And now for the battle of Lake Travis, and further salutes to the Dunning - Kruger effect. Lake Travis battle is a direct metaphor for Trump America
See this qualification as to the Dunning - Kruger
quote
Here is the take-away message that Dunning and Kruger leave their readers with:
In sum, we present this article as an exploration into why people tend to hold overly optimistic and miscalibrated views about themselves. We propose that those with limited knowledge in a domain suffer a dual burden: Not only do they reach mistaken conclusions and make regrettable errors, but their incompetence robs them of the ability to realize it. Although we feel we have done a competent job in making a strong case for this analysis, studying it empirically, and drawing out relevant implications, our thesis leaves us with one haunting worry that we cannot vanquish. That worry is that this article may contain faulty logic, methodological errors, or poor communication. Let us assure our readers that to the extent this article is imperfect, it is not a sin we have committed knowingly.
end of quote
The originators of this concept had a bit of humility: See this:
Kruger, Justin, and David Dunning. “Unskilled and Unaware of It: How Difficulties in Recognizing One’s Own Incompetence Lead to Inflated Self-Assessments.” Journal of Personality and Social Psychology, vol. 77, no. 6, Dec. 1999, pp. 1121–1134. Academic Search Elite, doi:10.1037/0022-3514.77.6.1121.
Ahem, reality is more complicated than what people think, but this is a dead giveaway as to avoid messes: This one is called how to avoid climbing up mount stupid.
Ahem, so reality is complicated. However, what we can do , is to learn about the battle of Lake Travis
A. The four small boats sank because small and large crafts were in the same area, and the small crafts sank due to the wake and turbulence kicked up on a small lake by the large boats
B. Typical of the Trump administration, the small "fry" was crushed, whereas those with larger platforms did the 'crushing'- which is what we have endured for 3 and a half years
C. Why the Lake Travis boaters climbed up "mount Stupid"- No listening to the locals as to conditions at Lake Travis. Secondly a free for all, which had NO discipline. Three, the boats when sinking were left to themselves, leading to frantic attempts on the part of local law enforcement to intervene
D. This lake Travis "battle" is what you get when Ayn Rand of "Atlas Shrugged" is taken verbatim. I.e. the small fry 'die', and the larger elements get away with 'murder'
Time to get another POTUS Administration
Andrew Beckwith, PhD