Recorded lecture

Recorded lecture

As promised, I provide links to the material I presented on 2 Jan 2020 explaining how to move from a risk heat map to something more quantitative and valuable for decision-making.

  • A recording of the 1-hour lecture can be watched from here.
  • The example models can be downloaded here and here.
  • A copy of the PowerPoint presentation can be downloaded here.

If you like it, please SHARE.

Thanks to all who attended and for their questions (not recorded).

Hans L?ss?e

Take chances - intelligently

5 年

I see your point - I still passionately dislike heat-maps. In my biased (I am human) view: - You are focusing on (individual) risks - not of performance - You make the grave error of making "single point estimates" of each risk (which may have a range of outcomes). - You cannot say anything about the likelihood of success - You cannot see what affect a real life scenario where a number of risks materializes within the period you are addressing So calculate to the Moon and back, I still really, really don't like it.

Maximillion Disla

Program Integrator

5 年

As mentioned in the presentation, governments have placed a value on human life for some time now. For example the US department of transportation has a "Value of Statistical Life" VSL of about $9.6 million or so. Slightly above 10 when adjusted for inflation. Food for thought.

Qais Shelbyeh, MBA

GRC | ESG | Org. Resilience | Quantitative Analysis | Enterprise Architecture | Internal Control | Due Diligence | Data Mgmt.| IPO & Trading Governance

5 年

This’s called Risk analysis, great work David,,, ?? off

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David Vose

Director of Vose Software. Risk Consultant. Advisor on quantitative IRM deployment.

5 年

I'll take a look, thanks

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video can't be played..

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