Regional Tensions and Ensuring Safety in Lebanon and the Wider Gulf

As tensions in the Middle East continue to evolve, it's essential for companies operating in Lebanon, Israel, and the wider Gulf region to stay informed and prepared. Here’s a pragmatic update on the current situation and how it might impact your operations and safety protocols.

Current Situation in Lebanon

The situation in Lebanon remains relatively stable, however, there has been a significant decrease in inbound travel, with a 20% drop compared to July 2023 and a 60% decrease in August, typically the busiest travel month.

• Security and Resources: The Lebanese Army and Internal Security Services are well-equipped but are focusing on protecting Lebanese nationals rather than engaging in conflicts involving Hezbollah and Israel. Lebanon has sufficient fuel for four weeks and enough livestock and wheat to last two months, though these supplies are subject to change based on consumption rates.
• Port Operations: Port Beirut has extended its working hours to 24/7 to facilitate import/export activities and potential evacuations, despite a 20% drop in arriving vessels.
• US and EU Missions: The US embassy remains fully staffed and is not calling for evacuations but advises against travel to Lebanon. EU missions are similarly maintaining full staffing with limited movement within Beirut.

Potential Impacts and Preparedness

Given the unpredictable nature of regional conflicts, it is crucial to have robust plans in place for both shelter-in-place and evacuation scenarios.

• Shelter-in-Place: Ensure that your facilities are equipped with adequate supplies of food, water, and medical necessities to last at least two months. Regularly update your emergency plans and communicate them clearly to all employees.
• Evacuation Plans: Stay informed about the operational status of key infrastructure like Port Beirut and local airports. Maintain close contact with embassies and international organizations for real-time updates and assistance.

Broader Regional Considerations

The Gulf region is also on high alert due to potential retaliatory actions from Iran and its proxies. Gulf states are actively engaging in diplomatic efforts to prevent escalation, recognizing that conflict is detrimental to business interests and regional stability.

• US Military Presence: The United States is increasing its combat aircraft presence in the region to counter potential threats from Iran and its affiliates in Gaza, Lebanon, and Yemen. This heightened military readiness underscores the importance of being prepared for rapid changes in the security landscape.

Conclusion

While the situation remains fluid, staying informed and prepared is key. Companies should regularly review and update their emergency plans, ensure clear communication with employees, and maintain close coordination with local and international authorities. For further assistance or to chat through your own plans and realistic options, please contact Iva Milic SRMC? Richard Doyle or Toby Jackman MBE