The MAG Commentary: 06/17/2022
Patrick O'Connell
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The MAG Commentary:?06/17/2022
Market Weekly Forecasts & Geopolitical Commentaries
Patrick OConnell, editor
I?am not an investment advisor.?Any financial information is for educational purposes only – NOT investment advice!
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Our proprietary market also forecasts the following trends (Risk-on or Risk-off) for the week ending 06/24/2022:
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Full Disclosure:
An analysis published is not investment advice!
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The SPY(SPDR S&P500 ETF) is Trending?Downward(minus23.94 Week-over-Week)- ?for the Week ending 06/24/2022
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Risk-on?(Bullish):
These metrics are Risk-on(bullish) for the next week:
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VIX-SPY variance-correlation – ONLY nimble traders should trade based opn this metric! I has NOT proven to be “infallible”!
Copper?is bullish.
Volatility is still with us – be forewarned!
The ?global hyper-inflation, the global supply chain dislocations, and of course – the?war --?all of these negative factors are certainly not helpful for the bulls’ case.?
Risk-off?(Bearish):?
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Everything else:
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WTI-crude, VIX, VVIX, QQQ, SPY
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A cautionary note to keep in mind (IMHO we are not yet seeing a confirmed bottom in the market) -?as Doug Casey said in a recent interview -?we are in a chaotic period in global markets.
Conclusion:
For next week, the algo indicates that the Bears are in control.
The Bulls are on the sidelines- possibly due to the highest inflation rate in 41 years – not to mention the war!
It doesn’t help that the global supply chain is totally FRACTURED!
Some say we are entering a global depression – not so much a recession.?What do YOU?think?3
Doug Casey opines that we are indeed headed to the big “D”!?He forecasts a bond market collapse and a stock market crash.???He recommends the intermediate size oil companies.?NOT the big ones!
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?Casey likes uranium stocks as well. He says he is long uranium stocks.
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Interestingly, he likes the Uzbekistan stock market.?I would NOT recommend investing there – unless you do your extensive due diligence.?He mentioned it would be sort of a “lotto play” – Very risky!
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IMHO I do not think we have seen the bottom – I always like to see at least a 3 week period in which the market is in a bull trend.?Even then, the market can still sustain a bull trap or a so-called head fake for a prolonged period.?Be careful in trading for the next one to two weeks!
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I am tracking the weekly price movement of QQQ during 2022:
So, Moving forward, QQQ was a hypothetical “Buy” on 01/03/2020 at $401.68.?IMHO this correction of QQQ remains in an indefinite period of profound weakness! No sign of a definitive bottom from this point moving forward!
Each week, I indicate the profit or loss, based on this (pretend) entry point.?Let’s see where it ends up at the end of 2022!
As of 06/17/2022, this hypothetical trade shows a loss of $ 126.99 ??(QQQ was $274.69 at the close on 06/17/2022).
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Reminder: Daniel?Riley –Mr. TopStep:?https://mrtopstep.com ?provides daily updates on the markets:?His website & free email newsletter are a MUST!!!??—Patrick
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Important Note - to everyone:
I have a source (President/CEO of a US nationwide Truckers Association for Women) – who has kindly offered caseloads of dolls – to be donated to NGOs and/or Ukrainian Resettlement organizations.?Scientific research has indicated that “doll therapy” and children/the elderly can benefit in many ways by “bonding” with a stuffed animal or a doll./?
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I am open to anyone that has a serious interest in this generous offer (10 dolls to a case) – to DM me.?We can hop on a call (Tuesday-Friday: 10 am Mountain Time – 4:00 pm Mountain Time) to discuss/provide contact information.
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“First come – first serve” as they say, or “You snooze – you lose”.
Supply may be limited.
May I hear from you soon??-?Patrick (LinkedIn ID - azpat0)
You can contact me through my profile as well:
Patrick OConnell
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I have joined an awesome YouTube group - ?“UkraineNow” – I shall share links to some of our 3 times per week meetups in The MAG Commentary - check this group out by inputting “UkraineNow Community Meeting” in YouTube’s search link.
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--- Patrick
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Commentary for 06/17/2022:
I am indebted to Robin Horsfall’s compelling and timely articles- originally published on LinkedIn!?One of these follows- very “spot-on::
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'Vlad the Invader'
The earliest indications that Russia was short of infantry was during the first advance on Kyiv in February. An army of tanks advanced towards the capital of Ukraine without infantry protection. Infantry protect armour against enemy infantry. Tanks have limited vision. They cannot see individuals in bushes or clear mines or shoot at high buildings from close range. Without foot soldiers they are vulnerable. Russia's tanks were ambushed by small units armed with light shoulder fired anti-tank weapons who stopped the column's advance and wreaked havoc on the invading army.
