"Cannot fire while cloaked" - or how we can navigate the future without "silver bullets"
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"Cannot fire while cloaked" - or how we can navigate the future without "silver bullets"

In our journey through life and work, we often find ourselves at crossroads, faced with a myriad of choices and the necessity to make compromises.

As a professional in the realms of #digital health and IT #consultancy, I've observed that our enthusiasm for innovation often leads us to chase the latest "silver bullet" solution. We become enamoured with the idea of a single technology or strategy that will solve all our problems, streamline our workflows, and deliver unprecedented efficiency and effectiveness. We are seeing this right now with the overwhelming #AI hype. However, the reality is far more nuanced.

Embracing the Balance

Confession time: I was a Trekkie during the era of Jean-Luc Picard commanding the Starship Enterprise. (I never quite took to the cowboy style of the original Star Trek with James Kirk, so there's two confessions right there.) Throughout the series, one theme was consistent: the Klingons or Romulans, even with their advanced stealth technology, had a significant weakness—they couldn't fire their weapons while cloaked.

In our household, this phrase "cannot fire while cloaked" became a mantra of sorts for the trade-offs in life that we must work our way through, compromise and live with. After all, most seemingly incredible advantages often come with downsides that hamper their wider usefulness or become horrifyingly apparent over time. In my lifetime, I've seen the initial wonder of sulpha drugs, penicillin, DDT, plastics, leaded petrol, freon, Teflon and now social media — start off as extraordinarily effective, yet all resulted in significant environmental or human costs. In some cases, with the unintended consequences of nature pushing back with more dangerous, resistant forms arising (drug resistant bacteria, insecticide resistant insects etc) and in human costs of mental health or illness.

Now, as generative AI emerges into our world, I'm involved in healthcare discussions nearly every week about how these incredible tools and systems may help humanity. And yet, the phrase "cannot fire while cloaked" rings loudly in my ears.

Every new technology, no matter how promising, comes with trade-offs. Our role is not to find a single, all-encompassing solution but to manage these compromises thoughtfully and responsibly and consider as carefully as we can the likely future consequences. By doing so, we can better harness the power of innovation while mitigating its risks, ensuring that our advancements serve us without undermining the foundations upon which we build. At the very least, we should be sceptical and ask "what are the downsides we are perhaps not currently seeing?" And then we must pay attention and be pro-active towards minimising that impact. It's a big ask. Everyone wants it both - "to fire while cloaked".

Moving Forward

So sure - let's embrace the technological advancements. But by acknowledging and addressing these in the context of likely future consequences we can make more adult decisions, and we can foster a more balanced and sustainable approach to innovation—one that truly benefits society as a whole with the lightest footprint we can leave on our world.

After all - the brighter the light, the darker the shadow.

What do you think? Does this resonate for you? I'd welcome your thoughts.

Tony Guttmann

Emeritus Professor of Mathematics at The University of Melbourne

4 个月

Paul, I completely agree. Almost every change/decision has potential downsides. Be it an investment, a medication, a new technology or even a new piece of legislation. I always ask "what can go wrong" or "what are he risks" before getting too excited about the upside. Cheers, Tony

Nereda Shute

Data Governance, Benefits Realisation, Business Transformation, Portfolio and Program Management

4 个月

Paul - this definitely resonates for me more particularly perhaps as I have the same 2 confessions as you re Star Trek! ?? I fear that in the world we currently live in of instant gratification, balancing possible future risks / considerations against what benefit I can get today may be beyond a large number of us. Can we consider the potential effects 40-50 years down the track of our kids spending their childhood looking at screens for much of their waking life against the convenience for us of them doing so. Could we live without our mobile phones even if we acknowledge there could be health issues associated with being so attached to them or environmental issues associated with producing them? And this is heavily fed by the companies making money off the new technologies. So ... whilst this sounds quite doom and gloom, I then reflect on how things can look more hopeful. And here I share my own confession. I've been listening to some 'golden oldie' pop tracks of Michael Jackson and what rings loudly in my ears are his lyrics to 'Man in the Mirror'. "I'm starting with the man in the mirror I'm asking him to change his ways ... If they wanna make the world a better place Take a look at yourself and then make a change".

Neil Churches

Retired but open to copy-editing projects - guaranteed on time to budget.

4 个月

Thanks for your mindful comments Paul. I do partly disagree with your views on compromise though; there are times when a leader needs to make a 'courageous decision' and get on with it. Decision -making, and taking-action, are critical attributes that all successful leaders must possess in my opinion. Compromise can be entertained when the bullets are not being fired.

Very thoughtful and thought provoking Paul, as always.

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