Our monthly FX insights
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This month, the FX industry has undergone significant changes, with three key trends: tier-one dealers offering internal liquidity interaction for passive orders, the rise of AI-assisted hedging tools for corporate treasuries, and the growing importance of futures exchanges as traditional spot markets decline. These shifts are transforming FX trading and risk management practices. Let's get to it.
As clients increasingly shift to passive order types, some tier-one FX dealers are providing a way for them to interact with their internal liquidity. This not only enables clients to earn spread instead of crossing, but it also gives banks the knowledge that there is a pool of passive orders ready to be used to offset flows from their wider client or algo franchises, meaning they have to make far fewer forays into the interdealer market.
Over the past few years, treasury teams at many large companies have?begun to experiment with algorithms designed to reduce the manual labour involved in some of their more complex, time-consuming tasks. Now, a new range of machine learning-based tools are aiming to help corporate clients adjust their hedging ratios and assist with hedging decisions.
Trading of FX spot on the primary venues of EBS Market and Refinitiv Matching – typically key inputs into pricing models – has fallen away. So much so that some believe the technical role these markets play has diminished. However, with FX futures exchanges seeing increased client and bank activity, liquidity providers may have to adjust how much weighting they apply to these markets within their pricing engines.
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