NEW DATA POINT SHOWS INSATIABLE DEMAND FOR AI CHIPS BUT CHART SHOWS BROADENING TOP PATTERN
The Arora Report, Ltd.
The most accurate stock market, gold, and oil analysis in both bull and bear markets - over 100 million page views.
By?Nigam Arora?& Dr. Natasha Arora
To gain an edge, this is what you need to know today.
Insatiable Demand For AI Chips
Please click here for a chart of semiconductor ETF (SMH).
Note the following:
Magnificent Seven Money Flows
In the early trade, money flows are positive in Amazon (AMZN), Meta (META), and Nvidia (NVDA).
In the early trade, money flows are neutral in Alphabet (GOOG) and Microsoft (MSFT).
In the early trade, money flows are negative in Apple (AAPL) and Tesla (TSLA).
In the early trade, money flows are mixed in S&P 500 ETF (SPY) and Nasdaq 100 ETF (QQQ).
Momo Crowd And Smart Money In Stocks
The momo crowd is *** (To see the locked content, please take a 30 day free trial) stocks in the early trade.? Smart money is *** in the early trade.
Gold
The momo crowd is *** gold in the early trade.? Smart money is *** in the early trade.
For longer-term, please see gold and silver ratings.
Oil
Oil was hit hard yesterday after EIA data showed that inventories were building.
The momo crowd is *** in oil in the early trade.? Smart money is *** in the early trade.
For longer-term, please see oil ratings.
Bitcoin
Bitcoin (BTC.USD) is trading around $62,000 as of this writing.? Many recent retail investors, who were lulled into buying above $70,000 on pitches about bitcoin halving from bitcoin whales’ propaganda machine, seem disappointed.
领英推荐
Those who are serious about making money in bitcoin should consider listening to the podcast titled “BITCOIN HALVING – SIX SECRETS WHALES DO NOT WANT YOU TO KNOW” in Arora Ambassador Club.
Markets
Our very, very short-term early stock market indicator is ***.? This indicator, with a great track record, is popular among long term investors to stay in tune with the market and among short term traders to independently undertake quick trades.
See also? MOMO CROWD WANTS THE FED TO BOW TO THEM, WHAT HAPPENS TO THE STOCK MARKET IF THE FED DISAPPOINTS?
Interest rates are ticking up, and bonds are ticking down.
The dollar is range bound.
Trading futures is not recommended for most investors. The purpose of providing this information is to give an indication of the premarket activity that usually guides the activity when the market opens.
Gold futures are at $2402, silver futures are at $28.67, and oil futures are at $82.55.
S&P 500 futures are trading at 5072 as of this writing.? S&P 500 futures resistance levels are 5210, 5256, and 5400: support levels are 5020, 4918, and 4852.
DJIA futures are up 114 points.
Protection Band And What To Do Now
It is important for investors to look ahead and not in the rearview mirror.
Consider continuing to hold good, very long term, existing positions. Based on individual risk preference, consider holding *** in cash or Treasury bills or allocated to short-term tactical trades; and short to medium-term hedges of ***, and short term hedges of ***. This is a good way to protect yourself and participate in the upside at the same time.
You can determine your protection bands by adding cash to hedges.? The high band of the protection is appropriate for those who are older or conservative. The low band of the protection is appropriate for those who are younger or aggressive.? If you do not hedge, the total cash level should be more than stated above but significantly less than cash plus hedges.
It is worth reminding that you cannot take advantage of new upcoming opportunities if you are not holding enough cash.? When adjusting hedge levels, consider adjusting partial stop quantities for stock positions (non ETF); consider using wider stops on remaining quantities and also allowing more room for high beta stocks.? High beta stocks are the ones that move more than the market.
See also? APPLE, ALPHABET, AND META UNDER E.U. PROBE; INTEL AND AMD BANNED; FED’S BOSTIC SAYS ONE RATE CUT
Traditional 60/40 Portfolio
Probability based risk reward adjusted for inflation does not favor long duration strategic bond allocation at this time.
Those who want to stick to traditional 60% allocation to stocks and 40% to bonds may consider focusing on only high quality bonds and bonds of seven year duration or less.? Those willing to bring sophistication to their investing may consider using bond ETFs as tactical positions and not strategic positions at this time.
To take a free 30-day trial to paid services to gain access to more opportunities, please click here.
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