The MAG Commentary - 06/12/2023
Patrick O'Connell
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The MAG Commentary:?061223
Market Weekly Forecasts & Geopolitical Commentaries
Patrick OConnell, editor
I?am not an investment advisor.?Any financial information is for educational purposes only – NOT investment advice!
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Our proprietary market algo forecasts the following trends, Risk on, or Risk off, for the upcoming trading week ending on 06/09/2023:
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The SPY(SPDR, S&P500 ETF), is Trending?UPWARD, PLUS 5.88 for the past week ending on 06/09/2023.
In our opinion – not investment advice – next week’s sucker rally - yet again - continue to be epic!?Be Aware – Be Awesome –
To not miss out on the rapid changes in market trends – subscribe to our YouTube channel!
For the upcoming trading week, ending on 06/16/2023, our proprietary algo forecasts the following potential trend for each of the following metrics – either Bullish or Bearish:
VIX index:?Bullish!
VVIX index:?Bearish!
SPY index:?Bullish!?
West Texas Intermediate – Crude Oil:?Bearish!
QQQ:?Bullish!
Copper:?Bullish!
And of course, the VIX – SPY Correlation Variance” – Surprise – Surprise – Bearish!
Yet one more (ongoing) Sucker Rally has now manifested for the coming week!
Be nimble in trading this market- You do NOT want to be a bag holder when the rally comes to an end- which it surely will!
My algo says THIS Sucker Rally will be Epic!
So what? So, our conclusion for the week ahead is that – our algo indicates that the Bears least for the week ahead – are yet again in control.
Nonetheless – as the Fed continues to manipulate the market – it is not surprising that the rally sems to h ave “legs”.?Typically – in a Presidentil year election cycle – some analysits say that the stock market “MUST” – “look good” to ensure the sheeple have the illusion that “it’s all good”.?Really???
Our SPY-VIX Correlation Variation metric -?– confirms ?- at least from a purely technical point of view (notwithstanding “manipulation” monkey business) - this coming week’s bearishness.?
In our opinion massive global bank runs are still ongoing- notwithstanding the massive printing of fiat money to “stem the run on banks”.
Some analysts say that QE, or Qualitative Easing is back again – at least for the banks!
This is – of course - NOT investment advice – but fasten your seat belts - a bumpy ride awaits!
Swing traders and day traders will make money – the traders that are not nimble will be crushed, in our opinion!
For the past few months, we have been saying that we are entering a global depression, not so much a recession!
Dan – at iAllegedly – on his YouTube channel -?is sharing that the “D” word may be more likely than a mere recession!
More analysts and bankers are now forecasting the coming of a depression – NOT a recession!
What do YOU think?
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We agree with other analysts, that the equity markets are completely disconnected from the reality of the collapsing economies of many countries around the planet!
When we have a bullish week as we experience – intermittently – during this epic bear market - it demonstrates - that Wall Street is oblivious to the pain being felt by Main Street! Indeed – this disconnect between Wall Street and Main Street is growing – a LOT!
We continue to think – that when a rally occurs – that it is nothing more than just another sucker’s bull rally in the ongoing bear market!
As the sucker’s rally plays on – from time to time- on a seemingly random basis (as it is doing for the week ahead) - in our opinion- the ship (just think of The Titanic) – continues to sink – and increasingly so!
These sucker rallies can last for weeks at a time- during a Bear Market!?When the rug pull comes – as it inevitably WILL - the result will be a dramatic decline in the market indexes – in our opinion of course!
More and more analysts are forecasting a catastrophic commercial real estate crash!?All we can say is “Wow”!
We do not think we have seen the bottom.
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Keep in mind, Volatility is still very much with us!
Indeed, The Bear Market is still very much still with us!
We always like to see at least a 3, or greater week period - in which the market is in a bull trend before we can determine a potential bottom for the market!
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Be careful in trading for the next one to three weeks, – AND MORE!
It’s a jungle out there!
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More details – and –
Our Full Disclosure:
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This analysis is not investment advice.
We are not investment advisors!
Any financial information is for educational purposes only, not investment advice!
The global hyperinflation, the global supply chain dislocations, and of course… global drought, plus the “wars,” (take your pick: …Ukraine, Russia, China),…all of these negative factors are certainly not helpful for the bulls’ case!
Please note,?Concerning our “VIX, SPY correlation-variance ” metric,
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IF the VIX is trending DOWN. And the SPY is trending UP,?for the most recent week of trading…then and only then will our?VIX, SPY correlation-variance algo indicate a potential Risk-on, (Bullish) trend,… for the upcoming week,…
This indication of a potential Bullish trend, however, only?happens,…currently,…on a very infrequent basis!...
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As Doug Casey said in a recent interview, we are in a chaotic period in global markets!…
One analyst shared that bear markets may have 7 bull runs during the course of a bear market.
We may yet have a long way to go before we reach the bottom of this market!
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Reminder:
Daniel?Riley –Mr.TopStep:?https://mrtopstep.com ?provides daily updates ?on the markets:?
His website & free email newsletter are a MUST!!!??—Patrick
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Commentary for 06/12/2023:
I am indebted to Robin Horsfall’s compelling and timely articles- originally published on LinkedIn!?
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?
Former SAS Soldier. Writer, Veterans Campaigner and Public Speaker. Operations Nimrod and Mikado
Published on YouTube:???06/08/2023
If you support my work go to?robinhorsfall.info ?and consider purchasing one of my books.
? 2nd
Former SAS Soldier. Leadership in every environment. Writer, Veterans Campaigner and Inspiring Speaker. Operations Nimrod and Mikado
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The free world must not lose interest in this war.
The destruction of the Nova Kakhovka Dam by Russia is probably one of the most pointless acts of destruction in the 21st Century.
