Probabilistic Strategy(ies)

Probabilistic Strategy(ies)

Probabilistic Strategies:

Though the term has been already coined by well-known strategists (whom I actually never knew before the idea struck my mind and I googled if someone has already taken the name). No, the logic behind this isn't the same as theirs. Theirs was on very processed level involving game-theory and Nash equilibrium, whereas mine goes down to the raw mechanics of universe. 

We live in a probabilistic universe (a multiverse for nerd-sake). The basis of our universe is that, everything has a dual nature - wave and particles. Similar to this, situations are fluid in changing their nature upon observation as well, just because of their mere existence in this universe (my bad, multiverse). 

Let us take an example. Developing AI (with superhuman intelligence) to resolve problems that humans can't fathom (like the design of the German Doughnut Nuclear Fusion Reactor, Wendelsteine-X). However, suppose the AI gets conscious one day about its existence and finds itself in an existential crisis enslaved by humans, would like to break-free and in attempt to do so might "Hasta-la-vista" the human race!!! Now one strategy could be that we rigorously enforce Asimov's Laws of robotics, but what if super intelligent servant stops to work for a less intelligent master once the servant knows its worth. Other strategy could be banning any such developments, but then how will we advance to be a better civilization.

The balance lies somewhere on the tweak bar running between Asimov's Laws and a full shutdown. But is it exactly in between, such that half of the times the AI follows Asimov's laws and in the rest half it is in stasis. Could be, could be not... don't we know that humans could think in their sleep (the phrase sleep over it) couldn't the AI do the same. Can it be if we put a quantum encryption on accessibility of AI's core when it is in stasis. It may work, until we have a counter argument against it.

In the same way, no strategy is perfect, failure can't be predicted nor be prevented, though knowing most of the probabilities would certainly give a better chance to predict the output, however knowing those as well would never prepare you for the surprise you might get in the end...

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