Polycrisis Unfolded: Why the World is at a Breaking Point
Dr.Aneish Kumar
Ex MD & Country Manager The Bank of New York - India | Non-Executive Director on Corporate Boards | Risk Evangelist I AI Enthusiast | LinkedIn Top voice | Strategic Growth and Governance Architect | C-suite mentor
?Introduction: A Complex Web of Challenges
The world is facing a new kind of crisis—one that isn’t singular or isolated but a convergence of multiple crises feeding off one another. This phenomenon, known as a polycrisis, is the reality of our times. Economic instability, environmental degradation, and social unrest are not just occurring side by side; they are amplifying each other’s impacts.
For instance, the COVID-19 pandemic disrupted global supply chains and economies, leaving nations struggling to recover. Before the world could fully bounce back, the Russia-Ukraine war exacerbated energy shortages and food security concerns, further driving inflation and economic instability. As a result, nations across the globe have been witnessing cost-of-living crises, mass layoffs, and declining social trust.
Traditional approaches to crisis management are proving inadequate in this interconnected world. Addressing a polycrisis requires coordinated action from governments, regulators, and businesses—because no single entity can tackle it alone. The key is to move away from fragmented solutions and embrace integrated strategies that take into account the systemic nature of global challenges.
Governments: Leading from the Front
1. Strategic Governance for a Complex World
Governments need to shift from short-term, reactive policymaking to strategic governance. This means recognising how crises interact and ensuring that policies work across multiple sectors.
For example, economic policies cannot be developed in isolation from climate policies, as industries heavily reliant on fossil fuels contribute to both financial instability and environmental degradation. Governments should break down silos and enable collaboration between different ministries—finance, health, environment, and defense—so that decisions are made with a broader, long-term perspective.
2. Strengthening Crisis Management Frameworks
The frequency and severity of crises mean that governments must be better prepared. Crisis management frameworks should be updated to include foresight planning and real-time data analysis. Countries that have proactive rather than reactive approaches to risk—such as Singapore’s Whole-of-Government Integrated Risk Management system—are better equipped to handle shocks.
3. International Collaboration for Global Challenges
Polycrises like climate change, pandemics, and supply chain disruptions cannot be managed by one country alone. Governments must strengthen international partnerships to ensure coordinated responses. The European Union’s Green Deal is an example of nations coming together to combat climate risks collectively. Similarly, post-pandemic global health agreements will be critical in preventing future outbreaks.
4. Investing in Resilient Infrastructure
Governments should prioritize resilient infrastructure—whether it's energy grids that can withstand extreme weather events, smart transportation networks, or food security programs that protect against global supply chain disruptions. Countries like the Netherlands have successfully built flood-resistant infrastructure to combat rising sea levels, setting an example for sustainable urban planning.
Regulators: Building Trust and Stability
1. Recognizing Systemic Risks
Regulatory bodies—whether in finance, health, or energy—must integrate systemic risk assessments into their frameworks. This means evaluating how policies in one area might have unintended consequences elsewhere. For example, financial regulators should assess the risks of climate change on investments to prevent economic shocks in the banking sector.
2. Encouraging Transparency and Accountability
One of the biggest lessons from recent crises is that lack of transparency worsens uncertainty. Whether it was misinformation during the pandemic or hidden financial risks leading to the 2008 financial crisis, the need for clear communication is critical. Regulators should mandate regular risk disclosures from industries so that stakeholders can make informed decisions.
领英推荐
3. Implementing Adaptive Regulations
Regulations must be flexible enough to evolve with changing circumstances. For instance, technology regulation must be dynamic as AI, blockchain, and cybersecurity risks evolve rapidly. Governments and regulatory bodies should create regulatory sandboxes where businesses can test innovations within controlled environments before full-scale adoption.
4. Promoting Sustainable Practices
A major contributor to the polycrisis is environmental degradation. Regulators should incentivize businesses to adopt sustainable practices through carbon credits, tax benefits for green energy investments, and stricter pollution laws. The European Union’s Corporate Sustainability Reporting Directive (CSRD) is an example of how regulators are pushing companies toward accountability in environmental and social governance (ESG).
Businesses: Adapting to a Riskier World
1. Building Organizational Resilience
Businesses prioritising resilience will be better positioned to survive and thrive amid crises. This includes:
For example, during the COVID-19 pandemic, companies like Unilever were able to pivot quickly by adapting supply chains and supporting their employees, which helped them recover faster than competitors.
2. Embracing Adaptive Leadership
Leadership today requires agility and foresight. Organisations that can quickly adapt to changing environments—whether through remote work, shifting product strategies, or new business models—will be more successful. Netflix’s rapid shift from DVDs to streaming is a great example of adaptive leadership in action.
3. Diversifying Supply Chains
One of the biggest lessons from recent crises is that over-reliance on single supply chains is risky. The semiconductor shortage during COVID-19 showed how dependent industries were on just a few countries. Companies like Apple are now diversifying production facilities across multiple regions to reduce risk exposure.
4. Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) and Stakeholder Engagement
Companies must go beyond just maximizing profits. Engaging with communities, customers, and employees during crises strengthens trust and long-term business sustainability.
For example, Patagonia’s commitment to environmental responsibility—by pledging all profits to environmental causes—has set a benchmark for corporate leadership in sustainability.
A Call for Collective Action
We are no longer living in an era where crises occur in isolation. The world is deeply interconnected, and today’s economic, environmental, and social challenges do not respect borders. A polycrisis is not just a problem for governments, businesses, or regulators alone—it is a challenge for humanity as a whole.
The way forward is clear: integrated, long-term solutions that take a systemic view of risk and resilience. Governments must embrace strategic governance, regulators must foster transparency and accountability, and businesses must prioritise resilience and stakeholder engagement.
Surviving the polycrisis is not just about managing risks—it’s about seizing opportunities to build a more adaptive, equitable, and sustainable world. The choice is ours: react in silos and risk further instability, or come together to build a resilient future.
President at Small Business Consultants
2 周?? Why are we failing to solve the world’s biggest crises? In Change Oracle’s Polycrisis Project (Part 2), Tom Schuneman and Richard Matthews break down the hidden forces fueling global instability—disinformation, economic dysfunction, and corporate manipulation. From climate change to authoritarianism, they reveal how industries like Big Oil distort reality to maintain power. ?? The key to real change? Challenging broken assumptions and rethinking the way we process information. ?? Listen now to uncover the systemic flaws driving the polycrisis and what we can do to fix them.? ?? https://open.spotify.com/episode/48J2eSLMsH3cBSzYutx7v6 #Polycrisis #Sustainability #Disinformation #Leadership #SystemsThinking #Podcast
Google Certified PM | Certified SAP S/4HANA FICO Consultant (5 Modules) | Scrum Master & Product Owner | SAFe 5.1/6.0 | Agile & PM Leader Driving AI Developments, Innovations & Excellence | Sustainability Lead |
2 周Thank you, Dr. Aneish Kumar, for shedding light on the critical concept of polycrisis. Your insights emphasize the urgency for collective, adaptive strategies in these interconnected times. This perspective is incredibly timely and thought-provoking, especially given your depth of experience in governance and risk management.