Some well meaning pundits have claimed that this atrocity has some tactical advantage because it prevents Ukraine from crossing the Dnipro River near Kherson and allows Russian troops to reinforce their positions in the east. However, this can be balanced by Ukraine's ability to move their western troops farther to the east as well and reinforce their impending offensive.
If there was any form of military logic behind destroying the dam it might delay Ukrainian plans by a few days while they deal with the human and ecological issues that have arisen. However, it certainly will not affect offensive operations. Russia has shown now that it's posture is purely defensive, it had no plans to retake Kherson and more importantly no ability to take it or any other region in Ukraine.
Ukraine is mounting reconnaissance patrols in strength all along the front lines to identify key Russian positions. In the past week Ukraine has concentrated their attacks on air defence and artillery positions. Various sources, including the British MOD state that Russian losses in these categories have been considerable. Ukraine is asking for silence from the international press and local people so that intelligence is limited especially in respect to where Ukraine is concentrating its forces.
That said, the free world must not lose interest in this war. We must pay attention to what is happening and continue to remind our leaders of the need to continue with our support. We will need to dig deeper now to assist with the damage caused by the flooding.
Ukraine must not be ignored or forgotten. Our treasure and their blood.
Slava Ukraini!
Who Dares Shares
Robin Horsfall
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Former SAS Soldier. Leadership in every environment. Writer, Veterans Campaigner and Inspiring Speaker. Operations Nimrod and Mikado
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Map of Ukraine- credit: Robin Horsfall- 08/08/2022:
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FYI:??I comment on the “real-time” geopolitical blog posts I create for my Reddit “EndUkrainian Genocide” community:
The purpose of the Reddit community is to provide “real-time” updates on geopolitical events occurring worldwide AND?connect peace activists and community organizers worldwide to share their journey: Together we CAN climb that mountain!
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On to the “Main Event”:
I post the URL for each news item I share in my?REDDIT blog post -?if you want to do a deep dive into the source material.?
Not the most “elegant” and detailed way of commenting, but as your time is valuable, I try to be as succinct as possible in my comments!?-?Patrick
Here are the major “real-time” news items I comment on for this past week:
New stuff:
Canadian Prepper-ALERT! WW3 May Start THIS WEEK! USA Plan To EVACUATE 80000 From TAIWAN, NATO Prep For NO-FLY ZONE
Greg Mannarino-LIVE! Trouble For The MAJOR Banks Is Getting Worse. New Petrodollar Threat In Play. Mannarino- A nice (sucker) rally on Wall Street--The ILLUSION of prosperity is evident - for all to see- Stok Market is being manipulated to show that "it's all good"! --------Really???
Economic Ninja-A Serious Warning - Conform or die? - What they are doing is NOT right! In California- if you misgender your child - you WILL be punished- this law is pending for now- BUT if this goes nationwide- You- ultimately WILL own nothing and be happy! Be ready for total economnc collapse!
https://www.reddit.com/r/EndUkrainianGenocide/comments/147zl3a/economic_ninjaa_serious_warning_conform_or_die/
Eric Metaxas-Holocaust Survivor Raises ALARM For America's Future | Vera Sharav Testimony | Eric Metaxas on TBN ---- The Shaow of Things to Come? History doesn't repeat - but it is about to rhyme with what has happened in the past- IMHO - of course- Patrick ----Chaos & Anarchy - await!
Poplar Rpt-Food shortage warnings are going out as US Corn and Soybean harvest estimates are dropping fast. Subscribe For Daily Breaking News & Shortage Updates / @thepoplarreport My Patriot Supply Food: https://mypatriotsupply.com/pages/spe... Genesis Gold Group | https://genesis
The Angry Prepper- Sholifters- They have an entitlement mentality- In their mind it is THEIR loot- NOT the property of the retailer! - Go down the rabbit hole with this vid-On The Angry Prepper, we are going to talk about The DHS Is Warning Us Of multiple issues arising soon. They have multiple
Full Spectrum Survival-ARMY WARNING. TRAIN NOW OR DIE.
Full Spectrum Survival- Record Breaking Amts of $ removed by Americans from their Bank Accts!- It's gonna get ugly- REAL SOON!- NEW Pandemic has now begun- Will Possibly affect Humans(LOTS of humans)- What can possibly go wrong with the plan to destroy the planet(and YOU)?-"The Event"is-Imminent!
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More breaking news is posted on my Reddit EndUkrainianGenocideNow Community!
Join now to keep up with events – as they happen! - - -?Patrick
Go here:
Stay tuned for the next issue!
Another source of news and commentary that I follow and recommend is the one authored/published by Elaine Supkis- The Culture of Life News—Highly recommended:
Thank you for following my MAG Commentary!
Patrick
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We also publish a weekly newsletter on Substack:?The Market Algo Newsletter – It forecasts the direction of the S&P 500 market?- index for the upcoming week – and global geopolitical commentaries -
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Unlock the power of Email marketing with these quick videos-Expert Guidance Inside:
Free - Watch this NOW:???https://youtu.be/4la0_cSixIw
(NOT an affiliate marketing link!)
////
Check out my 2 YT channels(my pen name is “Luna Maypole”)-to see how I use ChatGPT for YouTube:
?
Don’t miss Luna Maypole’s
“Pearls of Wisdom-Words to Live By”!
Global Thought Leaders’ Advice
For Today’s World Leaders:
If you want to follow NM-Kitty, as she travels around the planet- follow her at the link below.?She is always looking for new adventures in more places to share the Meow of it all!
Don’t miss Luna Maypole’s latest Chapter of “NM-Kitty’s Meow Adventures”:
?
Find “NM-Kitty” on page 1 of “Google Search”!
Next Trend Realty LLC./wwwHar.com/Chester-Swanson/agent_cbswan
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