Oil headed to $60 in 2024?

Oil headed to $60 in 2024?

Oil has tendency to fall by more than 70% from the top of the bull run. After topping out at $138, after many production cuts and effort to arrest fall in price by OPEC+ Oil continues to show weakness. Total Oil demand for year 2024 is expected to be 104.4 mb/d whereas supply of Non-OPEC Supply is expected to be around 74.5 mb/d leaving only 29.9 mb/d supply from OPEC+ group. Lower demand from bigger economies, expectations of falling Oil price and shift to alternate fuel will further pull-down Oil prices in 2024, possibly to $60 by end of year. It will be important to see till what time OPEC+ members agree to allocated quota of production. ?Currently Oil is trading at $76.32/barrel and next support is $73.12/barrel (50 month moving average). Next Support $71.57/barrel, $65.65/barrel (100 months moving average). Breaching that will lead to Oil dropping to $60/barrel.

CA Varun Rathi

Associate Vice President @ Kalyani Steels | Ex-Cummins | Finance Controller | CA | CS | MBA-IIMA | DISA | Six Sigma Green Belt | Automotive & Specialty Steel | Manufacturing

5 个月

Crude at $69 per barrel today....broke critical support area....heading towards $60

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CA Varun Rathi

Associate Vice President @ Kalyani Steels | Ex-Cummins | Finance Controller | CA | CS | MBA-IIMA | DISA | Six Sigma Green Belt | Automotive & Specialty Steel | Manufacturing

5 个月
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CA Varun Rathi

Associate Vice President @ Kalyani Steels | Ex-Cummins | Finance Controller | CA | CS | MBA-IIMA | DISA | Six Sigma Green Belt | Automotive & Specialty Steel | Manufacturing

5 个月

Oil @ $70 on 7th Sep 2024

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CA Varun Rathi

Associate Vice President @ Kalyani Steels | Ex-Cummins | Finance Controller | CA | CS | MBA-IIMA | DISA | Six Sigma Green Belt | Automotive & Specialty Steel | Manufacturing

1 年

9th Jan 2024 Oil falls by 4% to trade at 200wma support at 74.8...Price cut by Saudi Adabia and rising output in OPEC group.

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CA Varun Rathi

Associate Vice President @ Kalyani Steels | Ex-Cummins | Finance Controller | CA | CS | MBA-IIMA | DISA | Six Sigma Green Belt | Automotive & Specialty Steel | Manufacturing

1 年

3rd Jan 2024 - WTI oil rebounds as traders react to the shutdown of Libya’s Sharara oilfield. https://www.fxempire.com/forecasts/article/natural-gas-wti-oil-brent-oil-forecasts-oil-rebounds-as-protests-shut-libyas-key-oilfield-1399975

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