?? METAVERSE SCENARIO MATRIX

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?? METAVERSE SCENARIO MATRIX

??? The Metaverse must be understood as a convergence of virtual and real space, fused into a mixed reality (MR) immersive experience.

??? However, it is comprised of several Multiverses, in which the 3D Internet virtualizes elements of the world and our life, reshaping user experience (UX), based on 4 tech dimensions:

• AUGMENTATION: Tech such as Robots that augment humans and layer new control systems onto real world operations.
• SIMULATION: Tech such as Digital Twins that mimic reality to provide simulated worlds.
• PERSONAL: Tech such as Avatars to represent personal identity and Metaverse action.
• WORLDLY: Tech such as Internet of Things (IoT) sensors that gather data to help manage the world.

??? This yields 4 likely scenarios of Multiverse user groups, starting at bottom right of the main Infographic.

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?? 1. VIRTUAL WORLDS (Personal + Simulation)

??? Virtual Worlds (VW) mix the physical and virtual world (social, economic, political) in real-time Mixed Reality (MR), single and multi-user modes. Issues of identity, trust and reputation, social roles, rules, and interaction are key aspects. A good example is Second Life.

??? The key component of VW is the user's Avatar (or virtual character personification). The Avatar's growth, learning, and development in the Metaverse can be far more rapid than in real life, and they can move between Multiverses.

??? VWs offer creativity tools but that is constrained by the need to reflect reality. They also offer benefits of learning, acquiring new skills, job assessment, and socio-economic collaboration. Users may live richer, more exotic lives in virtual space.

??? VWs also capture most digital interactions, from entertainment to work to education to shopping to dating, even email and operating systems. Users also may engage in fantasies and role play, and the evolving real-world social norms around diversity, equity, and inclusion (DEI) may be challenged.

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?? 2. MIRROR WORLDS (Worldly + Simulation)

??? Mirror Worlds (MW) are 3D-enhanced virtual models or “reflections” of the real world. Built on virtual mapping, modeling, and annotation tools, geospatial and other sensors, and location-aware and other activity recording tech, they literally "mirror" the real world.

??? A good example is Google Earth, the free, web-based, open-standards digital map of Earth. It is a geographic information system (GIS) that captures, stores, analyzes and manages data that is spatially referenced to the Earth. Street View in Google Maps delivers compelling visual information, and live GPS camera feeds to popular destinations further increases MW activity.

??? MW for "smart" homes will be significant. Security, property insurance, moving and storage, rental and barter, interior decorating, construction, and home automation are just a few elements that will be affected. The data power of these tools will create new challenges for crime prevention and privacy protection.

??? Likewise, IoT location- and context-aware sensors will create "smart" urban and rural environments, and the quality of MW simulations, AR interfaces, and object and user activity records will improve.

??? Personal use of MW will arise from the value of visual location-based data, such as traffic, directions, weather, pollution, Pollen levels, nearby businesses and entertainment, and the like. MW thus makes the unseen world visible, and readily accessible.

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?? 3. AUGMENTED REALITY (Worldly + Augmentation)

??? Augmented reality (AR) enhances the real world through location-aware systems (as above in MW) and it layers networked data on top of our everyday view of the world. A good example is IKEA Place.

??? AR thus also is based on MW maps and GPS networks, as well as cellphone localizers. AR also depends on AI sensors embedded in the Internet of Things (IoT) physical objects and spaces. QR code readers also contribute, as do heads-up displays (HUDs) on automobiles and sensors on automated self-driving vehicles (AVs). Wearable devices and smart glasses will add another avenue to AR. 3G and 4G wireless communication platforms already stream content. 5G and 6G will do so much faster.

??? The AR scenario thus offers a world in which every item within view has a potential "shadow" (or Digital Twin) accessible via standard interfaces. Most items that can change state (be turned on or off, change appearance, etc.) can be controlled via wireless networking, and many otherwise "dumb" objects become interactive and controllable. This will especially be the case with Quantum Computing and teleportation technologies.

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?? 4. Life Logging (Personal + Augmentation)

??? In Life Logging (LL), AR records and reports the intimate states and activities of objects and users, in support of memory, observation, communication, and behavior modeling. LL thus overlaps with the AR scenario, and both rely on AR networks and ubiquitous IoT sensors. A good example is Instagram.

??? LL thus captures, stores and distributes daily experiences. This provides useful past or current status information, sharing unusual moments with others (as on Instagram), for art and self-expression, and increasingly, as a kind of "backup memory" for later review.

??? LL emerges from accelerating trends in connectivity, bandwidth, storage capacity, sensor accuracy, miniaturization, and affordability.

??? For LL early adopters, retention of past experiences will become functionally perfect, but recall and analysis of those experiences will only be as good as the technology, such as 5G cellphones and wearables. But older generations may have difficulty adjusting amid nostalgia for simpler, earlier times.

??? LL technologies thus act as a kind of TikTok of life, recording sights and sounds you encounter or engage in, and also allow collaborative sharing of life experiences. Unlike VW, LL won’t allow you to walk in another person's shoes, but it does allow you to see the world through their eyes.

??? A key LL trend will be making meaningful connections between disparate "memories," both individual and collective. In its fullest expression, LL becomes not just a backup memory, but a backup sub-conscious, offering powerful cognitive augmentation and advice by past example.

??? A major social trend in LL (and the entire Metaverse) will be grappling with the impact of greatly elevated transparency, including all the inevitable attempts to hack, game, or otherwise manipulate the system. Security, privacy, fraud prevention, and the protection of civil liberties for users and those recorded will be ongoing concerns.

IN SUM ...

The Metaverse has multiple dimensions, each with its own applications, benefits, and challenges. I will discuss more of this in a subsequent Article.

Source: Totally adapted, modified, and condensed from MetaverseRoadmap.org; Infographic modified and redrawn by Frank Feather, 2022

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