Moment of reckoning

Moment of reckoning

Before we get to it, a quick programming note: while the countdown to election day is over, we’re not going anywhere. This newsletter will continue twice a week until inauguration day but with a new name: White House Watch, with a special edition tomorrow to kick us off. Thank you for joining us on this journey to election day.

For a final time, welcome to US Election Countdown, brought to you from the battleground state of Wisconsin. I'm Steff Chávez, the FT's Washington reporter. As we await the first election results, let’s dive into:

  • The gender divide
  • Preparations for market volatility
  • Swing state polling

America’s moment of reckoning is finally here, and the election results are likely to paint a vivid picture of the US’s deep divisions. The most consequential divide, though, could be over gender . [free to read].

Women have flocked to Kamala Harris as she’s made her campaign a crusade for protecting reproductive freedom two years after the US Supreme Court struck down the national right to obtain an abortion in Dobbs vs Jackson Women’s Health Organization.

Men, on the other hand, have increasingly drifted to Trump, who has tapped into their anxieties and grievances, and sought to connect with them over traditionally masculine pastimes such as golf and the Ultimate Fighting Championship. Not to mention his bromance with billionaire Tesla chief Elon Musk. . . . Register for the FT to keep reading the newsletter for free .

Mukula Makasa

Strategic Leadership

2 周

How did the gender dynamic play out in this election?

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Santosh Menon

Owner, Snehadeep International

2 周

All the best whoever wins but our only worry is USA having good relationship with India

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Sarwat Usmani

Founder @ TheMindology | Educationist | Research Analyst | Content Writer | Social Media Specialist | Copywriter | Academic Writer | Tech, Marketing, and Finance Expert

2 周

Key points: Gender Divide: There’s a significant gender split in voter support. Many women are supporting Kamala Harris due to her focus on reproductive rights. Men, meanwhile, are increasingly drawn to Trump, partly due to his appeals to traditionally masculine pastimes and his association with public figures like Elon Musk. Market Volatility Preparations: Financial markets anticipate high volatility, with significant swings expected across bonds, currencies, and stocks. Options markets project a possible 2.2% swing in the S&P 500. Swing State Polling:? The race is tight nationally and in crucial swing states. Harris holds a slight lead overall, with advantages in Michigan and Wisconsin, while Trump has an edge in Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania. Nevada is currently a toss-up. Violence and Legal Concerns: The election season has seen unprecedented violence, prompting law enforcement to prepare for potential civil unrest, regardless of the outcome. Additionally, there’s uncertainty about Trump’s legal cases if he wins. Investor Caution: Investors are wary of overreacting to initial market moves. Historically, such moves have often reversed, as seen after Trump’s 2016 election win.

virginia figone

Marketing Consultant

2 周

God save US!!! It’s a moment with an high level of risk!

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It’s always “ over gender ” . Inanna docet .

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