Public Universities Still Reeling from the Great Recession — Plan Accordingly

Public Universities Still Reeling from the Great Recession — Plan Accordingly

David Leonhardt wrote an op-ed piece in the New York Times last week about the Great Recession's lasting damage to state funding of public universities, and how it has contributed to the hardships of lower- and middle-income Americans:

States dramatically cut funding to their respective public universities during the 2007-2009 recession, but when their economies, and their tax coffers, rebounded, their higher education funding did not. Leonhardt broke down the 18 percent nationwide decline in per student funding by state in several graphics. Below I include his chart on all 50 states, and for three states of particular concern to many of my readers, California, Colorado, and Texas.

Source: The New York Times; Center on Budget and Policy Priorities

As a result of the significant cuts in state funding, American public universities have been scrambling to make ends meet, mainly by raising tuition and by increasing their mix of higher paying students. The cost of attending college has risen dramatically for all Americans over the past 10 years, but no more so than for lower- and middle-income Americans.

The New York Times developed the College Access Index to track how "committed" each American university, public and private, is to the economic diversity in their student body, to promoting the American dream. The index is based upon the ratio of students receiving Pell grants (these students typically come from families in the lower half of the income distribution), the rate at which these Pell grant students graduate, and the net price (after grants, loans, and work study income) of room, board, and tuition for lower- and middle-income students (from households earning between $30,000 and $75,000 annually).

The thrust of Leonhardt's piece is that cuts in state funding to public universities have noticeably reduced the ratio of lower- and middle-income students at these universities. What he does not discuss is the burden from the dramatic expansion in debt being taken on by students and their families, over the last 10 years. Student debt has risen at a staggering 10.2% annual rate over this time, massively ahead of underlying 1.75% consumer price inflation rate. At $1.438 trillion, student loan debt now exceeds credit card and auto loan debit. About one-half of student loan debt is in its grace period when no payments are due. But of the other half, over 20 percent is currently "seriously delinquent," meaning a payment is over 90 days past due.It would seem that cuts in state funding to public universities are likely to be a major contributor to this serious issue. The American dream is endangered.

Source: AlphaGlider, Federal Reserve Bank of New York Consumer Credit Panel, Equifax

What is a young American family to do? The first step is to understand the magnitude of likely cost of your children's higher education, and begin to save accordingly. The next step is to find the most appropriate savings vehicle for your situation — in most cases this is likely to be a low cost 529 Education Savings Plan. Below is a quick video I put together three years ago on the virtues of the 529, back before AlphaGlider began managing them. By the way, happy 5/29 day!


To read more blogposts like these, go to the AlphaGlider blog.


IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES

The views expressed in this commentary are exclusively those of the author, and are not meant as investment advice and are subject to change without notice. The commentary does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation, and the particular needs of any specific person who may receive it. You should seek financial advice regarding the appropriateness of investing in any security or investment strategy discussed or recommended in this report and should understand that statements regarding future prospects may not be realized. There is no guarantee that any investment program or account will be profitable or will not incur loss. You should note that security values may fluctuate and that each security's price or value may rise or fall. Past performance is not necessarily a guide to future performance. Individual client accounts may vary.

Copyright ? 2017 AlphaGlider LLC. All Rights Reserved.

No part of this report may be reproduced in any manner without the express written permission of AlphaGlider LLC.





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