The MAG Commentary:092223
Patrick O'Connell
Check out my LinkedIn Newsletter for info on how my digital content sizzles- to include info on my awesome Market Algo NL that forecasts the S&P500 weekly trends!
The MAG Commentary:092223
Market Weekly Forecasts and Geopolitical Commentaries
Patrick OConnell, editor
I am not an investment advisor.
Any financial information is for educational purposes only – NOT investment advice!
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Featured in the Commentary Section:
Greg Mannarino-MUST-WATCH-LIVE Business Activity CRATERS. Employers Cutting Staff, Fastest Pace Since Last MELTDOWN. Mannarino
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Check out where the power outages are currently occurring in the US:
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Something to lift your spirit:
Follow your bliss – Your daily dose of joy - @funfactoids4u –
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Our proprietary market algo forecasts the following trends, Risk on, or Risk off, for the upcoming trading week ending on 09/08/2023:
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The SPY(SPDR, S&P500 ETF), is Trending? DOWNWARD – MINUS 12.91 for the past week ending on 09/22/2023.
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In our opinion – not investment advice – The Bears - yet again - WILL rule for the trading week ending 09/29/2023!
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? Be Aware – Be Awesome –
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To not miss out on the rapid changes in market trends – subscribe to our weekly MAG Newsletter!
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For the upcoming trading week, ending on 09/29/2023, our proprietary algo forecasts the following potential trend for each of the following metrics – either Bullish or Bearish:
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VIX index:? Buearish!
VVIX index:? Bearish!
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SPY index:? Bearish!? - swing traders and day traders –
?Take Note of This!
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West Texas Intermediate – Crude Oil:? Bearish!
QQQ:? Bearish!
Copper:? Bearish!
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And of course, the VIX – SPY Correlation Variance” – Right on cue – Bearish! –
??????????????????????? Conservative traders & “Investors” – Take Note of This!
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So what??
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So for the next week – the ongoing Bear market will yet again – manifest for the week ahead!
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Be nimble in trading this market- You do NOT want to be a bag holder when this rally ends!
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Our conclusion for the week ahead is that – our algo indicates that the Bears – at least for the week ahead – are yet again in control.
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The Takeaway:
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Our SPY-VIX Correlation Variation metric -? – confirms? - at least from a purely technical point of view (notwithstanding “Fed manipulation” monkey business) - this coming week’s bearishness!?
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In our opinion massive global bank runs are still ongoing- notwithstanding the massive printing of fiat money to “stem the run on banks”.
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This is – of course - NOT investment advice – but fasten your seat belts - a bumpy ride awaits!
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Swing traders and day traders will make money – the traders that are not nimble will be crushed, in our opinion!
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For the past few months, we have been saying that we are entering a global depression, not so much a recession!
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We do not think we have seen the bottom.
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Keep in mind, Volatility is still very much with us!
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Indeed, The Bear Market is still very much still with us, as well!
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Please note,? Concerning our “VIX, SPY correlation-variance ” metric -
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IF the VIX is trending DOWN. And the SPY is trending UP,? for the most recent week of trading…then and only then will our? VIX, SPY correlation-variance algo indicate a potential Risk-on, (Bullish) trend,… for the upcoming week,…
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This indication of a potential Bullish trend, however, only? happens,…currently,…on a very infrequent basis!...
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Reminder:
Daniel?Riley –Mr.TopStep: ?https://mrtopstep.com ?provides daily updates ?on the markets:?
His website & free email newsletter are a MUST!!!??—Patrick
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Commentary for 09/22/2023:
I am indebted to Robin Horsfall’s compelling and timely articles- originally published on LinkedIn!?
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?Former SAS Soldier. Writer, Veterans Campaigner and Public Speaker. Operations Nimrod and Mikado
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Published on LinkedIn:? ?09/21/2023
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Overcoming adversity. Leadership in every environment.
1d ?
Russian Degradation.
Russian forces are being depleted and degraded all along the front lines in Ukraine. In the east Russia pours poorly trained, badly armed conscripts across fields covered by prepared UA artillery.
