The MAG Commentary: 07/01/2022
Patrick O'Connell
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The MAG Commentary:?07/01/2022
Market Weekly Forecasts & Geopolitical Commentaries
Patrick OConnell, editor
I?am not an investment advisor.?Any financial information is for educational purposes only – NOT investment advice!
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Our proprietary market also forecasts the following trends (Risk-on or Risk-off) for the week ending 07/08/2022:
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Full Disclosure:
An analysis published is not investment advice!
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The SPY(SPDR S&P500 ETF) is Trending?Downward (minus 8.84??Week-over-Week)- ?for the Week ending 07/01/2022
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Risk-on?(Bullish):
These metrics are Risk-on(bullish) for the next week:
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WTI – Crude Oil,?VIX,?VVIX?
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Volatility is still with us – be forewarned!
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The ?global hyper-inflation, the global supply chain dislocations, and of course – the?war --?all of these negative factors are certainly not helpful for the bulls’ case.?
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Risk-off?(Bearish):?
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VIX-SPY Variance-Correlation
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QQQ, Copper
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A cautionary note to keep in mind (IMHO we are not yet seeing a confirmed bottom in the market) -?as Doug Casey said in a recent interview -?we are in a chaotic period in global markets.
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Conclusion:
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For next week, the algo indicates that the Bears are in control.
The Bulls are on the sidelines.???
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Some say we are entering a global depression – not so much a recession.?What do YOU?think?
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Doug Casey opines that we are indeed headed to the big “D”!?He forecasts a bond market collapse and a stock market crash.???He recommends the intermediate size oil companies.?NOT the big ones!
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?Casey likes uranium stocks as well. He says he is long uranium stocks.
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Interestingly, he likes the Uzbekistan stock market.?I would NOT recommend investing there – unless you do your extensive due diligence.?He mentioned it would be sort of a “lotto play” – Very risky!
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IMHO I do not think we have seen the bottom – I always like to see at least a 3 week period in which the market is in a bull trend.?Even then, the market can still sustain a bull trap or a so-called head fake for a prolonged period.?Be careful in trading for the next one to two weeks!
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I am tracking the weekly price movement of QQQ during 2022:
So, Moving forward, QQQ was a hypothetical “Buy” on 01/03/2020 at $401.68.?IMHO this correction of QQQ remains in an indefinite period of profound weakness! No sign of a definitive bottom from this point moving forward!
Each week, I indicate the profit or loss, based on this (pretend) entry point.?Let’s see where it ends up at the end of 2022!
As of 07/01/2022, this hypothetical trade shows a loss of $ 119.55 ??(QQQ was $282.13 at the close on 07/01/2022).
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Reminder: Daniel?Riley –Mr. TopStep:?https://mrtopstep.com?provides daily updates on the markets:?His website & free email newsletter are a MUST!!!??—Patrick
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Important Note - to everyone:
I have a source (President/CEO of a US nationwide Truckers Association for Women) – who has kindly offered caseloads of dolls – to be donated to NGOs and/or Ukrainian Resettlement organizations.?Scientific research has indicated that “doll therapy” and children/the elderly can benefit in many ways by “bonding” with a stuffed animal or a doll./?
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I am open to anyone that has a serious interest in this generous offer (10 dolls to a case) – to DM me.?We can hop on a call (Tuesday-Friday: 10 am Mountain Time – 4:00 pm Mountain Time) to discuss/provide contact information.
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“First come – first serve” as they say, or “You snooze – you lose”.
Supply may be limited.
May I hear from you soon??-?Patrick (LinkedIn ID - azpat0)
You can contact me through my profile as well:
Patrick OConnell
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I have joined an awesome YouTube group - ?“UkraineNow” – I shall share links to some of our 3 times per week meetups in The MAG Commentary - check this group out by inputting “UkraineNow Community Meeting” in YouTube’s search link.
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FYI:
I have contacts worldwide that subscribe to my MAG Commentary NL (Market Forecasts & Geopolitical Commentaries" and my Substack Market Algo NL:
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--- Patrick
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NOTE:?I am currently working as a copywriter for:
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I shall include a few links in each MAG Commentary newsletter with the focus on:?“Homesteading & Sustainable Agriculture” Videos.?IMHO this may be appropriate, given the current volatility in the economic, geopolitical, and ongoing volatility of global ecosystems, and cultural transformations/upheavals. ?
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Commentary for 07/01/2022:
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I am indebted to Robin Horsfall’s compelling and timely articles- originally published on LinkedIn!?One of these follows- very “spot-on::
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Putin’s Generosity?
Feed post
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Putin's Generosity?
