONA , Innergex , Tata Power Renewable Energy Limited , NextEra Energy, Inc. Invenergy , Vattenfall Eldistribution AB , Green Mountain Energy Company , Bonneville Environmental Foundation (BEF)

These organizations are at the forefront of driving the REC market's growth and sustainability initiatives.

REC Market Overview and Growth Drivers:

The REC market continues to exhibit promise, primarily driven by several critical factors. Firstly, there is a noticeable surge in the adoption of sustainability objectives across various sectors, encompassing corporations, governments, and institutions. Numerous entities are steadfast in their commitment to reduce their carbon footprint and transition to cleaner energy sources, and RECs are instrumental in helping them realize these ambitions.

Secondly, governments and regulatory authorities worldwide are actively advocating for the increased utilization of renewable energy sources. Through incentives, mandates, and renewable energy targets, these regulations incentivize businesses and utilities to invest in and support renewable energy projects, thereby boosting the REC market.

Moreover, there is a growing demand for voluntary RECs, particularly from environmentally conscious consumers and organizations. These entities voluntarily procure RECs to offset their carbon emissions, showcase their dedication to sustainability, and align with corporate social responsibility initiatives.

Nevertheless, a significant challenge persists, especially in emerging markets. Many potential stakeholders and consumers lack awareness regarding what RECs are and how they function. This knowledge gap inhibits the broader adoption of RECs in regions where their potential impact could be substantial. Addressing this challenge through educational and outreach initiatives is pivotal to unlocking the full potential of the REC market and hastening the global transition to renewable energy sources.

Trends Influencing REC Market Growth:

Blockchain-enabled platforms for REC trading, ensuring transparency.

Emergence of decentralized peer-to-peer models for trading renewable energy certificates.

Efforts to standardize REC definitions, issuance, tracking, and related aspects.

Growing adoption of tokenization for fractional ownership of community solar projects.

Deployment of AI and machine learning for predicting renewable energy generation, facilitating REC issuance planning.

Major Drivers for the REC Market:

Supportive government policies, including tax incentives, subsidies, and renewable portfolio standards, drive market growth.

Corporations increasingly procure renewable energy through power purchase agreements and RECs.

The growing prominence of Environmental, Social, and Governance (ESG) investing, coupled with rising demand for voluntary carbon offsets, propels the market.

The increasing cost competitiveness of wind and solar power generation boosts the REC market.

Emerging economies offer substantial untapped potential for REC adoption.

Key Challenges in the REC Market:

Divergent standards across state and national level markets pose challenges.

Limited awareness about the role and value of RECs hampers adoption.

Concerns regarding double counting in meeting state mandates and voluntary claims need to be addressed.

High upfront costs can discourage small-scale producers from adopting RECs.

Ensuring authenticity and preventing double issuance remain ongoing challenges.

Market Classification:

The REC market is categorized based on:

Energy Type, encompassing Solar Energy, Wind Power, Hydro-electric Power, and Gas Power.

End Use, classified as Voluntary or Compliance.

Capacity, segmented into Greater than 5000 KWH, 1000-5000 KWH, and 0-1000 KWh.

Regional Analysis of the Renewable Energy Certificate Market:

The REC market exhibits unique regional dynamics. Robust REC markets are prominent in the United States, driven by renewable energy mandates in various states that encourage REC issuance and trading. Europe, particularly countries like Germany and the Netherlands, boasts a mature REC market, supported by stringent renewable energy targets and a dedication to sustainability. India is experiencing significant REC adoption, fueled by its renewable energy aspirations. Conversely, some regions, such as parts of Africa and South America, are in the early stages of REC development due to evolving renewable energy policies and infrastructure challenges. These regional variations in REC markets reflect diverse approaches to renewable energy adoption and carbon reduction strategies worldwide.

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Mehedy Hasan

Founder of Integral 360° Consulting Limited. (Research & Development Agency)

1 年

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