Predicting the unpredictable?

Predicting the unpredictable?

A lot of debate here about what the future will hold in the face of AGI, automation, robots, and so on! Read on for a synthesis of recent discussions!

My first prediction: cats

The future will always have cats. Cat pictures, poems, art, and more ?? ??

Hat tip to Zach Weinersmith for finding this gem in Montaigne's catalog:

It was never turtles ?? all the way down it was always cats ??

A wild Garry Tan appears!

This was prompted by a bunch of recent debate on what the future looks like for jobs. Will we have jobs? Will AGI eat everything? A few weeks ago, I predicted that in 10 years we'd have more programmers programming, not less - and many of them would be working on hardware:


I'm posting receipts on Twitter, check back in 2034 ??


Today, Garry Tan entered the fray pointing out a 20+ year old WIRED article declaring the end of everything because of robots, automation and the like. Narrator: everything did not end.


20 plus years later, humans are not yet endangered ??


Then our friend Audrow Nash posted a fun poll asking if and or when programmers would be replaced by AI. You can still get your vote in - currently pretty spread out!


We already know I'm in camp 10+ years - the job will change but we'll still do it!


Slightly related, Vittorio (@IterIntellectus) reminded us all that the meaning of life is to give us meaning. I agree - part of why I think we'll keep inventing new things to do, even as we automate away the old things.


This is the way.


And @AbHomineDeus started a viral thread debating whether humans would be economically relevant by the end of the coming decade. He says no, I say yes, and the discussion is fun!


The Law of Infinite Opportunity says we'll invent new things to do!


Fun week all around! Regardless of where you stand on all of this - most of us agree with Garry Tan that "some of the biggest mega unicorns will be in hard tech" let's go! ?? ??


Hard tech is the future ?? ??


Abe, I really appreciate what you've shared!

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Julien Brault

Abonnez-vous à mon infolettre gratuite Global Fintech Insider

4 个月

Great read!

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