? It was reported this week that Russian authorities have ordered 250,000 death certificates. This closely aligns with western intelligence estimates of 265,000 Russian deaths. Where Ukraine has penetrated first line defences they are finding unmanned areas in the second line.
? Recently, it has become clear in Crimea that Ukrainian attacks have degraded Russian air defences so much that drones are managing to strike communications, logistical supplies and headquarter groups with relative ease. At the same time the number of drones and missiles that Russia can respond with is dropping weekly. Russia still concentrates most of its air attack efforts on random civilian target and the grain supplies out of Ukraine.
Russia's navy has found themselves vulnerable to air and marine drones. Land based anti-ship missiles keep them away from coastal areas. Russian ships struggle to function in the Black Sea and are withdrawing further east.
? In the south UA advances are bringing strategically vital pinch points like Tokmak in range of 155mm artillery which further degrades the Russian ability to maintain its defences. Taking Tokmak will cut the land bridge supply route, and the Kerch Bridge will inevitably be hit again in the near future cutting the favoured route for a Russian retreat.
Inside Russia, anti-Putin partisans and UA special forces are successfully destroying aircraft on the ground and fuel supplies.
In summary: ?
Weakened ground to air defences, reduced airpower, inadequate manpower, poor communications, insufficient logistical supply and a fear that routes of retreat will be cut soon, mean that Russian soldiers are looking forward to a lonely and deathly cold winter.
Slava Ukraini!
Who Dares Shares
Robin Horsfall
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If you support my work go to?robinhorsfall.info?and consider purchasing one of my books.
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Former SAS Soldier. Leadership in every environment. Writer, Veterans Campaigner and Inspiring Speaker. Operations Nimrod and Mikado
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Map of Ukraine- credit: Robin Horsfall- 08/08/2022:
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FYI:?? I comment on the “real-time” geopolitical blog posts I create for my Reddit “EndUkrainian Genocide” community:
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The purpose of the Reddit community is to provide “real-time” updates on geopolitical events occurring worldwide AND? connect peace activists and community organizers worldwide to share their journey: Together we CAN climb that mountain!
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On to the “Main Event”:
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I post the URL for each news item I share in my? REDDIT blog post -? if you want to do a deep dive into the source material.?
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Not the most “elegant” and detailed way of commenting, but as your time is valuable, I try to be as succinct as possible in my comments!? -? Patrick
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Here are the major “real-time” news items I comment on for this past week:
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New stuff:
Featured:
Greg Mannarino-MUST-WATCH-LIVE Business Activity CRATERS. Employers Cutting Staff, Fastest Pace Since Last MELTDOWN. Mannarino
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More breaking events:
领英推荐
Stephen Gardner- Putin - Mobilizing for a Massive Assault--- Ukraines days are numbered- n the interview, former CIA agent Larry Johnson discusses various pressing topics, including Senator Bob Menendezs indictment, the Ukraine-Russia war news update, the southern border crisis, and President Biden
https://www.reddit.com/r/EndUkrainianGenocide/comments/16pqhmb/stephen_gardner_pjutin_mobilizing_for_a_massive/
T he Macs - Joe Biden grants Amnesty to 470,000 migrants- They ALL get Green Cards- They will take YOUR job! What cn possibly go wrong?-State Of EMERGENCY Declaration - WE ARE UNDER ATTACK (National Guard DEPLOYED)
https://www.reddit.com/r/EndUkrainianGenocide/comments/16pmpwm/the_macs_joe_biden_grants_amnesty_to_470000/
Biden will actually do THIS- The Debt market will implode- Are you ready to be destroyed- Your financial life will be destoryed- They want you dead!-he second story about Biden banning medical debt from credit scores starts at 08:50 ??There are 4 discount links for today: Here is a special 75% off l
https://www.reddit.com/r/EndUkrainianGenocide/comments/16pkl9b/biden_will_actually_do_this_the_debt_market_will/
NYPrepper - EMERGENCY ALERT!! UKRAINE DESTROYS RUSSIAN BLACK SEA FLEET HQ!! SEVERAL COMMANDERS ELIMINATED!!
