OUT OF THE BOX: COLUMBUS DAY, HALLOWEEN & THEN OUR SCARY ELECTIONS.
Mark J. Grant
"Chief Global Strategist," Colliers Securities/Author of "Out of the Box" and creator of "Grant's Income Strategy" which provides outsized yields with monthly cash flows.
“One does not discover new lands without consenting to lose sight of the shore for a very long time.”
? -Christopher Columbus.
Our politics. Our elections. Our markets. Out of Columbus Day, then into Halloween, and then into what is really frightening, our elections.
“Democracy means simply the bludgeoning of the people by the people for the people.”
???????????????????? -Oscar Wilde
Politics is always part of the markets. It is just a question of how much, how important, and for what period of time. With our elections less than a month away, the time segment is roaring down on us, and the effects of the timing are getting more and more critical to the markets’ performance.
“Oh, what a world! What a world!”
?????? -The Wicked Witch of the West
This also means that the effects of revenues and earnings become lessened, as the magnitude of our current political crisis takes center stage. It is not your opinion of what is right or wrong that is in play, it is the legal judgments and the reactions of the voters to them that are now taking center stage. The situation we are in is unprecedented, or perhaps we should use a new word, “unPresidented” as the hallmark of how both the bond and equity markets will play out in the coming months. The Days of Infamy have almost arrived.
What I find particularly troubling, at this point, is that it is not just the Democrats or Republicans that will be most violently moving the markets now but our judicial system. Judges and juries are now going to have such an effect on our markets that yields, and stock prices, are going to be highly motivated by each swing of our legal gavels. The outcomes of our Federal and State elections may now rest upon their legal decisions and not the economic policies tossed about by each party. In my view, our political system will now be subverted by the process of our judicial system. Our elections have now radically changed, in my opinion.
?????????????? -John Maynard Keynes
?In my view there is going to be such extreme anger, on both sides of the aisle, that rational thinking and what is in the best interests of our country will at least partially evaporate as both the Democrat’s new Presidential candidate and former President get ballyhooed and shamed for the decisions they are making. I am by no means a political forecaster, but I am a market forecaster, and I can see the markets possibly having wide swings and significant variations not for economic reasons, but because of the lack of political maturity. It is obvious to me that the best interests of our country are now not coming first.
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? -Aldous Huxley
?It is now our legal system, our judicial system, that may well decide who is going to be elected. I do not believe that our Founding Fathers intended such a result. These people in the hallways of the courthouse have stepped over the boundaries, in my viewpoint, and the markets will be radically affected, in my opinion, by the disastrous consequences of this result. It is my bet that virtually each and every portfolio will be maligned by the consequences of their decisions, and this is a consequence never before seen in our nation.
Legality has entered the fray, and I would be keeping a close eye on its results as people head to the voting booths with their heads full of legal and judicial manipulations.
“We tolerate, even promote, many things we once regarded as evil, wrong, or immoral. And then we seek ‘explanations’ for an act that seems beyond comprehension. Remove societal restraints on some evils and one can expect the demons to be freed to conduct other evil acts.”
? -Cal Thomas
We watch. We wait. It is not just the masks of the candidates but the policies that they wish to put in place. The consequences are forthcoming! ???????????
Mark J. Grant
??????????? Chief Global Strategist
????????? ??Colliers Securities
??????????? [email protected]
??????????? U.S. 954-999-0933
Principal Process Safety Engineer
4 个月Once again your finger is on top of the market’s pulse! It definitely is a fork in the road!
Regional Sales Manager at LIQUI MOLY USA Inc.
4 个月Well said!
"Chief Global Strategist," Colliers Securities/Author of "Out of the Box" and creator of "Grant's Income Strategy" which provides outsized yields with monthly cash flows.
4 个月Thank you Rusti!