THE REAL CAUSE OF THE WAR IN UKRAINE AND THE CURRENT WARS IN THE WORLD
Fernando Alcoforado
Engenheiro e Professor Universitário na CXA Arquitetura e Engenharia
Fernando Alcoforado*
The real cause of the war between Russia and Ukraine is not being considered by many international policy analysts. Out of ignorance or because they are at the service of those who foment this war among so many that took place from the 20th century onwards, these analysts do not reveal that the arms industry is the real cause of wars in the world. It was the war industry, especially in the United States, which, after the end of the Soviet Union, encouraged the maintenance of NATO, a military alliance created to face the Soviet Union and its allies after the 2nd World War. The logical and rational decision would be the dissolution of NATO after the end of the Soviet Union, as happened with the Warsaw Pact, a military alliance of European socialist countries.
NATO (North Atlantic Treaty Organization) was created in the context of the Cold War, in 1949, with its main objective to contain the expansion of socialism in Western Europe. One of NATO's pillars is to guarantee the security of its member countries, which can occur diplomatically or with the use of military forces. NATO member countries provide part of their military contingent for eventual actions of this size, because the organization does not have its own military force. Most of the operations carried out by NATO were developed in the Northern Hemisphere, such as in Afghanistan, Kosovo, North Africa, the Middle East, among others. After 1990, NATO carried out the invasion of Iraq under the leadership of the United States. There was also US-led NATO intervention in the Bosnian War that led to the dissolution of the former Yugoslavia in 1992.
In addition to military cooperation between its member countries, NATO also contributes to the United Nations (UN) as its armed wing, intervening in areas considered dangerous by the latter organization. In the 21st century, under the leadership of the United States, NATO has been involved in missions in Iraq (2004) and Afghanistan (2003), has intervened in piracy in the Gulf of Aden and the Indian Ocean, in addition to carrying out missions during the Arab Spring, with the overthrow of the Gaddafi government in Libya in 2011 and the attempt to overthrow President Bashar El-Assad of Syria in 2013.
Until the dissolution of the Soviet Union, NATO had 16 countries: 1) Germany; 2) Belgium; 3) Canada; 4) Denmark; 5) Spain; 6) United States; 7) France; 8) Greece; 9) Holland; 10) Iceland; 11) Italy; 12) Luxembourg; 13) Norway; 14) Portugal; 15) Turkey; 16) United Kingdom. To meet the interests of the arms industry, NATO expanded, after the end of the Soviet Union, attracting 14 more countries that integrated the socialist system of Eastern Europe, such as Albania, Bulgaria, Croatia, Slovakia, Slovenia, Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, Lithuania. , Macedonia, Montenegro, Poland, the Czech Republic and Romania. With the accession of these countries began the siege of Russia that would be completed with the incorporation of Ukraine to NATO (See Figure 1). It must be understood that, from the point of view of the arms industry, the attempt to incorporate Ukraine into NATO would lead to Russia's reaction, as is happening, and to an increase in its arms sales to Ukraine and to the NATO countries that acquired more weapons to deal with a possible war against Russia.?
Figure 1- The siege of Russia by NATO in Europe
Who is interested in the armed conflict in Ukraine? There is no doubt that the main interested party in the conflict is the arms industry with the sale of arms. Recently, the US Congress voted on a bill called “Protect Ukraine” worth US$ 500 million to supply Ukraine with weapons. The same is happening with other NATO member countries. The question is: Even well armed, would Ukraine be able to win the war against Russia? The answer is no. In addition to the vast military superiority, Russia is an atomic power, which makes a direct confrontation of NATO allies, with the exception of the United States, with Russia impossible. But almost all countries in the region are buying weapons, military equipment and ammunition.