https://www.reddit.com/r/EndUkrainianGenocide/comments/16pg4hk/nyprepper_emergency_alert_ukraine_destroys/
Canadian Prepper-MUST WATCH-INSIDER ALERT: GOVERNMENT PLANNING FOR A MAJOR EVENT, EMBASSIES STOCKING UP!-The Military, High profile figures and Embassies are stocking up for a grid down event
https://www.reddit.com/r/EndUkrainianGenocide/comments/16o3s24/canadian_preppermust_watchinsider_alert/
Why the Western World is Collapsing -Empires fall. They have throughout history...and its always the same thing that brings them down. When, not if, it happens here, how do we come out the other side? cash.app/$pinballpreparedness https://freesteading.com/groups/pinba.
https://www.reddit.com/r/EndUkrainianGenocide/comments/16nqiqp/why_the_western_world_is_collapsing_empires_fall/
Patrick Humphrey - Checkpoints to be erected between states- State-wide tgravel restrictions coming- AI tracking/facial recognition coming- SOON!-WARNING ?? NEW TRAVEL RESTRICTIONS JUST ANNOUNCED - GET OUT NOW! | prepping shtf wrol
https://www.reddit.com/r/EndUkrainianGenocide/comments/16nchv0/patrick_humphrey_checkpoints_to_be_erected/
Redacted- Send American men and women into The Meatgrinder? - You betcha!-Ukrainian president Zelensky travels to Washington to ask for more money and more weapons as neo conservatives like Mike Pence warn that Americans will need to fight in Ukraine unless we send more support. Sean Penn says ...
https://www.reddit.com/r/EndUkrainianGenocide/comments/16mgrhi/redacted_send_american_men_and_women_into_the/
Canadian Prepper - MUST WATCH - AI will be in your dialy life- A prisionis being built for everyone- BUT - NOT - one with physical walls- but more insidious and MUCH MORE pervasive- Get ready for it! - The Truth You Arent Supposed to Think About. Can you handle The Truth?
https://www.reddit.com/r/EndUkrainianGenocide/comments/16lw9xf/canadian_prepper_must_watch_ai_will_be_in_your/
You may have to copy and paste the url for each story!
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More breaking news is posted on my Reddit EndUkrainianGenocideNow Community!
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Join now to keep up with events – as they happen! - - -? Patrick
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Go here:
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Stay tuned for the next issue!
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Another source of news and commentary that I follow and recommend is the one authored/published by Elaine Supkis- The Culture of Life News—Highly recommended:
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Thank you for following my MAG Commentary!
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Patrick
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We also publish a weekly newsletter on Substack:? The Market Algo Newsletter – It forecasts the direction of the S&P 500 market? - index for the upcoming week – and global geopolitical commentaries -
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Don’t miss Luna Maypole’s latest Chapter of
“NM-Kitty’s Meow Adventures” (written in the style of A.A. Milne – creator of the Winnie the Pooh Adventures):
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Don’t miss Chapter 14:?
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NM-Kitty's Redemption: Riyadh's Heroic Feline - Ch 14
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NM-Kitty's Triumph Over Darkness and the Sinister Shadowclaw
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My NM-Kitty YouTube Playlist is located here –
check it out today:
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Find “NM-Kitty” on page 1 of “Google Search”!
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FYI - I use the pen name, Luna Maypole ---? Patrick OConnell
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Have you followed Aleph and Omega – My protagonists in my short story fictional series “The Fellowship of Dreams”?
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The latest chapter (written in the style of #Tom Clancy) -
Is located at Lampshade of Illumination - here:
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Don’t miss Part 14:
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Aleph and Omega Go to Ukraine — the Tangled Underworld — Part 14
Unmasking the Crime Syndicate of Kyiv
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Contact me for info about our InsightNexus chatbot - How to integrate it with your CRM and wrap it in your SAAS!?
Samples of my work are on my Patrick OConnell Consultants website:
https://protectmykid.us? ? ? ??
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https://bit.ly/3OAj5XR
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I created our InsightNexus chatbot (a pro bono demo) for Greg Mannarino -
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For his free analysis of stock market risk – go here:? https://bit.ly/3YOqqrx
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Get free blogging tips & ideas -NOW:? https://bit.ly/3qvhnzb