The second indication showed when Russia divided it's forces on three fronts. Kyiv, Donbas and Kherson. The Kherson advance in the south was the most successful, advancing as far a the Dnipro River. In Kyiv they retreated, in Kharkiv they halted and withdrew and in Donbass they struggled. Russia failed to concentrate their forces and were weak everywhere. They withdrew troops from the south to mount operations in Donbass and made limited progress but their attacks were small; often using units of less than 600 men. They nibble at the edges but don't have enough infantry to make a serious offensive. An attacking army generally needs a three to one advantage.
The third indication is the use of irregular forces from Chechnya, Syria and the Donetsk People's Republic (eastern Ukraine). These non Russians are being fed into the battle, badly equipped and badly trained as a substitute for Russians who no longer want to fight. The Russian soldier has lost too many friends.
Finally, Russia has resorted to the use of artillery at long range, indicating that there are not enough soldiers to make a ground attack until the target has been smashed to rubble and there are no occupants remaining.
On the road to Kyiv it is estimated that Russia lost 30,000 dead and 60,000 wounded. To get some perspective this is the equivalent of wiping out the whole British army including reserves! This war is NOT 'a special military operation'.
Ukraine has mobilised it's male, adult population to defend their homeland and although there is little doubt that they too are taking heavy casualties, they believe in their cause and want to engage the enemy. The Russians are running out of infantry and even if they conscript more it is unlikely that they will have the heart to fight.
One point more. I watched the UK national news tonight. Ukraine didn't get a mention in the first fifteen minutes. The media have moved on to local priorities like 'immigration'. We must focus their attention back onto 'Vlad the Invader' and remind everyone that Ukraine is the big story. Death, starvation and famine are the results of war, the longer it lasts the worse it gets. We must continue to share our treasure and guns with Ukraine to ensure that Russia leaves the battlefield a broken force.
Slava Ukraine
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Robin Horsfall
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FYI:??I comment on the “real-time” geopolitical blog posts I create for my Reddit “EndUkrainian Genocide” community:
The purpose of the Reddit community is to provide “real-time” updates on geopolitical events occurring worldwide AND?connect peace activists and community organizers worldwide to share their journey: Together we CAN climb that mountain!
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On to the “Main Event”:
I post the URL for each news item I share in my?REDDIT blog post - ?if you want to do a deep dive into the source material.?
Not the most “elegant” and detailed way of commenting, but as your time is valuable, I try to be as succinct as possible in my comments!?-?Patrick
Here are the major “real-time” news items I comment on for this past week:
Repeated- This is timeless AND priceless?information:
4/18/22:?Doug Casey: the world is headed for chaos and radical change
URL --- MUST??View?(recurring- as this is most prescient):
Repeated Post – You have been forewarned of what is coming to the US:?
5/5/22: Shocking New Info ----- Stock Up and Buckle Up ------206,281 views - Breaking news that the MSM will NOT cover! Nuclear-war-related information- Canadian gas prices are about $2-$3 per liter (in the US that would be about $7-$8/gallon- This IS coming to the US and SOON! -IMHO of course.
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Links to impactful geopolitical events- that you should know about:
Islamic State-Khorasan Province Expands Attacks beyond Afghanistan
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I published ?this on 6/3/22-6:
?Benefits Of Hydrogen Peroxide On Plants And In Your Garden-Hydrogen Peroxide And Plants?
Yes, H2O2 has many benefits in your garden ranging from a disinfectant for garden tools and pots and work areas, to an anti-fungal and pest control powerhouse spray. Its uses……: MORE here:
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This CHANGES EVERYTHING...Limits at walmart and limits at costco have started to spread all over the country. Soon we will see shortages in all of our favorite foods and items from supply chain disruptions. Prepping for shtf is more important than ever now. Prep now to stay prepared in a hectic world….
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This is ABOUT to DESTROY everything...--- It sounds crazy -- BUT we ARE "living in the future"--- Dystopian stuff- writ LARGE! --- The once and future Crazy Sci-fi Stuff from CERN! The mystery of dark matter is to be explored by CERN- The GOD particle!
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GET READY. NATO TO ATTACK RUSSIA. CHINA GAINING CONTROL. RUSSIA WILL NUKE THE WORLD IF THIS HAPPENS. -- IMHO - Global shortages in food and energy infrastructure will accelerate - to include potential cyberattacks & sabotage of food and energy facilities- Its gonna get ugly- and soon! - IMHO !!!
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This is VERY BAD and NO ONE is Talking About It - Heightened threat level; cyberattack threats on US Energy Industry?- FBI warns of potential cyberattacks- LNG plants being targeted? 20% of US LNG exports now shut down!
