The Misery Index

Summary: President Biden’s rebranding of Build Back Better, BBB, as Bidenomics.

The rebranding is a play on Reaganomics. As the saying goes, imitation is the

sincerest form of flattery. However, in this case imitation only extends to

marketing or messaging of the economic program. The policy initiatives of these

two approaches are diametrically opposed.

As the 1970s decade came to an end, candidate Reagan asked voters a simple

question. Are you better off today than you were 4 years ago? Reagan knew the

answer to the question he was asking.?At the time, the commonly accepted

measure of wellbeing among the pundits and the press was the so-called misery

index, a macroeconomic indicator that measures the employment rate as well as

the purchasing power of money.

Given President Biden’s statements regarding Bidenomics, the presumed answer to

the question asked by Candidate Reagan, if asked today, is a simple, yes. But if

that is the case, why doesn’t the President ask and answer the question? The

misery index provides us with a clue.



To view this LJE Report, please click on the link below

https://www.lajollaeconomics.com/reportdetail.pl?reportid=1588


Information contained in or attached to research report is for informational purposes only, does not constitute investment advice, and is not an advertisement or an offer of investment advisory services or a solicitation to become a client of LJE. The information is obtained from sources believed to be reliable, however, accuracy and completeness are not guaranteed by LJE.


#inflation , #election, #economicoutlook

2 attachments?—?Download all attachmentsMieryandbiden07252023.pdf

255K?View as HTML?DownloadMieryandbiden07252023.docx

79K?View as HTML?Download

Todd Eklund

Seeking Investment Team Opportunities | Dept, Leaders, HQ

1 年
回复
Todd Eklund

Seeking Investment Team Opportunities | Dept, Leaders, HQ

1 年

The Misery Index is always glass half full, especially this over the past 12-18 months in conjunction with CPI inflation. Digging into the headline numbers, Regionally, I’d expect to see a spike in JOLTs, and I'm also bullish on both the Manufacturing (PMI?) and Services (PMI?) despite their recent softness.

回复

要查看或添加评论,请登录

Victor Canto的更多文章

  • Is a Picture Worth 1000 Words?

    Is a Picture Worth 1000 Words?

    To view this LJE Report, please click on the link belowhttps://www.lajollaeconomics.

  • Elections Outcomes and Economic Performance

    Elections Outcomes and Economic Performance

    Summary: The data presented here suggests that adding the control of the legislative branches and or the changes in the…

  • Salieri or Mozart?

    Salieri or Mozart?

    Summary: If one is willing to assume a causal relationship going from the policy initiatives to the economic…

  • The Ranking of the 1960-2024 Administrations

    The Ranking of the 1960-2024 Administrations

    Summary: The 2024 presidential offers the US voters a unique opportunity in their lives. A chance to vote for two…

  • Bidenomics

    Bidenomics

    It is customary to credit different administrations for all the good and bad that happens under their watch. Yet…

  • Migration

    Migration

    Summary: Migration, among the states and across the border, is a major topic atthe forefront of current economic and…

    2 条评论
  • What can policymakers learn from a Household?

    What can policymakers learn from a Household?

    Politicians who criticize the budget deficit and government spending are quite fond of saying that the government could…

  • The Third Quarter 2023 Outlook

    The Third Quarter 2023 Outlook

    Summary: The LJE quarterly forecast has a dual purpose. One is to produce a forecast that accurately captures the…

  • How the Fed lost its Compass: The Volker Rule

    How the Fed lost its Compass: The Volker Rule

    Summary: Forty years ago, the biggest problem our economy faced was high and rising inflation. The Great Inflation…

  • Active versus Passive: Part II

    Active versus Passive: Part II

    Title: Active versus Passive: Part II Date: 05/21/2023 Summary: Whether active managers consistently outperform their…

社区洞察

其他会员也浏览了