Predicts 2016: Mobile Apps and Development
Richard Marshall
Chief Analyst and AI advisor with Data Kinetic, Senior Analyst at The Skills Connection, Expert Witness, author, founder, entrepreneur, futurist, former Gartner analyst, PhD, MAE, MEWI.
Each year Gartner analyst get to predict the future - both big general ones that are launched at Symposium and domain specific predictions. We've just published our mobile apps and mobile app development predictions at https://www.gartner.com/document/3157328. Here are the predictions:
- Through 2018, 40% of application leaders will spend more preparing for mobile app development than they will delivering actual mobile apps.
- By 2020, 70% of enterprise mobile apps used in enterprises will be developed or adopted without IT involvement.
- By 2018, 65% of enterprise apps will include direct access to documents and content from enterprise content management (ECM) systems, up from 20% today.
- By 2018, 25% of new mobile apps will talk to IoT devices.
- By 2019, one out of three new business-to-employee (B2E) mobile apps will fail within six months of launch.
You need to be a subscriber see the details of why these will happen and their market implications.
The image above is part of the gunnery command and control system in an Alpine Maginot Line bunker - writing predictions for such a fast-moving topic as mobile apps often feels like shooting in the dark, but there's a great deal of thought and analysis behind these predictions. Incidentally, the Alpine section of the Maginot Line was never breached, unlike the northern section. The bunkers are fascinating places to visit and all of them are run by associations that deserve huge support
Senior Director of R&D at Optimove
9 年That is an alarmingly expensive failure rate and I agree with Alok Pant that the best strategy to mitigate this is to ship an MVP and iteratively optimise (build, measure, learn etc). However, it does highlight how important the balance of the (team and) project needs to be between strategy/direction, design, build, QA, release and of course optimisation to get this right. That said, the real skill is ensuring you get paid for all of these phases. How many app developers price projects based on development time and end up doing the strategy, design and optimisation part for free?
Insightful ideas. Just Not sure if preparing more to deliver than delivering mobile apps is a good thing. Strategy has a place but execution is key, especially in the world of building mobile apps iteratively.