Predictions - Not Distant Future

Approach

(1) Learning from the Past

(2) Watching Trends

(3) Listening to the Experts

(READ ALL THE WAY DOWN TO SEE THE PREDICTIONS)

(THIS IS NOT AN ENDORSEMENT OF THE POTENTIAL OUTCOME, BUT RATHER FOLLOWING THE DATA BREADCRUMBS ON LIKELY OUTCOMES)

First off - Let me Give Credit Where Credit is Due!

When it comes to predicting the future, below are amazing leaders who study the past and dream of the future!

• Sinead Bovell - Futurist, Founder of @Waye and entrepreneur
• Alexander Manu - Lecturer, Consultant, Philosopher and Focus
• Phil Venables - CISO at Google, Computer Scientist and Expert in Security and Risk Management
• Bruce Schneier - Security Ledged, Blogger and Cryptographer Extradinary
• Sam Altman - CEO of OpenAI
• Elon Musk Tesla Automotive Inc - CEO of Tesla, SpaceX, etc

1. SETTING THE STAGE

In Phil Venables; (CISO of Google) recent blog found here, he articulated very compelling great historical examples of how with new innovation there are "naysayers"

FACTS from Phil

• Steam Engine = "had concerns of Perpetual explosions.." instead we got "industrial revolution"
• Cars = "concerns of Dusk storms and too much pollution".. and then we built roads and made vehicles more environmentally conscious
• Computers = "Taking everyone's jobs away.." and instead jobs changed
• Smart Phones = "We are all going to get cancer.." and then we didn't.
• Cryptocurrency = "Economies is going to end.." and then "we got ransomware"

2. Understanding the Rate of Change

In a recent interview by Sinead Bovell with Alexander Manu they discussed the rate of change and how FAST we are moving

• "iphones only came out in 2006"
• "selfies only became a thing less then 15 years ago"
• "netflix was not going to be a big hit as the big networks thought everyb

3. The Predictions

PREDICTION #1 - HUMAN NATURE LEADS TO CONVERGENCE

Alexander Manu said it best in the interview above, where to summarize

• WANTS - Humans want frictionless rich experiences
• TECH - "Every technology is a bridge to the next " - from Alexander Manu

Look at the trend:

• GPS, Calculator, Radar Detection ==> SMART PHONE
• Internet, Smart Phone, All your data (email, documents, pictures, => CLOUD
• Smart Phone, Smart Watch, Smart Glasses, Smart Ring => HUMAN CYBORG

CONCLUSION -- Humans with embedded devices..

• More then the pacemaker, artificial limb, nicotine patch, diabetes blood tester... aka moving closer to convergence means merging humans and machines aka cyborgs
• Having Machines inside us to make the interface even more frictionless. no glasses, you just see the augmented reality. They are already here today! (Completely agree with Alex on this one.) I am sure the military has taken this to the next level as well.

• Billionaires are making Investments - Chip Technology in your brain
• Meta - Making Wearable Technology to interpret the Brain
• Your Memory is Already Outsourced to Computers

PREDICTION #2 - Hyper-Personalization

Based on books from Bruce Schneier, including "Click here to Kill Everybody " and "Liars and Outliers " it is very clear that we are in a "Surveillance Economy" where inevitably everything will be hyper personalized experiences.

Bots could be used hyper-personalize our wants - Netflix "Better Than Us"

FACTS - Amazon + Google + Facebook + Public Records knows everything about you.. where you live, work, what you like, don't like.

SCARY FACTS - Your smart bed knows when your going to get sick. 2 cell phone signals tells us who you are sleeping with and your online digital precense shows us your personality, style and what you are up to.

CONCLUSION - Hyper personalization means your experience with the world will be hyper-personalized based on your preferences.. summarizing your emails, providing draft responses, showing you products you are interested in, showing you clothing that will look good on you

PREDICTION #3 - Autonomous Everything

There is clear consensus across all of the thought leaders on this one. If we can automate it, we will. To quote Alexander Manu in the future (from the video)

• "Your car will take your kids to school, drive you to work, read emails to you, and give you options in your own style on how to respond"
• "Selfies will become a thing of the past.. you will have the ability to record your life in real time and select the point of view, style and always show your best self"

PREDICTION #4 - Internet Plus

Bringing it back to Bruce Schneier, "everything will be connected to the internet creating the Internet Plus"

It makes a lot of sense.. if all devices are on the internet, as Bruce articulated in his books

• Your smart bed - will know if you slept well, if you are getting sick
• Your smart fridge -will tell you what you have left, what expires and what you can cook based on what you currently have
• Your smart washing machine - will wash your cloths and determine which clothing you are wearing most and recommend when to buy new ones
• Your cloths will be washed and folded for you
• Everything will come to you via drone, prior to further teleportation devices.

PREDICTION #5 - Artificial Intelligence 2.0

If everything is connected and autonmous then the competitive advantage is the unique data that drives it, not the algorithms which are commoditized at this point but the learned results.

An interesting example of this is teaching AI based ONLY from EXPERTS as opposed to COMMON KNOWLEDGE which was done in Jung-E in Netflix

After all it would be better to have AI trained based on Albert Einstein's mind then to take all general physics knowledge as you end up getting only the "average best" that is clean, simple but not innovative due to the built-in restrictions to avoid anything controversial.

-Predicting the Technology Innovations on the Horizon, I spent the weekend catching up on the recent posts from futurists and security leaders where we are "moving quickly" but as history repeats itself, it is not too difficult to guess the next