Portfolio Efficient Frontier Optimization

Portfolio Efficient Frontier Optimization

A Pioneering Approach Using Monte Carlo Simulation and Non-linear Programming

Introduction

This report outlines a Portfolio Optimization model that employs Monte Carlo Simulation and Quadratic Programming to determine the optimal asset allocation for a given set of financial instruments. The model is implemented in Python, leveraging libraries such as NumPy, pandas, SciPy, Matplotlib, and finance. The model successfully identifies the optimal portfolio by maximizing the Sharpe Ratio, providing valuable insights for investment strategies. The efficient frontier is also plotted to visualize the set of optimal portfolios.

Parameters and Variables

List of asset symbols.

  • Tickers: List of asset symbols
  • Start_Date, End_Date: Time range for historical data.
  • Historical_Returns : Adjusted close prices.
  • Log_Ret: Logarithmic returns.
  • Weights: Asset allocation in the portfolio.

Simulation Module

The Monte Carlo Simulation is employed to generate a wide range of portfolios with varying asset allocations. The simulation runs for a user-defined number of iterations num\_sims and calculates the following metrics for each portfolio:

where N is the number of data points in the historical returns, serving as the annualization factor.

Optimization Model

The optimization model employs Sequential Least Squares Quadratic Programming (SLSQP) to maximize the Sharpe Ratio. The model is subject to the constraint that the sum of the asset weights must be equal to one. Mathematically, the optimization problem is formulated as:

Python Code:

Results:

??? The Game-Changing Methodology

????? Monte Carlo Simulation Why settle for static scenarios when you can explore a universe of possibilities? Our model uses Monte Carlo Simulation to generate a plethora of portfolio outcomes, giving you a 360-degree view of potential risks and returns.

?? Non-linear ProgrammingSay goodbye to approximations! With Sequential Least Squares Quadratic Programming (SLSQP), we're talking about razor-sharp accuracy in finding the optimal asset allocation. The goal? Maximize that Sharpe Ratio!

???? Why This is a Game-Changer ??

1?? Holistic Risk Profiling: Monte Carlo Simulation offers a panoramic view of portfolio risk, leaving no stone unturned.

2?? Precision-Driven Optimization: Non-linear Programming ensures you're not just close to the optimal solution; you're right on it.

3?? Universal Applicability: Whether you're into equities, bonds, or crypto, this model is your one-size-fits-all optimization tool.

4?? Sharpe Focus: Maximizing the Sharpe Ratio means you're getting the most bang for your buck, balancing both risk and reward like never before.? Conclusion:

The Future is Here ?The amalgamation of Monte Carlo Simulation and Non-linear Programming in Portfolio Efficient Frontier Optimization is nothing short of revolutionary. This is the future of portfolio management, and it's here to set new benchmarks.

This article is written by Mansour Zarrin .

Alex Sidorenko

Group Head of Risk, Insurance and Internal Audit

1 年

This sounds fascinating! Can't wait to learn more about it.

Mansour Zarrin

PhD | AI-Driven Solutions | Operations Research | Optimization | Simulation Modelling | Machine Learning

1 年

Thank you very much for your generous sharing and support, dear Alireza!

Cool visualization

Luis Ramirez

MBA, Quality and EHS

1 年

I think it is already pretty insightful; and will just get better with data added every month.

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