HOW PAKISTAN IS IN THE EYE OF THE STORM ?AFTER G-20 SUMMIT CHINA- US DEADLOCK IS CREEPING TOWARDS AMITY FOR GREAT POWERS MUTUAL/ GLOBAL INTERESTS.

1. Worthy audience the spin masters of the statecraft, diplomacy gurus & cynical think tanks &opinion makers, henceforth need to be highly cautious and precise in their assumptions, assessments and adopting the safest survival option, ?In other words our redundant politicians &chronically corrupt leadership need a cognitive overhaul or transformation of mindset .We therefore do not hesitate to determine that few factors /concurrent events have altered the global milieu absolutely against 21th Century's expected post cold war world order just in couples of years time, so to say the unexpected events were …..1.. The Corona Pandemic 2. Russia-Ukraine War….3…US hasty withdrawal from Afghanistan…4… Deadliest Climatic Disaster in Pakistan….5. US Midterm Elections results ….5….China-Taiwan/North Korea Embroil….6….Forte of US Dollar…7…Reluctance of Gas & Oil Supply by Russia….8…OPEC Plus anti-American Attitude…9....Murder Attempt on IK in Pakistan...10... Golbal Recession. ..11.... Disruptions of Global Supply Chain & Food Shortage...12....World population raising human headcount from 7 Million to over 8 millions...13....Hype of 5G Scifi?Degital Technology...etc.etc....14....Brexit from EU?

2. Ladies & gentlemen the purpose of this Article is to enlightening IR students about the Global Events in particular the fallout of G-20 Summit and its impact on Pakistan, South Asian Regional Politics & future of US-China latest rapprochement towards sanity & peaceful coexistance. First for calming down common Pakistani curosity we would briefly like to draw few inferences favouring elimination of Pakistan's instability / reducing future vulnrabilities as well as determining South Asian diplomatic course of Conflict resolution for the near /distant future,in the later part we shall analyse the proceedings of the recent G 20 Summit .As per the blinking indicators G-20 Summit has emerged as a ray of hope for the global comity of variently dynamic nations &countries fighting against lopsided inertial forces & gravitaional pull and push of power politics.To begin with:-

• No doubt China and the United States can manage their differences, prevent competition from becoming anything ever nearing conflict and to find ways to work together on urgent global issues that require our mutual cooperation (e.g. Risks of Climatic Change), Pakistan remains in the eye of the storm (safest between US & China) in case US-China friction reduces 30-50%. Few obviously multiple &positive indicators are blinking green for the better Sino-US relations in near future,despite all prevailing irritants since there is no other alternative .Neitjer Cold nor Hot War is in anybody's favour?
• It is a watershed under highly volatile environmens,here the economy & war after divergenc, would ultimately converge at the peak of global peace.Pakistan-China Mega Strategic Project i.e.CPEC would definitely flourish &its benefits would be shared by the east and west under comparatively more congenial environments.
• Climatic / glaciated threat to Pakistan may now be realistically pursued with the global focus on saving planet earth, eventually.
• Russian-Ukraine Conflict, China -US Taiwan deadlock might be heading towards resolution or acceptance of the desired status quo.Pakistan would be mostly benefitted.
• Indo-China tension might gradually start dissolving in South China Sea and over the borders of the World's two largely populated countries.Pakistan thus would ultimately be the most benefitted neighbour ,provided a mutual consensus is developed on Kashmir's reconciliatory solution.
• US-Iran relations might not remain as bad as being viewed in the past despite local /social unrest in Iran.Pakistan may find it a good omen,eventually?
• Pak -Afghanistan Trade Corridor towards CARs would be fastly& fully developed through China ,Pakistan,USA, India & Afghanistan multilateral initiatives in next few years.
• Most probably there would be no nuclear threat lurching /looming over SA Region or Europe anymore.
• US Pakistan relations would shift dynamically towards better future even if Joe Biden wins or loses 2024 Elections?
• China would now safely stand off from accidental or incidental escalation of Russia-Ukraine Conflict ,though no such scenario is visible since the East,West /NATO /Brexit are already waiting for some face saving solution.
• Local regional and global terrorism would reduce considerably through more intelligence sharing, strict monitoring as well as combined /united efforts to blunt terror financing and taking care of illegally Hedged Money /Human Trafficking & Drug Pushing ?
• North Korean arrogance is likely to reduce,that would ease South Korean tension & let USA & China take a sigh of relief.The world in general &Pakistan in particular may take this opportunity to get more FDI from Korean peninsula & from US side.
• Pakistani future leadership would now behave more responsibly since US-China booty sharing gimmicks would be frozen by Market Forces &Digital Environments under powerful lens of strict international monitoring thus the satellite vigilance, distant accountability (through AI oriented microchips) would make the life of corrupt dictors ,chronic cheats ,illicit power grabbers &covertly operating network of business tycoons,miserable?