It has been encouraging to see how the heavy bombardment by Ukrainian land based missiles helped Putin to make his generous gesture of 'goodwill' by evacuating Snake Island. Once this target was registered with the Ukraine's new long range artillery there were only two options run or die -they ran.
This tiny rock in the Black Sea is important because it can be used as an unsinkable missile base that covers the maritime approach lanes to Odesa.
When Snake Island is occupied again by Ukraine it will be reinforced and prepared as a site for Harpoon missiles. Then the Russian Navy will be forced back another 250km or 150 nautical miles into the Black Sea. The island can also act as a platform for surface to air missiles to further defend UA airspace from Odesa to Crimea.
This protection might enable Ukraine to safely clear a shipping lane through the sea mines that block the approaches to Odesa and protect food ships from Russian interference.
Snake Island may be small - but it has great strategic and symbolic value. This Russian retreat is the first clear and obvious sign that top level western weapons can turn the tide and push the Russian forces back to where they came from.
Slava Ukraine!
Who Dares Shares
Robin Horsfall
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I found this excerpt from The Financial Times (Swamp Notes) to be most prescient of what is- what will be- and what it means for everyone on the planet---?IMHO it is indeed the “shadow of things to come”:
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Source:
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FYI:??I comment on the “real-time” geopolitical blog posts I create for my Reddit “EndUkrainian Genocide” community:
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The purpose of the Reddit community is to provide “real-time” updates on geopolitical events occurring worldwide AND?connect peace activists and community organizers worldwide to share their journey: Together we CAN climb that mountain!
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On to the “Main Event”:
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I post the URL for each news item I share in my?REDDIT blog post - ?if you want to do a deep dive into the source material.?
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Not the most “elegant” and detailed way of commenting, but as your time is valuable, I try to be as succinct as possible in my comments!?-?Patrick
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Here are the major “real-time” news items I comment on for this past week:
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Repeated- This is timeless AND priceless?information:
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4/18/22:?Doug Casey: the world is headed for chaos and radical change
URL --- MUST??View?(recurring- as this is most prescient):
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Links to impactful geopolitical events- that you should know about:
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I published ?this on 6/3/22:
?Benefits Of Hydrogen Peroxide On Plants And In Your Garden-Hydrogen Peroxide And Plants?
?Yes, H2O2 has many benefits in your garden ranging from a disinfectant for garden tools and pots and work areas, to an anti-fungal and pest control powerhouse spray. Its uses……: MORE here:
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Seems that we live in a period of time in which many are totally unaware of the seriousness the (world war) situation- Hope everyone is prepared for "the shadow of things to come": Brad sharesWE WARNED YOU. "TAKE UP ARMS" AMERICANS SAY THE END IS NEAR. 50% AFRAID OF WHAT HAPPENS NEXT 83,434 views
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I receive rpts on global food processing plants/chemical fires - - Valdez Alaska oil fire: Food Shortages--- Subscriber UPDATE! Empty Shelves & Food Shortage (June 29th) - Poultry processing plant closing down- more folks losing their jobs. PB/sugar- chicken not in stk@Walmart, and more!
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Jerome Powell, Chairman of The Fed has stepped forward and said that inflation is here to stay. This is a far cry from the original story that this was only transitory. Also, what if there is not a housing shortage, but in fact a housing glut? We are about to see an abundance of houses for sale.
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I pray for World Peace- May peace come to Ukraine and come to Russia- NOT Spam! - We welcome back Dr. Peter Vincent Pry to discuss the state of the conflict and what to expect moving forward. Assessment on the war in Ukraine by Sr Pry- Must view!
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WARNINGS! Massive Pet Surrenders are on the increase! & more - It is reported that persons unknown (increasing now) - are randomly shooting- as in killing - others' farm animals- Getting very risky now to NOT protect your animals!
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Prepper Intel and news for preppers. Food shortage update on crop reports across the world. Will there be empty shelves and food shortages this fall? Mormon Crickets making the drought out west even worse in the USA. Locusts in Africa, drought in Iraq and Argentina affecting wheat harvests.
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Will sane minds prevail- or will the children in the room "call the shots"? Time for a reality check- everyone! May world peace prevail- If WW3 begins in earnest- May God help us! Gravitas Live with Palki: Putin threatens to use nukes | Putin's latest threat: Warning or bluff? 611,509 viewsStreamed
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NOT spam- Brad reports one Active Duty member indicates his unit now activated to deploy- Putin has ordered tactical nukes to be "at te ready"- It is "when"- not "if" Russia tactical niukes will be used- THIS IS IT. US ARMY DEPLOYED. NATO HAS BEEN THREATENED. RUSSIA ACTIVATING NUCLEAR WEAPONS
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we are seeing shortges at amazon and amazon warehouse facilities. Amazon is facing labor shortages causing them to close down potential amazon warehouses. Prepping for shtf is more important than ever now. Prep now Folks report is no fruit at all at Sam's Club& Costc0- Let me know if true!
