MLB Favorites in June 2023

The period between June 1st and June 6th, 2023, has been very interesting for baseball, with favorites generally performing quite well. The overall success rate for favorites across all conferences has been 68%, which is significantly higher than the 50% break-even point for most bettors.

However, this success rate does vary significantly between different divisions. For example, favorites in the AL East and AL West have enjoyed high success rates of 84.62% and 80% respectively. In contrast, favorites in the AL Central and NL Central have had success rates of just over 54.55%.

As for the Over/Under market, the results have been leaning towards the Under across all conferences, with only 41.67% of games going over the total points line. This also varies between divisions, with the AL West seeing 60% of games going Over, while the AL East and AL Central have had just 33.33% and 30% of games going Over respectively.

Looking at individual teams, Tampa Bay has been a standout performer, with a 100% win rate as favorites. Boston and the Chicago White Sox have also done well, winning all of their games as favorites. However, teams like Cleveland and Seattle have underperformed, with both failing to win any of their games as favorites.

In terms of betting strategy for the next few days, there are a few factors to consider:

1. **Performance of Favorites:** With favorites performing quite well overall, it might be worth sticking with this trend. However, remember that past performance is not a guarantee of future results.

2. **Over/Under Market:** Given that most games have been going Under the total points line, betting on the Under might be a good strategy. However, this will depend on the specific line set by bookmakers for each game.

3. **Team Performance:** Teams like Tampa Bay, Boston, and the Chicago White Sox have been performing well, so they might be worth backing as favorites. However, it might be worth avoiding teams like Cleveland and Seattle until they improve their performance.

4. **Pitcher Performance:** The outcome of baseball games can be heavily influenced by the performance of the starting pitchers. For example, Gerrit Cole of the NY Yankees and Lucas Giolito of the Chicago White Sox have been two standout performers in recent games. Keep an eye on the pitching match-ups for each game and consider this when placing your bets.

Remember to always gamble responsibly and never bet more than you can afford to lose. Good luck!