3.? Worthy readers under the theme 'Recover Together, Recover Stronger' G-20 leaders have met for a two-day (15-16 Nov) summit hosted by the Indonesians. The meeting took place at a remarkably?low moment in US-China ties . Biden & Xi Jinping came face-to-face after nearly two years communicating? only by phone and video-conference, hoping to yield a more strategically valuable result, even if both entered the talks with little expectation to produce anything concrete in near future. Irritants, scanty hopes ?& striking signs are as follows:-

• US-China Relations have deteriorated rapidly amid economic disputes and an increasingly militarized standoff over Taiwan preceded by Ukraine War.The tensions have led to a decline in cooperation on areas where the two countries once shared common interests, like combating climate change and containing North Korea’s nuclear program. Indeed all these events & Covid 19 have already pushed Pakistan in the grave danger of economic collapse and serious political chaos? Under the lens of this backdrop the current G20 Summit has provided Pakistan an opportunity to reveal our most formidable challenges of 21st Century biggest Climate Threat &Horrendous probability of bigger havouc in future to Pakistani people surviving in little breathing space after recent floods & gigantic /perpetual glaciated disasters risks.
• There was almost no expectation among American officials that any of those issues could be resolved simply by getting Biden and Xi in the same room. Just arranging the meeting required US and Chinese officials to establish lines of communication after Beijing furiously cut off most channels following?after Nancy Pelosi visit to Taiwan on 2 August 2022.
• The move comes at a fragile time where Joe Biden could feel the Democrats being hoven aside in recent midterm elections by the Republicans who are almost on the cusp of claiming House Control, although by an unexpectedly narrow margin. They?could not retake senate as per the historical precedence.
• Even a week ago, most inside the White House were expecting Biden to enter the talks comparatively weakened by Democratic losses in the midterm elections. But better-than-expected results for Democrats left the US President feeling as if he was entering his meetings this week with the wind at his back.
• President Joe Biden meets with Chinese President Xi Jinping in Bali, Indonesia on November 14, 2022. The moments spent together on the sidelines of the Group of 20 summit here will amount to only a fraction of the time the two men have been in each other’s company since 2011.
• The meeting began in the later afternoon with Biden and Xi walking toward each other from opposite sides of a hotel lobby, shaking hands in front of a row of US and Chinese flags. They smiled for cameras and Xi through a translator appeared to say, “Good to see you. “President Joe Biden held a 3 hour talk on Monday?with his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping.
• It was their first in-person encounter since Biden took office and an opportunity that both sides appeared to hope would lead to an improvement in rapidly deteriorating relations.
• The two leaders’ talks?could have consequences stretching over months and years as the world’s largest economies veer toward increasingly hostile relations.
• For Xi, the trip to Bali also marked one of his first journeys abroad since the onset of the Covid Pandemic. Xi’s reemergence on the physical world stage also comes on the heels of China’s Communist Party Congress in Beijing, during which he secured a norm-breaking third term as its leader.

4??.Biden told reporters he was “open and candid” with Xi about the range of matters where Beijing and Washington disagree. He cast doubt on an imminent invasion of Taiwan, and seemed hopeful his message about avoiding all-out conflict was received. Still, the US President was frank that he and Xi came nowhere near resolving the list of issues that have helped drive the US-China relationship to its lowest point in decades.

• Biden said, “He was clear, and I was clear that we will defend American interests and values, promote universal human rights and stand up for the international order and work in lockstep with our allies and partners,” He added. “We’re going to compete vigorously but I’m not looking for conflict.”
• In a sign both men arrived to meeting hoping to improve the souring relationship, Biden announced his Secretary of State Antony Blinken would visit China and said officials from each country would begin working together through issues.
• Formal talks on climate cooperation between the US and China are expected to resume as well as part of a broader set of agreements between Biden and Xi,
• The US and Chinese envoys for climate change are talking, but the Biden administration will see what China is prepared to do to make concrete progress, one of the US Climate Envoy John Kerry’s spokesperson did not respond to a request for comment on whether formal climate talks between the two countries were back on.

