Proof the impact of mankind on climate change - I asked ChatGPT

Proof the impact of mankind on climate change - I asked ChatGPT

Just a sunday thought for discussion:

#ClimateChange is real, no doubt, but:

  • Can we proof that mankind is the driving force?
  • Is there a model earth, without human beings as a control system?
  • What have we learned regarding modelling during the #covid19 #pandemic?
  • Why are we so sure, that #mankind has the necessary measures to significantly impact on earths evolution in a positive manner?
  • How can we be sure, what we do is actually inducint positive long-term outcomes for upcoming generations?
  • Since when does correllation proof causality?
  • When in the history of science mainstream thinking reflected the truth and was actually correct in predicting the future?


Do not get me wrong!

There are good reasons to believe, that we need to adjust our habbits, become more mindful about our environment, protect our ressources, adress all the global crises wisely, immediately and with priority beyond climate change (hunger, watercrisis, energy crisis, medical & healhcare crisis ...).

However, it bothers me massively that scientific discussions, not only in TV shows, somehow disregard basic principle of scientific disputation and reasoning. There is a dangerous trend that "scientific" discussions are dominated by dogmatic and sometime even polemic positions.

Should we not admit that we face a conundrum or dilemma? We can neither proof not falsify the role of mankind in global warming nor do we have any measure to predict the impact, including negative outcomes, of most of our actions regarding the long term prospective, can we? Have we ever been in such a position? Do we have the data or are we in a position to gather them?

Should we not make one step back, become more humble, in particular amid our agony amid the current diseasters around the world, and appreciate our limitations? Not to say, we should not act with full force, but actually appreciate that some of the diseasters are obviously induces by mankind. At smaller scale we do have "control ecosystems" that proof the causality between our actions on rivers are causative for flodding etc.

Maybe reading Karl Popper should become mandatory before entering an academic or any other career in science and research?

The Logic of Scienfific Discovery, Karl Popper, 1958


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The Logic of Scientific Discovery


What ChatGTP has to say:

As an AI language model, I don't have access to real-time data, but I can provide you with a summary of the evidence that has been gathered until my last update in September 2021. Since then, there might have been further developments and additional evidence collected. Here's a compilation of the evidence supporting the impact of mankind on climate change:

  1. Greenhouse Gas Emissions: Human activities, especially the burning of fossil fuels (coal, oil, and natural gas) for energy, have significantly increased the concentration of greenhouse gases (GHGs) in the atmosphere, such as carbon dioxide (CO2), methane (CH4), and nitrous oxide (N2O). These gases trap heat in the atmosphere, leading to the greenhouse effect and global warming.
  2. Rising Temperatures: Global average temperatures have risen over the past century, with the most significant warming observed in the last few decades. This warming is consistent with the increase in GHG concentrations and is well-documented through various temperature records, including surface, ocean, and satellite data.
  3. Ice Cap Retreat and Glacial Melting: The retreat of glaciers and polar ice caps around the world is a visible indication of global warming. Arctic sea ice, for example, has been declining rapidly, affecting ecosystems and contributing to rising sea levels.
  4. Sea Level Rise: As global temperatures rise, polar ice caps and glaciers melt, leading to an increase in sea levels. Sea level rise poses a significant threat to coastal communities, low-lying islands, and various ecosystems.
  5. Ocean Acidification: The absorption of excess CO2 by the oceans has led to ocean acidification. This phenomenon has negative consequences for marine life, especially marine organisms with calcium carbonate shells, like coral reefs and some shellfish.
  6. Extreme Weather Events: There is evidence to suggest that climate change is increasing the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events, such as hurricanes, heatwaves, droughts, and heavy rainfall, which can have severe impacts on communities and ecosystems.
  7. Altered Ecological Patterns: Climate change is disrupting natural ecosystems and habitats, affecting wildlife migration patterns, plant blooming times, and animal behaviors, leading to potential imbalances in biodiversity and ecosystem services.
  8. Anthropogenic Fingerprint: Climate scientists have used computer models and observed climate data to attribute the observed global warming to human activities. This attribution analysis has identified a distinctive human "fingerprint" in the observed climate change patterns.
  9. Consensus among Scientific Community: The overwhelming majority of climate scientists agree that human activities are the primary driver of recent climate change. This consensus is supported by various scientific organizations worldwide.

While there may be natural factors that influence the climate, such as volcanic eruptions and solar variations, the current rate of global warming is unprecedented in Earth's history and strongly correlates with human activities. Reducing greenhouse gas emissions and taking proactive measures to mitigate climate change remains a critical challenge for humanity.

Peter Riccelli, Ph.D.

life sciences and biotech professional with extensive experience in pre-clinical, translational, and clinical molecular diagnostics industry and precision medicine

1 年

What I find particularly disturbing and interesting is the lack of the ChatGPT to provide data and metrics in the answer. Perhaps I just don’t know enough about how to use the tool. But seems useless if it can’t collate accurate data to support a scientific question at its core.

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