Mastering DCF: Avoid These 5 Valuation Pitfalls!
Mohit Bhatnagar, FMVA?
Founder, MCDK | FMVA? | Entrepreneur | Author, Valuation Insights Newsletter (Biweekly)
Welcome Back to Valuation Insights – Your Go-To Newsletter for Financial Modeling & Valuation!
Are you struggling to get accurate valuations? Even experienced analysts make costly DCF (Discounted Cash Flow) mistakes that lead to over/undervaluation. Let’s fix that today!
?? Top 5 DCF Mistakes That Can Cost You Millions:
?? 1. Unrealistic Growth Projections: Many models assume sky-high revenue growth. Solution? Use industry benchmarks and historical trends to keep estimates realistic.
?? 2. Wrong Discount Rate (WACC): Using a fixed WACC? Markets change! Reassess your cost of capital regularly to reflect risk and market conditions.
?? 3. Overestimating Terminal Value: DCF models rely heavily on terminal value, but a minor change in assumptions can swing valuation wildly. Solution? Cross-check with market multiples.
?? 4. Ignoring Risk & Sensitivity Analysis: Are your projections stress-tested? Run scenario analyses to see how different economic conditions impact valuation.
?? 5. Relying Only on DCF: DCF is powerful, but it’s just one tool. Compare it with multiples-based valuation (P/E, EV/EBITDA), Precedent Transaction Analysis to sanity-check your results.
?? Pro Tip: The best analysts don’t just forecast—they challenge their own assumptions and adjust for risks dynamically.
?? Next Edition: A step-by-step guide on DCF Sensitivity Analysis – making your valuations bulletproof! Stay tuned!
? Did you find this valuable? ?? Subscribe & share with your network to help others refine their valuation skills!
?? What’s the biggest DCF challenge you face? Reply below or comment—I’ll cover it in an upcoming edition!
Thank you so much for reading till here. I hope it added value to whatever you know before reading this article!
Happy Learning!
Regards,
Mohit Bhatnagar, FMVA