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Gravitas Live | Why the World Economy is in Distress | Monday Mayhem at India's Stock Market Stock Market Crash: Recession Looming? Will Pakistan renegotiate CPEC deals? Sri Lanka Fuel crisis worsens Russia's Passport War Is the Iran nuclear deal dead? UK wants to dump refugees in Rwanda
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How this affects YOUR budget: Gravitas Live: Strong fears of recession | US Fed hikes interest rates | How it affects your budget - Strong fears of recession: US Fed announces biggest interest hike since 1994 - Russia-India trade in rupees - America’s crimes in Yemen - Agnipath protests in India –
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Despite the Western sanctions, India wants to expand its trade ties with Russia. New Delhi has proposed paying for Russian goods in rupees. A new trade route is also being tested. Palki Sharma tells you more.- Gravitas: Russia-India trade in Rupees?
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The Pope Just Declared WW3 (Seriously) and Other INSANE News -Cyberattack on LNG plant? Ukr attacks Russian village, North Korean nuclear test, markets could fall 80%!!! War predicted to go on for at least 2 years, shortages abound, the Pope officiates "WW3" for his followers, historic droughts and
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END OF THE ROAD: How Money Became Worthless | FULL DOCUMENTARY | Financial Systems, Govt Control
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The US is now at war- Iran&Venezuela state: US Military dominance is over!- They are allegedly workin2 incr "disruptions"- a nice way of saying that they MAY be doin acts of sanotage- UNCONFIRMED- but you do the DD yourself!THE END OF AMERICA IS BEING DISCUSSED. IRAN AND RUSSIA CALL FOR NUCLEAR WAR!
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Industrial sabotage, currency fixing, targeted lockdowns, shortages meant to bring NATO countries to their knees. The Economic World War has already begun and we are losing it so far. Food shortages and empty shelves are a symptom of this. Sign-Up For My Newsletter "The Poplar Report" ...MORE!
It's CRUMBLING faster than they thought it would | Redacted with Clayton Morris-Inflation hit a new record as Biden continues to blame Putin for the price hike. Ukrainian president Zelensky is begging for more weapons as defeat looks all but certain. And Scott Ritter says the U.S. is planning to use
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They just CROSSED the line and Biden knows it | Redacted with Natali and Clayton Morris-President Biden is saying snappish things about President Zelensky. Uh oh. Is there trouble in paradise between these two regimes where it is now time to point fingers? Former UN Weapons Inspector Scott Ritter jo
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061322- Bank Runs Have Started in China - Will They Come Here? --- The stock market is now in Full Bear Mode- Bars Rule! Bank runs next? Followed by nationwide anarchy and lawlessness in the US? If you don't prepare- you will reap the whirlwind!
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061322- ALLEGED (not confirmed) reports that NGOs preparing for food riots/anarchy in the US- within 3-6 months: THIS IS IT. CHINA DECLARES WAR FOR TAIWAN. RUSSIA IS PREPARED TO STARVE THE USA
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Bank of America Warns that the Summer of Hell is Coming-Bank of America's most bearish analyst is warning that the Summer of Hell is coming as tighter monetary policy will lead to fewer job openings and lower equity prices. He also notes that high oil prices and high interest rates are likely to……..MORE
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Leaked British documents- Indicate the current "Crisis" will last through 2025 and beyond! HERE WE GO. THIS IS HOW BAD THINGS REALLY ARE. GAS PRICE EXPLOSION. NO MORE OIL DRILLING-- Are you prepared???
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Massive layoffs imminent- food-gasoline prices going up daily- will go up MUCH higher- and SOON! are you ready? Cracks in the economy are getting bigger and bigger...Will this video wake you up to prepare more?
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ore breaking news on my Reddit EndUkrainianGenocideNow Community!
Join now to keep up with events – as they happen! - - -?Patrick
Go here:
Stay tuned for the next issue!
Another source of news and commentary that I follow and recommend is the one authored/published by Elaine Supkis- The Culture of Life News—Highly recommended:
Thank you for following my MAG Commentary!
Patrick
Headhunting for an experienced freelance SEO content writer for your business??Here’s my profile:?https://protectmykid.us
Let’s jump on a call soon!?- Patrick
In closing – last but not least:
Glory to Ukraine:
???? Epic Orchestral Anthem of Ukraine - "Ще не вмерла Укра?ни ? слава, ? воля" [English Translation]
51,811 views
Mar 2, 2022
4/22/19- 2,869,274 views on YouTube-Official HD Promo Video for Pet Shop Boys' fantastic single 'Go West'. Taken from the Pop Art Best - Parody of Russia-China ideology: Glory to Ukraine!
Time Out! Time to break from all this killing and war - Take a break and enjoy some beats; 1 hour of Pet Shop Boys Greatest Hits - Full Album 2022 - Best Songs Of Pet Shop Boys --- If music isn't your thing-- Grab some Tequila or some other "diversion" from the grind of everyday reality!
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