Observation vs Reasoning

                This is an open ended discussion per-se. Is it a disclaimer or a prelude? Further read would give away the mystery. All I would say is that read through it if and only if it interests you. You are this far and lost few precious seconds of your time, no worries, I definitely made an attempt to make it worth while intellectually.  

                There are choices to make in life in every cross section, in every corner and every day. The decision is made predominantly on two different analysis. To be more succinct, do you dial in your friend/someone you trust, or you try to deduce it logically piecing together the circumstances and your knowledge.  There is no clear winner in this. The real pressing and compelling thing is making a choice whether to or not to.

                Observation is a statistical process and reasoning is logical. Though reasoning seems to be the best model to follow through, it breaks very badly when things are uncertain. We can philosophically go in circles to prove which one is great and which one is not. But a balanced approach would favour both depending on the circumstances.

                 If there is a boundary that can be fixed, and if there is a way to skew the outcome in our favour then the reasoning is best suited. On the other hand if there is an element of uncertainty and a moment that lends itself to guessing, then  statistical analysis wins over.

                 I never meant to be abstract and if it seems so, it is because there is an element of uncertainty to who I intend to talk to. The nature endowed us with redundancy wherever it is critical. It behoves us to use the same approach. Critical or non critical.

                 There are two possible outcomes, observe and reason or reason and observe. And they are inseparable. So observe and reason or reason and observe or do it recursively so long as to you can track it or a machine could do it for you to deduce.

                  To summarise, these are like the two hemispheres of our brain. Use it equally and keep the fingers crossed. In an analog world everything is sinusoidal and equal opportunity. Live long enough to observe that to be true. Or reason it by finding/reading about the past to deduce. The future is always uncertain in more ways than one.

                    Keep observing and keep reasoning...

Can you say the picture of the post is a sun rise or sun set? 

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