New Green Deal "a la polonaise", -can growers have influence on their products quality and price?
Grzegorz Krowicki
Executive search projects for top executive positions. Real estate -retail parks, logistics. Feldenkrais method certified practitioner/teacher.
Since the dawn of history, wars have caused confusion in markets. When Russia attacked Ukraine in 2022, initially prices for some agricultural products such as corn and onion increased significantly. The farmers did not protest. However, with the increasing restrictions, Russia began to look for other sources of revenue and foreign exchange, especially those that require oil and gas. Cereals became this thing. At the same time, Ukraine has rebuilt its agriculture and the locally noticeable price increases from 2022 are no longer occurring. The Green Deal played the role of an igniter here, although it should be noted that its provisions regarding the most controversial issues, such as fallowing or the amount of fertilizers and pesticides used, have not entered into force, and what is more, the control of these parameters in the case of small farms of 10 ha and smaller (70% of the area in Poland ) seems to be practically impossible. Expensive machines on credit were purchased both because of the subsidies and the possibility of selling the tractor to Ukrainiane after a few years at a profit. The Green Deal became a trigger for the general dissatisfaction of farmers who were not very resistant to the war economy and price fluctuations on the markets. It was easy to incite such farmers by often serving them phantasmagoric theories about agriculture in Ukraine managed by Arab sheikhs and aliens themselves. If the Green Deal concerned such sensitive areas as, for example, pouring a septic tank into a field (currently, the owner or perpetual usufructuary of an agricultural property on which a septic tank is located is obliged to pour sewage from the septic tank into the fields, in accordance with the rules set out in the regulation of the Polish Minister of the Environment of 28 December 2018 on the detailed conditions and procedure for pouring sewage from septic tanks into fields (Journal of Laws of 2018, item 2520), which in practice means that owners of small farms, unless they grow fresh products, may, under certain not very strict conditions (Can a farmer dispose of sewage on agricultural land? (tygodnik-rolniczy.pl ) pour a septic tank into the bottom of his own fields, or if the Green Deal introduced a more stringent approach to manure management (in this case, large farms are obliged to use tight manure plates, and breeding farms of 210 animals and smaller are obliged to do the same at the end of 2024) - then one could understand the holy indignation of our farmers. In practice, however, we know that regulations regarding pouring septic tanks - such as laboratory tests - are bypassed, and manure is often discharged into rivers, thanks to which, among other things, The Baltic Sea is blooming with cyanobacteria that love nitrates. To say that something has changed for the worse due to the New Deal is exaggerated. Grain prices have fallen, it is an undeniable fact, but Ukraine is not to blame for this. Soft fruit flows to Poland, but hard fruit and vegetables, including tomatoes, go to Ukraine. More onion goes than comes because the Polish one is of better qaulity and Ukrainians prefer it to theirs. Dairy products left much more than they arrived, although today they do not leave or arrive at all due to border blockades. In a moment, laid-off dairy workers and dairy farmers will come to Warsaw, lamenting over spilled milk, and they will be forced to send their herds to slaughterhouses. Then the prices of livestock will fall, breeders of cattle for meat and pigs will come to Warsaw (its export to Ukraine also strongly supported them) along with employees of the meat industry. We receive poultry and eggs from Ukraine - it is a fact and poultry farms need support, but blocking logistics and transport and, consequently, difficulties for retail trade in the country do not help them. Bankruptcies of livestock farms will affect feed producers and producers of grain from which these feeds are produced. Both will come to protest in Warsaw. Blockades at the borders are already causing the transit of goods to bypass Poland. Transport workers, railway workers and port workers will lose out. What do you think they will do? - They will come to Warsaw to protest. As a result of the decline in production and the collapse of the railways operators, the demand for coal will fall, miners will join the protesters... They will all have to somehow get to these protests and here's the good news - fuel producers will do well, the Green Deal will do worse (look at the picture above). And just wait until the enterprising people of Warsaw start opening soda waters distrivutors (known at communist times as "tuberculosis spring") with juice strengthen with some permille, and walk among the straighteners, offering "beer, cold, Królewskie beer" while the women of Warsaw will circulate among the protesters shouting encouragingly, "Dumplings hot! hot Dumplings! There is a war after all." who trades, lives". Will farmers take advantage of this element of reality, which is the possibility of interaction and integration in the form of creating purchasing and producer groups, cooperatives of agricultural producers? This type of farmers' associations could establish their own quality standards regarding organic farming, the use of spraying, fertilization, etc. This that's what it could be, but would require some discipline. At the moment I would like to believe that the number of tires burned during protests will diminish the number of tires we find each year in the forests and rivers. #agriculture #poland #ukraine #protests #eu #newgreendeal #russia #exports #food