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Every indicator points towards a major escalation involving the use of low yield tactical nuclear weapons. When it happens there will be worldwide panic. NATO readies 300,000 troops, Russian Cruise missile stockpiles being depleted, Kyiv threatens Crimea, Lithuania hit with major cyberattack, Blockade….?– MORE!
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US 5th Army Corps to permanently locate (forward-station): HQ in Poland- ASAP! PLUS: STATE OF EMERGENCY. AMERICAN TROOPS ARE MOVING OUT. MILITARY WARNING ABOUT WHAT HAPPENS NEXT- More info on US troops deploying within Europe!
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The bifurcation of global governments is now a reality- There may be a game-changing event at hand: The Fed Reserve/US Reserve currency may be undergoing a big change - and not in a good way- IMHO! Info on growing food indoors!
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Whether it's Biden’s push for vaccine mandates or his massive spending programmes, we have never seen a President like it. To discuss the past, present and future of American politics Steven Edginton is joined by the historian Victor Davis Hanson in the latest Off Script podcast.
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1937 MOMENT WARNING!!!! AMERICA PREPARED TO ENTER WORLD WAR 3 WITH EUROPE- Christopher is a leading educator, speaker and blockchain expert with over 13 years experience in the space. He shares with you insights, trends and actionable ideas in an easy to understand way.
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Welcome to next phase of American collapse-Alleged that US Military will NOT enforce states' prohibition concerning abortions- Is this not "mutiny in the 'ranks'"? IF true- where does it end? Is overt civil war imminent? IMHO- things manifesting "the shadow of things to come"-The future is "now"!
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just had a two and half hour call with a former CIA agent and nuclear weapons specialist. The situation is far worse than our leaders are telling us. What happens next is going to catch everyone off guard.
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Posted here - so that you may "know what it all about- past-present p and the shadow of things to come+: The causes and consequences of the Ukraine war A lecture by John J. Mearsheimer 624,220 views Streamed live on Jun 16, 2022
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A Blast from the Past- To comprehend the past-you must know The Past- All the better to understand the present - and the shadow of things to come-IMHO/Fast Forward 2 2022: IF (a BIG IF) Russia is "defeated" in the current "war"- Will future generations truly understand "what it was all about"?
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The fabric of society is imploding- worldwide! - "ARM YOURSELF" PROTESTS ARE HAPPENING. RUSSIAJUST DECLARED AMERICAN SITES AS TARGETS 47,218 views-Jun 25, 2022 - and MORE!
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Hell on Earth IS Coming!-What Is Your Plan To Make It Through The Worst Global Food Crisis In Any Of Our Lifetimes? Tyler Durden's Photo BY TYLER DURDEN WEDNESDAY, JUN 22, 2022 - 07:37 PM -Authored by Michael Snyder via The Economic Collapse blog--Are YOU ready?
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Tucker Carlson: Biden has made things a lot worse 3,090,739 viewsJun 14, 2022 91K
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More breaking news on my Reddit EndUkrainianGenocideNow Community!
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Join now to keep up with events – as they happen! - - -?Patrick
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Go here:
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Stay tuned for the next issue!
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?Another source of news and commentary that I follow and recommend is the one authored/published by Elaine Supkis- The Culture of Life News—Highly recommended:
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Thank you for following my MAG Commentary!
?Patrick
?Headhunting for an experienced freelance SEO content writer for your business??Here’s my profile:?https://protectmykid.us
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Let’s jump on a call soon!?- Patrick
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In closing – last but not least:
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Glory to Ukraine:
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???? Epic Orchestral Anthem of Ukraine - "Ще не вмерла Укра?ни ? слава, ? воля" [English Translation]
51,811 views
Mar 2, 2022
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4/22/19- 2,869,274 views on YouTube-Official HD Promo Video for Pet Shop Boys' fantastic single 'Go West'. Taken from the Pop Art Best - Parody of Russia-China ideology: Glory to Ukraine!
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Time Out! Time to break from all this killing and war - Take a break and enjoy some beats; 1 hour of Pet Shop Boys Greatest Hits - Full Album 2022 - Best Songs Of Pet Shop Boys --- If music isn't your thing-- Grab some Tequila or some other "diversion" from the grind of everyday reality!
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