5?.President Biden and President Xi reiterated their agreement that a nuclear war should never be fought and can never be won. The White House said in a statement after the meeting that Biden raised concerns about human rights and China’s provocations around Taiwan. But they found at least one area of apparent agreement that nuclear weapons cannot be used in Ukraine, where that nation is trying to fight off a Russian invasion. Biden sought to convince Xi that a nuclear armed North Korea was not in China’s interests particularly because further nuclear or long-range missile tests by Pyongyang could prompt Biden to scale up American military presence in the region. “It’s difficult to determine whether or not China has the capacity” to convince Kim Jong Un to back off his tests, Biden said. “I’m confident China is not looking for North Korea to engage in further escalatory means.”

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• Speaking first, Biden said as the talks got underway. “As leaders of our two nations, we share responsibility, in my view, to show that China and the United States can manage our differences, prevent competition from becoming anything ever nearing conflict and to find ways to work together on urgent global issues that require our mutual cooperation, “The world expects, I believe, China and the United States to play key roles in addressing global challenges,” he said.
• Speaking second, Xi seemed to offer what could be interpreted as a pointed message to his counterpart, who has spent more than half-a-century on the world stage. “He should also think about and know how to get along with other countries and the wider world.” and know where to lead his country,” Xi said
• Xi stated that Taiwan is the “first red line” that “must not be crossed” in China-US relations, according to a Chinese foreign ministry readout. Referring to the “Taiwan question” as the “very core of China’s core interests” and “the bedrock of the political foundation” of China-US relations, Xi stated that peace and stability across the Taiwan strait and “Taiwan independence” is “as irreconcilable as water and fire.”
• In the meeting, Xi stated that basic norms of international relations and the three Sino-US joint communiques which touches on the Taiwan issue are the “most important guardrail and safety net” for bilateral relations and are “vitally important” for the two sides to “manage differences and disagreements and prevent confrontation and conflict.”
• President Biden has said on many occasions that the US does not support ‘Taiwan independence’ and has no intention to use Taiwan as a tool to seek advantages in competition with China or to contain China. We hope that the US side will act on this assurance to real effect,” according to the readout.
• Xi also defended China’s human rights records and governance system, saying that China has “Chinese-style democracy” that fits its national conditions, according to the readout. He acknowledged the differences between China and the US, but stressed that they should not become “an obstacle to growing China-US relations. ?

5?.In a national security strategy document released last month, Biden for the first time identified China as posing “America’s most consequential geopolitical challenge,” and wrote the country was the “only competitor with both the intent to reshape the international order and, increasingly, the economic, diplomatic, military, and technological power to advance that objective. “Every matter associated with this meeting, from phone calls to logistics, has been very carefully considered, negotiated, and engaged between the two sides,” Planning for Monday’s meeting predated Pelosi’s trip, and discussions continued between US and Chinese. The process was “serious, very sustained and professional in the best traditions of US-China diplomacy, A second official acknowledged the talks setting up the meeting were not always friendly.

• We won’t say that the conversations weren’t contentious because obviously there’s lots of areas where they have differences and challenges in future too.
• Biden takes meetings like this “incredibly seriously” and reads extensively beforehand. In meetings with advisers, he runs through various scenarios for how the meeting might go. “He goes through ‘if this happens, then should we handle it this way,’” the first official said. “He understands that this is, in many respects, the most important bilateral relationship. And it’s his responsibility to manage it well and he takes that very, very seriously.”
• ?A senior administration official told CNN. “Xi is not an enigma to President Biden “He knows him. And he is mindful of where Xi is trying to take China. He sees China as a competitor, and he feels confident the US can win that competition.”
• China’s pandemic-era isolation, US officials say, had made it relatively harder in recent years to get a read on Beijing’s intentions abroad as Xi declined to travel outside of China but they believe that is all about to change.“We can expect them to be more assertive on the world stage,” the senior administration said. But, they added: “What that looks like is difficult to know right now.”