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With 102 wars in its bellicose "curriculum", the United States is probably one of the countries most involved in military actions in the world that began with the annexation of land from Mexico to its territory. It is no coincidence that the United States is one of the countries that benefit most economically from armed conflicts, as the largest arms exporters in the world are Americans. In addition to the sale of ammunition and weapons, the United States also monetizes with security contracts and military training, which makes many members of the US Congress understand wars as a machine for employment and money. Peace, for the United States, could cost dearly. It is these facts that lead many people to question the real motivation of the United States in the defense of Ukraine, which for years has been in a state of tension with Russia.
Of the 10 largest arms manufacturers in the world, six are North American, five of which are leaders in the world arms industry, as shown in the following table:
There is no doubt that the arms industry sponsors the war in Ukraine as it has promoted other wars in the past to make money. The record production of weapons, increasingly lethal and surgical, needs to be put to work in practice. Could they be exhibited in broad daylight, we would see that the main sponsors of this fratricidal war are the arms industry, on both sides of the trenches. And to think that the macabre technology that manufactures these human flesh grinders is developed by alumni of the best universities on the planet, with many of these death machines financed thanks to the taxes paid by the civilian population. In the hands of criminals, these deadly technologies end up promoting show of horrors that TV stations broadcast live and in color. The absurdity is to observe that the targets ready to receive the accurate shots of the latest technology missiles, pride of the war capacity of a people, are precisely civilian homes, schools, hospitals, squares, churches and other monuments built to celebrate community life and peace between people. What the world is now watching in real time is the usual death show.
It is evident that, as long as there is a war industry in the world, wars will continue to proliferate across the planet. Peace in the world will only happen when all countries are disarmed and the manufacture of weapons ceases.
* Fernando Alcoforado, 82, awarded the medal of Engineering Merit of the CONFEA / CREA System, member of the Bahia Academy of Education, engineer and doctor in Territorial Planning and Regional Development by the University of Barcelona, university professor and consultant in the areas of strategic?planning, business planning, regional planning and planning of energy systems, is author of the books Globaliza??o (Editora Nobel, S?o Paulo, 1997), De Collor a FHC- O Brasil e a Nova (Des)ordem Mundial (Editora Nobel, S?o Paulo, 1998), Um Projeto para o Brasil (Editora Nobel, S?o Paulo, 2000), Os condicionantes do desenvolvimento do Estado da Bahia (Tese de doutorado. Universidade de Barcelona,https://www.tesisenred.net/handle/10803/1944, 2003), Globaliza??o e Desenvolvimento (Editora Nobel, S?o Paulo, 2006), Bahia- Desenvolvimento do Século XVI ao Século XX e Objetivos Estratégicos na Era Contemporanea (EGBA, Salvador, 2008), The Necessary Conditions of the Economic and Social Development- The Case of the State of Bahia (VDM Verlag Dr. Müller Aktiengesellschaft & Co. KG, Saarbrücken, Germany, 2010), Aquecimento Global e Catástrofe Planetária (Viena- Editora e Gráfica, Santa Cruz do Rio Pardo, S?o Paulo, 2010), Amaz?nia Sustentável- Para o progresso do Brasil e combate ao aquecimento global (Viena- Editora e Gráfica, Santa Cruz do Rio Pardo, S?o Paulo, 2011), Os Fatores Condicionantes do Desenvolvimento Econ?mico e Social (Editora CRV, Curitiba, 2012), Energia no Mundo e no Brasil- Energia e Mudan?a Climática Catastrófica no Século XXI (Editora CRV, Curitiba, 2015), As Grandes Revolu??es Científicas, Econ?micas e Sociais que Mudaram o Mundo (Editora CRV, Curitiba, 2016), A Inven??o de um novo Brasil (Editora CRV, Curitiba, 2017),?Esquerda x Direita e a sua convergência (Associa??o Baiana de Imprensa, Salvador, 2018), Como inventar o futuro para mudar o mundo (Editora CRV, Curitiba, 2019) and A humanidade amea?ada e as estratégias para sua sobrevivência (Editora Dialética, S?o Paulo, 2021) .