‘The Prisoner's Dilemma: A Paradox during Trial’
Billy Rongoma
Advocate of the High Court of Kenya,PG Dip LAW-KSL, LLB (First Class Hons.)
Caught between the devil and the deep blue sea, your client is one of the accused persons jointly charged with another in a criminal trial. Each of the accused persons including your client has two choices; to cooperate with the other accused person or to betray them.
Conversely, the prosecution has the prerogative to pursue either of two courses of action; a plea bargain or the maximum sentence by fully discharging its legal and evidentiary burden.
Perched amidst the opulence and tranquility of your esteemed chambers, you ponder,… if all accused persons choose to cooperate and maintain their innocence, they could present a unified and solid defense and challenge the prosecution's case.
?However, if one accused person chooses to betray the other by confessing or providing evidence against them, that accused person may receive a reduced sentence or even go free, while the other accused persons faces harsher punishment.
At this juncture, perhaps, it is prudent that we examine the potential outcomes using the perspective of each accused person.
??????I.???????????Both accused persons cooperate: If both accused persons choose to cooperate and present a united front, their chances of acquittal or receiving reduced sentences may be higher. However, there is still a risk that the prosecution could present compelling evidence leading to convictions for both accused persons.
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???II.???????????One accused person betrays the other: If one defendant decides to betray the other by confessing or providing evidence, they could receive a more lenient sentence or immunity from prosecution, depending on the circumstances. The other defendant, who remains silent, may face the maximum charges and receive a harsher punishment.
?III.???????????Both accused persons betray each other: If both accused persons choose to betray each other, they may end up with moderate sentences. However, both accused persons are worse off than if they had chosen to cooperate, as they would likely face some form of conviction or punishment.
The Prisoner's Dilemma is a concept in game theory that explores the conflict between cooperation and self-interest. It can be applied to various situations, including criminal trials, to understand strategic decision-making and the potential outcomes for individuals involved.
The key point in the Prisoner's Dilemma is that each accused person’s optimal choice depends on the other accused person’s decision. This creates a dilemma where the rational self-interest of each accused person leads to a suboptimal outcome for both when they act independently.
The dilemma emerges from the conflicting interests of the accused persons. Each accused person must carefully weigh the potential consequences and risks of cooperation versus betrayal. If they solely prioritize their self-interest, the temptation to betray their co-defendant might be strong. However, if both accused persons act in their collective best interest and cooperate, they could potentially achieve a more favorable outcome for both of them.
In a criminal trial, the application of the Prisoner's Dilemma suggests that the accused persons must carefully consider their options based on the evidence against them, their trust in the other accused person, and their assessment of the prosecution's case. The dilemma highlights the complexity of strategic decision-making and the potential trade-offs between individual benefits and collective outcomes in the criminal justice system.
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1 年Very nice read.