A recession is on the horizon. Here’s how you can prepare.
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A recession is on the horizon. Here’s how you can prepare.

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Experts have spent much of the past year debating when the next recession will hit. At the peak of the trade war with China, three in four economists proclaimed that 2020 would be the year. Fears of an imminent recession have tapered off—a National Association of Business Economics survey now expects one to hit in 2021—but if history is any indicator, an economic slowdown is coming down the pipeline.

While a recession is bad news for any company, small firms are particularly susceptible to downturns and have a higher risk of going under as lending comes to a standstill and consumers forgo products not deemed essential.

But there is an upside: businesses can take actions today that will help recession-proof their company for whenever a slowdown hits. Lana Corsano should know—her business was one of 170,000 that closed in the first two years of the Great Recession. She is determined not to repeat the same mistakes and has had recession proofing in mind since day one of launching her new company Bolt Printing. Below is an excerpt of our conversation about common mistakes business owners make and how to prepare for the future.

What happened with your first business? 

I ended up creating some great relationships in the financial services sector. I started doing small catalogue programs with promotional products with the biggest financial firms. We were low priced and quick. It did well. We were moving into food and doing more promotional types of gifting with food. I made an investment in a facility because I wanted to handle production myself. I started ramping up and hiring but then my largest account, which was Merrill Lynch, got sold to Bank of America and started shedding cash.

I was heavily leveraged and trying to build this at the wrong place and the wrong time. I ended up filing for bankruptcy and going under. When you hire someone, you don’t want to let them go. It’s hard when they didn’t do anything wrong. It was a devastating experience for the employees and devastating for myself. You feel like a failure. What I learned and what I think about everyday when I come into work now is “what do I need to do so I’m never in that position again?”

How do you make sure you’re not in that position? 

Number one is I keep both feet on the ground and am realistic about what I can really do, and I’m not so entrenched to a single customer. I want to keep every customer and do everything I can to take care of them, but if my largest customer decided they don’t want to buy from us for whatever reason, it wouldn’t impact my business at all. Our largest customer isn’t even two percent of our business. Merrill Lynch was a solid 40 percent of the business at my last company.

What advice do you have for other business owners?

Have a diverse clientele, and diverse means not just a customer but a dimension of that customer. You need to be diverse at every stage of the game and not beholden to any one industry. Also not be burdened with debt. My business failed because I wasn’t steering the ship properly. When I hire someone now, I think if I can really afford that, or if I can maintain the equipment that I buy. If I can’t pay cash for something, I’m not ready for it. Be very mindful of where you’re leveraged. It’s easy to get caught up in status or “I have this many employees or all of this equipment.” Try not to fall into that trap. I want to have a viable company that generates profits, keeps employees happy and is sustainable. That’s what’s important to me now. 

How are you recession proofing your business? If you started your company during the last recession, how did that impact your business plan?

Other news I’m reading:

The role of independent publishers: Jeanine Cummins’s novel “American Dirt,” about a bookseller from Mexico who flees to America with her son to evade a cartel, raises questions around whether the publishing industry is “properly equipped to champion the work of diverse voices,” Publisher Weekly writes. (While Cummins did extensive research in Mexico, the author was criticized for cultural appropriation.) The issue also showcases how the publishing industry as a whole has changed as more independent publishing houses and booksellers that showcase diverse writers go under. What role do independent publishers and booksellers play in finding new voices and catapulting them into national discourse? | Join the conversation

Is this the future of franchises? Most fast-food chain restaurants in the U.S. are owned by franchisees—those who have bought the rights to the brand name and split the sales revenue with the corporate owner. The Hustle reports that this model is being shaken up by Chick-fil-A, which has the lowest cost to entry for a franchisee because the company fronts most of the opening expenses like construction. But there are downsides, including the fact that franchisees don't own the restaurant or equipment, nor do they have equity. What are the factors that franchisees should consider before choosing which restaurant to buy into? | Here’s what people are saying

Paul Marsh

Co-Founder Chase Inns | Founder & Director SWITCH4PROFIT | Consultant for DOJO

4 年

We are helping lots of small business owners review their EPOS, POS and ability to accept PCT (pure contactless transactions) free of charge. Feel free to get in touch www.switch4profit.co.uk

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Good day Friend,Am Jame Robert. Am try to make a research on renewable energy for Third generations bio refineries as the means to produce fuels and chemicals from C02 Why wind power depends on petroleum and natural gas What keeps a wind turbine turning? Yes, it’s a trick question. Of course – but there’s something else that’s essential, something that you might not associate with wind power. And that something, would be oil or natural gas. Yep. Wind power depends on the hydrocarbon. Like a shift from sugar base feedstock and biomass to the use of atmospheric C02 for the bio production of fuels and chemical. Am very grateful if I can get this solution Please, If any one can be of help please kindly be of help to me .Because I really have to get it done . You can write me via email [email protected] Thanks Jame Robert

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Evans Omondi

Attended Mount Kenya University - MKU

5 年

Recession is a part of business life cycle and every entrepreneur must have a bare minimum of the true characteristics of being an entrepreneur, the business will remain regardless of recession as long as the entrepreneur remains innovative.

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D Smith

President, International Society of Safety Professionals - ISSP

5 年

My sources (8 of 10 economic experts) predict no near term recession, as usual though they always recommend product, services, and or market sector diversity as a strategy for continued profitability and business longevity.? My personal feelings and experience guide me to the basics; honest, genuine, and sincere customer relations coupled with a quality product at an affordable price will always win out over poor service or an over priced offering.??Just ask Chick-Fil-A,? BTW my Chick-Fil-A buddy isn't expecting a recession either.? I'll remain optimistic while being prepared.? Thanks for the article Ms. Dahl, keep em coming! ???

Historically, cultural appropriation required less attention for companies in the sense holistic marketing strategies targeted specific geographic regions, but the era of globalization attracts organic demographic readership audiences worldwide underscoring the need to recognize identifiable cultural sensitivity differences between different cultures when crafting germane traditional print and digital content deliverables appetizing to demographic readership audiences worldwide without becoming too offensive.? At onset, the startup costs of several small businesses are subsidized with borrowed money from loans, so small businesses sometimes become too vulnerable to financial ruin underscoring the necessity of crafting the framework of prudent preparatory business models planning for scalable marketplace growth when overcoming the imminent possibility of a recessionary economy, or an unforeseen downturn in forecasted revenues when experiencing an economic hardship. Great weekly read and conversations! #businessplanning #workforcesolutions

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